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Frayles de Guasave vs Halcones de Obregon Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 71-105
15-32 19-16 21-34 16-23
Position#10
Record5-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game98.8
vs
Position#3
Record20-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game86.4
MexicoCIBACOPA· Gimnasio Luis Estrada Medina
Other2025
Meetings · Frayles de Guasave v Halcones de Obregon
09 May 2025
FRAY71
HALC105
08 May 2025
FRAY81
HALC91
03 Apr 2024
FRAY109
HALC101
02 Apr 2024
FRAY100
HALC91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frayles de Guasave winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Halcones de Obregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Frayles de GuasaveMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuasave
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
72avg 76
A17/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
87-104
87
104
-17
72avg 76
H23/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
93-110
93
110
-17
89avg 76
H24/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 76
A26/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
85-112
85
112
-27
73avg 76
A27/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
93-95
93
95
-2
85avg 76
H29/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
72-112
72
112
-40
56avg 76
H30/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
77-108
77
108
-31
63avg 76
A03/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
86-96
86
96
-10
72avg 76
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 76
H09/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
17-23
20-16
28-27
26-22
18-33
14-30
29-19
23-30
21-26
25-29
24-25
27-30
20-22
23-22
18-21
25-30
18-27
17-28
25-27
25-26
20-18
18-23
30-28
16-32
22-19
21-27
13-34
16-30
17-27
28-25
16-26
17-28
28-24
19-20
22-24
25-28
30-20
16-24
10-19
186.0Avg total
84.4Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.698.8184.4-13.216%
Season at home (17)87.598.7186.2-11.224%
Season away (14)83.398.9182.2-15.67%
Last 10 (10)84.4101.6186.0-17.20%
Last 5 (5)81.8100.4182.2-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)85.198.9184.0-13.813%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
87avg 84
A16/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
87-84
87
84
+3
87avg 84
H23/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
102-98
102
98
+4
101avg 84
H24/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
110-104 OT
110
104
+6
103avg 84
A26/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
90-82
90
82
+8
82avg 84
A27/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 84
H30/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
92-78
92
78
+14
93avg 84
H01/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
86-87
86
87
-1
80avg 84
H03/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
121-111
121
111
+10
121avg 84
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
85avg 84
A09/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
18-23
23-19
24-16
19-19
23-22
22-23
23-20
27-19
18-24
26-16
31-39
30-25
18-21
22-25
27-26
16-14
19-20
25-25
30-23
17-18
22-15
23-25
24-20
24-12
19-19
25-23
24-24
15-21
16-19
42-20
13-27
36-28
25-28
33-28
27-27
28-25
20-30
24-16
19-10
185.9Avg total
96.3Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)90.386.4176.6+3.965%
Season at home (16)90.884.6175.4+6.269%
Season away (15)89.788.2177.9+1.560%
Last 10 (10)96.389.6185.9+6.790%
Last 5 (5)95.287.0182.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.595.5184.0-7.050%
vs Similar (4)101.0106.5207.5-5.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.981.0169.9+8.077%
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
Frayles de GuasaveHalcones de Obregon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Frayles de GuasaveLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A17/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H23/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H24/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A26/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A27/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H29/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H30/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A03/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H09/05
CIBACOPA
95.0Avg total
42.8Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.348.189.5-6.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.649.192.7-5.638%-
Last 30 away (14)38.847.085.8-8.214%-
Last 10 (10)42.852.295.0-9.420%-
Last 5 (5)43.250.493.6-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)41.348.189.5-6.827%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A16/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H23/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H24/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A26/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A27/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H01/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A09/05
CIBACOPA
86.1Avg total
43.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.584.5-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.840.582.3+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.244.586.7-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.086.1+0.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.087.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.046.088.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (4)48.254.0102.2-5.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.939.880.6+1.155%-
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Frayles de Guasavetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frayles de Guasave: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.8
53.1%
53.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.8
31.1%
35.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.115.6
73.9%
73.3%15.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.324.8
54.7%
53.3%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.6
39.5%
35.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.817.1
78.4%
73.3%17.1
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Frayles de Guasave
LLLLLLLLLL
Halcones de Obregon
WWLWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#3
-21.0
Net rating
+9.3
103.4
Offensive rating
118.1
124.5
Defensive rating
108.9
51.0%
Effective FG%
56.3%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.1%
3-point %
39.5%
48.0%
Assist %
58.4%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 118.1Defence124.5 · 108.9Shooting51.0% · 56.3%3-point %31.1% · 39.5%Ball care17.1% · 15.9%Off. rebounds23.3% · 30.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)0% · 90%
■ Frayles de Guasave   ■ Halcones de Obregon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25HHalcones de Obregon81-91
04/05/25AZonkeys de Tijuana86-96
03/05/25AZonkeys de Tijuana77-108
30/04/25HAstros72-112
29/04/25HAstros93-95
27/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis85-112
26/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis88-95
24/04/25HVenados de Mazatlan93-110
23/04/25HVenados de Mazatlan87-104
17/04/25ACaballeros de Culiacan82-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25AFrayles de Guasave91-81
04/05/25HAngeles CDMX121-111
03/05/25HAngeles CDMX86-87
01/05/25HZonkeys de Tijuana92-78
30/04/25HZonkeys de Tijuana86-78
27/04/25AVenados de Mazatlan90-82
26/04/25AVenados de Mazatlan110-104 OT
24/04/25HAstros102-98
23/04/25HAstros87-84
16/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis98-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frayles de Guasave
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL24%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %16%24%7%
Points / game85.687.583.3
Allowed / game98.898.798.9
Point differential-13.2-11.2-15.6
Avg total184.4186.2182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%69%60%
Points / game90.390.889.7
Allowed / game86.484.688.2
Point differential+3.9+6.2+1.5
Avg total176.6175.4177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %10%6%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros3124777%100.188.8+11.3
2 Angeles CDMX3223972%108.3101.1+7.3
3 Halcones de Obregon31201165%90.386.4+3.9
4 Caballeros de Culiacan31171455%90.088.5+1.5
5 Ostioneros de Guaymas31151648%92.792.4+0.3
6 Rayos de Hermosillo32141844%84.287.5-3.4
7 Zonkeys de Tijuana31131842%87.188.3-1.2
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis31131842%91.795.3-3.5
9 Venados de Mazatlan31121939%86.889.9-3.1
10 Frayles de Guasave3152616%85.698.8-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Frayles de Guasave1519211671
Halcones de Obregon32163423105
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