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Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 01 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 21:00
Postponed
Position#130
Record10-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game55.6
vs
Position#276
Record8-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game58.9
Allowed / game59.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Fresno State v Air Force
14 Feb 2026
FRES93
AIR 63
17 Jan 2025
FRES74
AIR 65
27 Jan 2024
FRES84
AIR 70
14 Jan 2023
FRES48
AIR 51
01 Jan 2022
FRES v AIR
upcoming
04 Mar 2020
FRES70
AIR 77
19 Feb 2020
FRES71
AIR 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#98
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H25/11
NCAA
California
#281
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A29/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H02/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H05/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A09/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#125
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H12/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
83-48
83
48
+35
H18/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A22/12
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
69-43
69
43
+26
A23/12
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-25
32-27
21-28
36-37
33-20
30-23
39-17
22-26
31-24
32-47
26-21
37-34
50-29
33-19
23-22
27-33
44-18
25-25
25-35
30-30
116.3Avg total
62.3Scored
54.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)65.755.6121.4+10.171%
Season at home (9)69.653.3122.9+16.2100%
Season away (5)58.859.8118.6-1.020%
Last 10 (10)62.354.0116.3+8.360%
Last 5 (5)64.053.2117.2+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)57.369.9127.2-12.611%
vs Similar (7)63.359.7123.0+3.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)68.258.5126.7+9.885%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#133
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#324
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H20/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A21/11
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H24/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Army
#211
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H04/12
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
48-66
48
66
-18
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
46-68
46
68
-22
A19/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#235
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-33
33-24
26-24
46-29
39-41
34-24
47-25
19-40
21-24
38-24
45-13
31-45
24-35
24-31
24-34
22-34
14-21
31-46
22-22
27-25
118.9Avg total
59.5Scored
59.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)58.959.2118.2-0.367%
Season at home (6)63.854.7118.5+9.2100%
Season away (6)54.063.8117.8-9.833%
Last 10 (10)59.559.4118.9+0.170%
Last 5 (5)52.861.2114.0-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)57.470.2127.5-12.823%
vs Similar (8)64.661.6126.2+3.062%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -1.7-1.7
Fresno StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#98
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H25/11
NCAA
California
#281
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A29/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H02/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H05/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A09/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#125
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H12/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
W
23-22
23
22
+1
A22/12
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
44-18
44
18
+26
A23/12
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A29/12
NCAA
55.8Avg total
31.9Scored
23.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.427.358.8+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.626.257.8+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)31.328.659.9+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)31.923.955.8+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)33.625.058.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.030.858.8-2.833%-
vs Similar (7)32.126.458.6+5.786%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)32.626.058.6+6.669%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#133
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H18/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#324
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H20/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#319
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H24/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Army
#211
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H04/12
NCAA
Montana
#153
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A19/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#235
L
14-21
14
21
-7
A22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#170
D
22-22
22
22
+0
H29/12
NCAA
56.2Avg total
29.0Scored
27.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.531.959.4-4.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)27.631.358.9-3.727%-
Last 30 away (15)27.532.559.9-5.020%-
Last 10 (10)29.027.256.2+1.830%-
Last 5 (5)25.825.050.8+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)26.432.558.9-6.018%-
vs Similar (8)30.630.260.9+0.438%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fresno State wins
1
Air Force wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/21ABoise State55-65
23/12/21AWeber State69-43
22/12/21AUtah Utes50-55
18/12/21HCal Poly83-48
12/12/21HUC Irvine63-55
09/12/21ASan Francisco63-71
05/12/21HCS Northridge61-43
02/12/21HSan Diego Toreros63-43
29/11/21ACalifornia57-65
25/11/21HSanta Clara59-52
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/21HUtah State49-47
22/12/21ATarleton45-67
19/12/21AArkansas State46-68
09/12/21AMontana48-66
04/12/21HArmy76-58
27/11/21HIdaho State59-48
24/11/21HDenver66-65
21/11/21ABethune-Cookman73-65
20/11/21HHoly Cross72-53
18/11/21HTexas Southern61-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %71%100%20%
Points / game65.769.658.8
Allowed / game55.653.359.8
Point differential+10.1+16.2-1.0
Avg total121.4122.9118.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game58.963.854.0
Allowed / game59.254.763.8
Point differential-0.3+9.2-9.8
Avg total118.2118.5117.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State10100100%83.467.0+16.4
2 Grand Canyon1311285%72.858.2+14.6
3 Wyoming1311285%77.563.1+14.5
4 San Diego State118373%64.758.5+6.3
5 Boise State1410471%69.158.2+10.9
6 Fresno State1410471%65.755.6+10.1
7 Air Force128467%58.959.2-0.3
8 Utah State149564%77.268.1+9.1
9 UNLV138562%71.566.6+4.9
10 Nevada116555%77.575.6+1.9
11 San Jose State116555%68.870.9-2.1
12 New Mexico137654%79.576.9+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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