PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fuenlabrada vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 95-82
26-16 19-21 24-19 26-26
Position#2
Record18-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#16
Record6-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game84.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 22· Pabellon Fernando Martin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fuenlabrada v Real Valladolid
02 Mar 2025
FUE95
REAL82
10 May 2024
FUE85
REAL58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuenlabrada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Valladolid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuenlabrada
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
77avg 75
A14/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
92-89
92
89
+3
90avg 75
H22/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 75
A29/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
95-67
95
67
+28
87avg 75
H05/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
77avg 75
A11/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
90-73
90
73
+17
80avg 75
H18/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
88-89
88
89
-1
72avg 75
A01/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
92-80
92
80
+12
89avg 75
H08/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
88-78
88
78
+10
84avg 75
A11/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
85-63
85
63
+22
76avg 75
H15/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
21-27
22-16
15-12
20-17
18-16
24-20
30-36
17-31
26-20
16-22
19-17
24-12
13-10
30-22
28-23
25-28
24-16
18-16
14-21
19-12
28-19
24-26
19-16
20-19
20-26
19-22
29-22
20-23
25-18
20-27
27-12
33-22
20-21
17-15
18-20
21-11
12-12
22-20
30-20
167.0Avg total
87.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.073.7158.7+11.386%
Season at home (10)87.072.7159.7+14.390%
Season away (11)83.274.6157.8+8.582%
Last 10 (10)87.779.3167.0+8.480%
Last 5 (5)88.676.6165.2+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.280.2153.5-7.025%
vs Similar (8)83.476.8160.1+6.675%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.171.2157.2+14.9100%
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValladolid
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#3
L
59-89
59
89
-30
46avg 63
A15/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
58avg 63
H21/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
62avg 63
A28/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
87-91
87
91
-4
76avg 63
H04/01
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
89-71
89
71
+18
82avg 63
A11/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
101-77
101
77
+24
98avg 63
H18/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
68avg 63
A01/02
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
59avg 63
H08/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 63
A12/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
97-104 OT
97
104
-7
88avg 63
H15/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
9-24
16-19
18-21
21-29
12-22
16-19
24-17
10-24
25-14
19-30
21-22
24-30
26-18
18-17
19-26
25-9
24-19
21-31
19-12
30-20
29-15
24-26
18-16
15-18
19-32
26-21
19-20
18-27
15-16
20-21
22-21
20-26
18-25
23-15
15-21
21-15
16-34
31-20
17-16
168.3Avg total
81.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.684.0160.6-7.529%
Season at home (10)78.488.1166.5-9.710%
Season away (11)74.980.4155.3-5.545%
Last 10 (10)81.187.2168.3-6.120%
Last 5 (5)85.688.8174.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)72.587.0159.5-14.55%
vs Similar (8)78.477.9156.2+0.562%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
FuenlabradaReal Valladolid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A14/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H22/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A29/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H05/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A11/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A01/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H08/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A11/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H15/02
Primera FEB
80.7Avg total
42.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.578.3+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.932.874.7+9.193%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.381.9+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.080.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.680.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.237.277.5+3.025%-
vs Similar (8)42.440.983.2+1.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.934.476.3+7.489%-
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#3
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A15/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H21/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H04/01
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A11/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H18/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A01/02
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H08/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A12/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H15/02
Primera FEB
83.5Avg total
39.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.142.378.4-6.217%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.044.182.1-6.121%-
Last 30 away (16)34.540.875.2-6.212%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.283.5-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.685.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.944.679.5-9.79%-
vs Similar (8)39.636.075.6+3.638%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.7
48.1%
51.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.96.7
33.7%
33.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.415.3
71.5%
73.6%15.3
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Valladolidtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fuenlabrada wins
1
Real Valladolid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HAlicante85-63
11/02/25ACastello88-78
08/02/25HGipuzkoa92-80
01/02/25APalencia88-89
18/01/25HReal Betis90-73
11/01/25AOurense90-89 OT
05/01/25HTizona Burgos95-67
29/12/24AEstudiantes78-90
22/12/24HHestia Menorca92-89
14/12/24AObradoiro CAB79-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HTizona Burgos97-104 OT
12/02/25AEstudiantes76-87
08/02/25HReal Betis75-85
01/02/25AObradoiro CAB79-91
18/01/25HCastello101-77
11/01/25AMoron89-71
04/01/25HOurense87-91
28/12/24APalencia75-90
21/12/24HEstudiantes73-87
15/12/24AReal Betis59-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuenlabrada
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %86%90%82%
Points / game85.087.083.2
Allowed / game73.772.774.6
Point differential+11.3+14.3+8.5
Avg total158.7159.7157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%70%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Real Valladolid
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLLWLL10%
AwayLLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%10%45%
Points / game76.678.474.9
Allowed / game84.088.180.4
Point differential-7.5-9.7-5.5
Avg total160.6166.5155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos2220291%90.676.4+14.3
2 Estudiantes2219386%87.777.5+10.2
3 Fuenlabrada2118386%85.073.7+11.3
4 Real Betis2217577%83.574.1+9.4
5 Palencia2216673%87.279.5+7.6
6 Obradoiro CAB2011955%80.475.5+4.8
7 Tizona Burgos22121055%90.090.1-0.2
8 Ourense22111150%84.283.3+0.9
9 Cartagena22111150%78.684.9-6.2
10 Zamora2191243%79.181.4-2.3
11 Hestia Menorca2291341%74.876.8-2.0
12 Oviedo2281436%77.681.8-4.2
13 Estela2171433%75.182.2-7.1
14 Gipuzkoa2271532%76.079.8-3.8
15 Castello2271532%79.788.1-8.5
16 Real Valladolid2161529%76.684.0-7.5
17 Alicante2261627%75.479.5-4.0
18 Moron221215%71.884.4-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fuenlabrada2619242695
Real Valladolid1621192682
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.