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Geelong United W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 69-59
14-19 18-7 16-13 21-20
Position#8
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#6
Record2-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.7
AustraliaNBL WRound 6· Geelong Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Geelong United W v Adelaide Lightning W
08 Dec 2024
GEEL69
ADEL59
16 Nov 2024
GEEL72
ADEL66
17 Dec 2023
GEEL59
ADEL68
22 Dec 2022
GEEL106
ADEL100
13 Nov 2022
GEEL85
ADEL81
24 Mar 2022
GEEL95
ADEL64
19 Jan 2022
GEEL v ADEL
upcoming
24 Nov 2020
GEEL91
ADEL51
22 Dec 2019
GEEL66
ADEL57
27 Jan 2019
GEEL60
ADEL76
16 Dec 2018
GEEL83
ADEL78
25 Nov 2018
GEEL84
ADEL82
12 Nov 2017
GEEL77
ADEL74
07 Jan 2017
GEEL67
ADEL71
09 Oct 2016
GEEL75
ADEL69
13 Feb 2016
GEEL62
ADEL88
10 Oct 2015
GEEL94
ADEL72
10 Jan 2015
GEEL96
ADEL66
22 Nov 2014
GEEL78
ADEL61
01 Dec 2013
GEEL85
ADEL71
09 Nov 2013
GEEL75
ADEL53
15 Feb 2013
GEEL73
ADEL88
06 Nov 2011
GEEL77
ADEL61
05 Feb 2011
GEEL84
ADEL68
08 Jan 2011
GEEL108
ADEL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong United W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong United WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
66avg 63
A24/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 63
A28/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
88-67
88
67
+21
85avg 63
H02/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
66avg 63
A06/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
58-84
58
84
-26
43avg 63
H30/10
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 63
H07/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
62avg 63
A10/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
72-66 OT
72
66
+6
56avg 63
H16/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
60-73
60
73
-13
47avg 63
H23/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
55-90
55
90
-35
35avg 63
A30/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
18-26
16-7
15-19
21-19
26-25
14-26
25-20
14-12
21-17
27-23
26-15
20-22
21-25
17-27
19-19
17-24
17-24
9-23
15-13
30-24
24-27
16-18
20-18
14-31
14-26
23-22
27-16
13-18
19-17
15-22
17-7
22-21
15-16
14-21
9-15
12-23
17-20
5-25
21-22
155.8Avg total
73.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.882.5151.3-13.733%
Season at home (4)70.077.5147.5-7.550%
Season away (2)66.592.5159.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)73.981.9155.8-8.040%
Last 5 (5)71.082.2153.2-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.882.5151.3-13.733%
vs Similar (18)77.573.8151.3+3.756%
vs Weaker (6)70.372.8143.2-2.550%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
84-67
84
67
+17
81avg 64
H28/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
70-61
70
61
+9
70avg 64
H17/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
74-60
74
60
+14
72avg 64
A24/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
56avg 64
A02/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
57avg 64
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
56avg 64
A16/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
78-54
78
54
+24
72avg 64
H20/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
41avg 64
A23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
66avg 64
H29/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 64
A06/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
16-15
18-12
27-14
20-15
22-18
15-15
13-13
17-13
11-16
21-12
25-19
23-28
22-20
18-17
7-19
28-25
18-28
18-18
14-21
18-13
17-19
22-15
7-17
20-11
18-12
16-17
24-14
18-9
22-11
2-16
5-17
19-22
21-20
21-8
7-19
28-17
18-17
23-11
28-26
141.5Avg total
73.2Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.070.7142.7+1.329%
Season at home (3)74.771.7146.3+3.033%
Season away (4)70.070.0140.0+0.025%
Last 10 (10)73.268.3141.5+4.950%
Last 5 (5)71.263.8135.0+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)68.873.5142.2-4.729%
vs Similar (9)79.780.1159.8-0.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)76.276.0152.2+0.250%
This opponent (Geelong United W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
Geelong United WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong United WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A24/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A28/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H02/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A06/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H30/10
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H07/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
28-57
28
57
-29
A10/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H16/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A30/11
NBL W
82.0Avg total
38.1Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.377.1-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.840.076.8-3.238%-
Last 30 away (14)36.940.677.4-3.743%-
Last 10 (10)38.143.982.0-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.680.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.745.280.8-9.517%-
vs Similar (18)37.438.375.8-0.956%-
vs Weaker (6)36.041.277.2-5.217%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H17/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A24/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A02/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A16/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H20/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H29/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A06/12
NBL W
75.4Avg total
39.9Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.775.6+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.336.573.8+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)38.338.877.1-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.575.4+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.830.270.0+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.737.574.2-0.835%-
vs Similar (9)38.437.275.7+1.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.239.881.0+1.550%-
This opponent (Geelong United W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Geelong United Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Geelong United W: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.319.1
43.1%
46.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.7
29.0%
32.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
75.1%14.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.119.5
43.2%
46.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.6
35.5%
32.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws14.710.6
72.1%
75.1%10.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Geelong United W
LLWLWLLWLW
Adelaide Lightning W
WLLWLLLWWW
#8
League position
#6
-10.5
Net rating
+6.4
93.0
Offensive rating
92.1
103.4
Defensive rating
85.8
43.2%
Effective FG%
46.5%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
40.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
19.6%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
29.0%
3-point %
35.5%
58.9%
Assist %
66.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 92.1Defence103.4 · 85.8Shooting43.2% · 46.5%3-point %29.0% · 35.5%Ball care19.2% · 19.6%Off. rebounds30.1% · 25.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Geelong United W   ■ Adelaide Lightning W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24ASydney W55-90
23/11/24HCanberra Capitals W60-73
16/11/24HAdelaide Lightning W72-66 OT
10/11/24ABendigo W78-95
07/11/24HSouthside W90-87
30/10/24HTownsville W58-84
06/03/24ASouthside W77-93
02/03/24HSouthside W88-67
28/02/24ASouthside W86-90
24/02/24ACanberra Capitals W75-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24ASouthside W97-71
29/11/24HTownsville W68-69
23/11/24ATownsville W47-53
20/11/24HSydney W78-54
16/11/24AGeelong United W66-72 OT
09/11/24HPerth Lynx W78-92
02/11/24ABendigo W70-84
24/02/24ASouthside W74-60
17/02/24HGeelong United W70-61
28/01/24HCanberra Capitals W84-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong United W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game68.870.066.5
Allowed / game82.577.592.5
Point differential-13.7-7.5-26.0
Avg total151.3147.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game72.074.770.0
Allowed / game70.771.770.0
Point differential+1.3+3.0+0.0
Avg total142.7146.3140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W880100%87.673.2+14.4
2 Perth Lynx W96367%86.481.0+5.4
3 Townsville W74357%75.174.9+0.3
4 Sydney W73443%79.478.6+0.9
5 Southside W83538%82.584.9-2.4
6 Geelong United W62433%68.882.5-13.7
7 Adelaide Lightning W72529%72.070.7+1.3
8 Canberra Capitals W82625%79.889.8-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong United W1418162169
Adelaide Lightning W197132059
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