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Fresno State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 93-63
0-0 45-33 0-0 48-30
Position#275
Record11-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#371
Record3-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.4
Allowed / game78.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fresno State v Air Force
14 Feb 2026
FRES93
AIR 63
17 Jan 2025
FRES74
AIR 65
27 Jan 2024
FRES84
AIR 70
14 Jan 2023
FRES48
AIR 51
01 Jan 2022
FRES v AIR
upcoming
04 Mar 2020
FRES70
AIR 77
19 Feb 2020
FRES71
AIR 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H25/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A31/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
98-96
98
96
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A11/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-24
0-0
33-31
0-0
21-36
0-0
31-35
0-0
36-22
0-0
43-47
0-0
26-27
0-0
37-33
0-0
23-36
0-0
51-47
0-0
19-26
0-0
38-42
0-0
44-39
0-0
35-23
0-0
49-50
0-0
49-46
0-0
28-28
0-0
31-41
0-0
35-47
0-0
43-44
143.3Avg total
70.9Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.972.2145.1+0.846%
Season at home (15)74.769.7144.5+5.060%
Season away (9)69.976.2146.1-6.322%
Last 10 (10)70.972.4143.3-1.550%
Last 5 (5)74.277.2151.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)66.674.8141.3-8.228%
vs Similar (7)79.978.0157.9+1.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)74.061.5135.5+12.575%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
62-99
62
99
-37
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
49-91
49
91
-42
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
54-96
54
96
-42
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
62-79
62
79
-17
H31/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A04/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
54-88
54
88
-34
H08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H11/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-45
0-0
31-54
0-0
22-45
0-0
27-46
0-0
21-27
0-0
41-43
0-0
29-40
0-0
37-41
0-0
21-38
0-0
31-43
0-0
29-48
0-0
25-48
0-0
39-44
0-0
23-35
0-0
18-48
0-0
39-33
0-0
26-45
0-0
28-43
0-0
39-47
0-0
35-44
144.9Avg total
59.2Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)61.478.4139.8-17.012%
Season at home (16)64.579.1143.6-14.619%
Season away (8)55.177.0132.1-21.90%
Last 10 (10)59.285.7144.9-26.50%
Last 5 (5)60.287.0147.2-26.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)60.878.8139.6-18.110%
vs Similar (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-19-10+0+10+19Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -15.2-15.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -11.3-11.3
-19-10+0+10+19Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -15.2-15.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -11.3-11.3
Fresno StateAir Force
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A31/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A08/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/02
NCAA
65.3Avg total
31.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.034.266.2-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.431.563.9+0.947%-
Last 30 away (13)31.537.769.2-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)31.833.565.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.073.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)28.134.262.3-6.117%-
vs Similar (7)37.735.673.3+2.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.033.070.0+4.075%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A04/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H11/02
NCAA
70.2Avg total
27.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.037.965.9-9.913%-
Last 30 at home (19)29.438.267.6-8.811%-
Last 30 away (11)25.637.362.9-11.618%-
Last 10 (10)27.542.770.2-15.20%-
Last 5 (5)30.246.476.6-16.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)27.938.166.0-10.214%-
vs Similar (1)31.032.063.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Fresno State wins
2
Air Force wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AUtah State78-91
08/02/26ANevada59-69
04/02/26HUNLV98-96
31/01/26AAir Force79-62
25/01/26HGrand Canyon57-68
22/01/26ANew Mexico74-83
18/01/26HWyoming63-60
14/01/26HColorado State79-69
11/01/26ASan Diego State52-71
07/01/26ASan Jose State70-55
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HColorado State74-91
08/02/26HSan Diego State54-88
04/02/26AGrand Canyon57-81
31/01/26HFresno State62-79
24/01/26ABoise State54-96
21/01/26AColorado State52-81
17/01/26HNevada66-81
14/01/26ASan Jose State62-70
10/01/26HNew Mexico49-91
07/01/26HUtah State62-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL46%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %46%60%22%
Points / game72.974.769.9
Allowed / game72.269.776.2
Point differential+0.8+5.0-6.3
Avg total145.1144.5146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (8)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL19%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %12%19%0%
Points / game61.464.555.1
Allowed / game78.479.177.0
Point differential-17.0-14.6-21.9
Avg total139.8143.6132.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2421388%84.168.9+15.2
2 New Mexico2519676%80.869.5+11.3
3 San Diego State2317674%80.269.9+10.3
4 Nevada2417771%77.071.2+5.8
5 Grand Canyon2415962%74.568.3+6.2
6 Colorado State25151060%76.070.3+5.6
7 Boise State25151060%79.374.6+4.8
8 Wyoming25131252%77.473.2+4.2
9 UNLV25131252%79.278.8+0.4
10 Fresno State24111346%72.972.2+0.8
11 San Jose State2461825%69.876.7-6.9
12 Air Force2432112%61.478.4-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fresno State04504893
Air Force03303063
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