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Fresno State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 74-65
41-24 33-41
Position#358
Record4-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game82.5
Fresno State 🏆
USA
vs
Air Force
USA
Position#367
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.1
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fresno State v Air Force
14 Feb 2026
FRES93
AIR 63
17 Jan 2025
FRES74
AIR 65
27 Jan 2024
FRES84
AIR 70
14 Jan 2023
FRES48
AIR 51
01 Jan 2022
FRES v AIR
upcoming
04 Mar 2020
FRES70
AIR 77
19 Feb 2020
FRES71
AIR 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#65
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H05/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H15/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A29/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H01/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A05/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A08/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
66-77 OT
66
77
-11
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-29
38-55
25-36
41-45
27-44
40-51
32-37
41-28
35-36
34-50
30-48
47-39
36-53
53-50
42-39
41-50
26-49
38-42
31-30
33-34
157.4Avg total
71.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.282.5155.6-9.324%
Season at home (8)74.880.1154.9-5.438%
Season away (9)71.884.6156.3-12.811%
Last 10 (10)71.685.8157.4-14.210%
Last 5 (5)75.889.4165.2-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)68.181.7149.8-13.68%
vs Similar ◀ (5)75.268.0143.2+7.2100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#239
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A01/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A03/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
38-67
38
67
-29
A09/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-36
34-34
30-29
30-44
27-23
42-38
26-41
50-40
31-32
28-45
26-38
32-39
36-33
29-37
24-33
14-34
31-29
31-40
35-33
27-35
131.9Avg total
60.6Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)63.169.6132.8-6.518%
Season at home (10)65.267.0132.2-1.830%
Season away (7)60.173.4133.6-13.30%
Last 10 (10)60.671.3131.9-10.710%
Last 5 (5)57.070.2127.2-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)62.473.2135.6-10.715%
vs Similar ◀ (3)67.375.0142.3-7.70%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.3-9.31st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -6.9-6.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.3-9.31st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -6.9-6.9
Fresno StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#65
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H05/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H15/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A29/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H01/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A05/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H12/01
NCAA
70.9Avg total
30.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.637.968.5-7.320%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.536.466.8-5.923%-
Last 30 away (17)30.839.169.8-8.318%-
Last 10 (10)30.840.170.9-9.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.043.876.8-10.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)29.838.668.3-8.816%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.034.669.6+0.440%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wright State
#239
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A01/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A03/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A17/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A09/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/01
NCAA
61.6Avg total
28.9Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.434.563.9-5.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.933.162.0-4.138%-
Last 30 away (14)29.936.166.1-6.236%-
Last 10 (10)28.932.761.6-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)30.433.263.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)28.834.763.4-5.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.033.068.0+2.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Fresno State wins
2
Air Force wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Air Force v Fresno State66-68
28/01/24Fresno State v Air Force84-70
22/02/23Air Force v Fresno State69-74
15/01/23Fresno State v Air Force48-51
23/02/22Air Force v Fresno State40-65
13/02/21Air Force v Fresno State64-67
12/02/21Air Force v Fresno State63-69
04/03/20Fresno State v Air Force70-77
20/02/20Fresno State v Air Force71-62
29/01/20Air Force v Fresno State68-79
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HNevada66-77 OT
08/01/25AColorado State64-91
05/01/25AUtah State83-89
01/01/25HNew Mexico89-103
29/12/24AUNLV77-87
21/12/24HCalifornia Baptist69-86
15/12/24HSan Diego Toreros73-65
12/12/24ABrigham Young67-95
08/12/24ASanta Clara66-81
05/12/24HSan Diego State62-84
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25ANevada62-68
11/01/25HSan Jose State62-69
09/01/25ASan Diego State38-67
04/01/25HWyoming65-70
31/12/24HUNLV58-77
21/12/24ABoise State59-77
17/12/24ANorthern Colorado76-81
07/12/24HStony Brook69-61
03/12/24AMiami (Ohio)60-73
01/12/24AWright State57-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%38%11%
Points / game73.274.871.8
Allowed / game82.580.184.6
Point differential-9.3-5.4-12.8
Avg total155.6154.9156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %18%30%0%
Points / game63.165.260.1
Allowed / game69.667.073.4
Point differential-6.5-1.8-13.3
Avg total132.8132.2133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1816289%82.167.9+14.1
2 New Mexico1814478%83.273.1+10.2
3 San Diego State1511473%72.361.8+10.5
4 Boise State1813572%78.766.1+12.6
5 Grand Canyon1712571%79.469.0+10.4
6 Nevada1710759%74.867.1+7.8
7 Colorado State1710759%73.868.6+5.2
8 UNLV1710759%71.570.6+0.9
9 Wyoming179853%69.871.1-1.4
10 San Jose State1991047%75.572.9+2.6
11 Fresno State1741324%73.282.5-9.3
12 Air Force1731418%63.169.6-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State413374
Air Force244165
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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