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New Mexico vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 60-65
26-41 34-24
Position#264
Record7-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#130
Record13-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game57.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · New Mexico v Fresno State
21 Jan 2026
NEW 83
FRES74
20 Jan 2025
NEW 95
FRES67
06 Mar 2024
NEW 79
FRES58
28 Feb 2023
NEW 94
FRES80
25 Jan 2022
NEW 60
FRES65
07 Jan 2020
NEW 78
FRES64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#300
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H10/12
NCAA
UTEP
#136
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H12/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#44
L
72-90
72
90
-18
H19/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#26
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Nevada
#257
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A02/01
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
H09/01
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
56-85
56
85
-29
A12/01
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H15/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A20/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-27
46-40
30-33
39-44
30-46
42-44
37-21
31-33
36-35
34-44
42-27
34-49
30-40
26-45
22-32
41-39
32-37
42-43
34-41
57-52
152.3Avg total
73.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.678.8156.5-1.237%
Season at home (13)77.575.4152.8+2.146%
Season away (6)78.086.3164.3-8.317%
Last 10 (10)73.778.6152.3-4.920%
Last 5 (5)74.283.8158.0-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.879.4152.2-6.619%
vs Similar (5)70.870.0140.8+0.840%
vs Weaker (4)78.064.5142.5+13.575%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#61
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A09/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#125
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H12/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
83-48
83
48
+35
H18/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A22/12
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
69-43
69
43
+26
A23/12
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H12/01
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H19/01
NCAA
Nevada
#257
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-24
32-47
26-21
37-34
50-29
33-19
23-22
27-33
44-18
25-25
25-35
30-30
39-28
40-31
33-23
40-45
21-31
40-23
37-36
36-41
126.4Avg total
66.9Scored
59.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)67.057.6124.6+9.472%
Season at home (11)69.653.9123.5+15.7100%
Season away (7)62.963.4126.3-0.629%
Last 10 (10)66.959.5126.4+7.460%
Last 5 (5)68.264.6132.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.267.3124.5-10.217%
vs Similar (9)64.160.0124.1+4.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)69.659.6129.2+10.179%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +1.2+1.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +1.2+1.2
New MexicoFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#300
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H10/12
NCAA
UTEP
#136
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H12/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#44
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H19/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#26
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H22/12
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H09/01
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H15/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A20/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#45
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A23/01
NCAA
67.3Avg total
33.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.033.566.5-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.132.966.9+1.259%-
Last 30 away (13)31.634.365.9-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)33.433.967.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.035.467.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.535.367.8-2.938%-
vs Similar (5)32.029.861.8+2.260%-
vs Weaker (4)37.028.565.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#61
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A09/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#125
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H12/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#337
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#290
W
23-22
23
22
+1
A22/12
NCAA
Weber State
#106
W
44-18
44
18
+26
A23/12
NCAA
Boise State
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A29/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#333
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H12/01
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H19/01
NCAA
Nevada
#257
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/01
NCAA
59.6Avg total
32.9Scored
26.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.227.459.6+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.127.059.1+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)32.427.960.3+4.577%-
Last 10 (10)32.926.759.6+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)31.030.661.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)27.530.057.5-2.533%-
vs Similar (9)31.026.657.6+4.478%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)34.427.461.7+7.079%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
New Mexico wins
4
Fresno State wins
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/22AWyoming91-93
20/01/22AColorado State74-80
15/01/22HBoise State63-71
12/01/22AUNLV56-85
09/01/22HUtah State87-90 OT
02/01/22ANevada70-79
22/12/21HNorfolk State68-54
19/12/21HSMU Mustangs72-90
12/12/21HUTEP69-77
10/12/21HDenver87-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22ANevada73-77
19/01/22HUtah State61-54
15/01/22AUNLV73-68
12/01/22HSan Jose State79-59
29/12/21ABoise State55-65
23/12/21AWeber State69-43
22/12/21AUtah Utes50-55
18/12/21HCal Poly83-48
12/12/21HUC Irvine63-55
09/12/21ASan Francisco63-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL37%
HomeLLWLL46%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %37%46%17%
Points / game77.677.578.0
Allowed / game78.875.486.3
Point differential-1.2+2.1-8.3
Avg total156.5152.8164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%15%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL72%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %72%100%29%
Points / game67.069.662.9
Allowed / game57.653.963.4
Point differential+9.4+15.7-0.6
Avg total124.6123.5126.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%55%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colorado State1615194%78.665.6+13.1
2 Wyoming1715288%78.465.6+12.8
3 Boise State1915479%67.857.9+9.9
4 Grand Canyon1814478%72.760.2+12.5
5 San Diego State1511473%64.756.3+8.4
6 Fresno State1813572%67.057.6+9.4
7 Nevada169756%76.375.3+1.0
8 UNLV2011955%70.366.2+4.1
9 Air Force179853%59.561.8-2.2
10 Utah State1910953%75.069.1+5.9
11 San Jose State1771041%68.471.5-3.1
12 New Mexico1971237%77.678.8-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico263460
Fresno State412465
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