PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Southside W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 60-74
13-17 16-11 12-21 19-25
Position#1
Record13-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game76.0
Southside W
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
Position#7
Record7-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game76.0
AustraliaNBL W· State Basketball Centre (Melbourne)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W
31 Jan 2026
SOUT82
ADEL77
17 Jan 2026
SOUT82
ADEL58
28 Dec 2025
SOUT85
ADEL72
09 Feb 2025
SOUT84
ADEL78
06 Dec 2024
SOUT71
ADEL97
24 Feb 2024
SOUT60
ADEL74
05 Nov 2022
SOUT99
ADEL91
19 Feb 2022
SOUT72
ADEL85
02 Dec 2020
SOUT111
ADEL72
18 Feb 2020
SOUT68
ADEL65
25 Jan 2020
SOUT81
ADEL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southside W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southside WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
87-62
87
62
+25
89avg 75
A30/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
61-67
61
67
-6
52avg 75
A03/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
65-75
65
75
-10
54avg 75
H06/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 75
H12/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
84-57
84
57
+27
80avg 75
H17/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 75
A21/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
81-102
81
102
-21
70avg 75
A25/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
91-70
91
70
+21
87avg 75
H31/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
76avg 75
A18/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
73avg 75
A21/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
22-16
31-15
15-7
21-21
20-9
11-25
9-12
20-14
14-16
14-21
17-24
22-17
12-21
25-20
20-15
30-11
11-16
25-13
18-17
26-19
19-21
18-14
21-28
18-29
17-24
23-22
23-27
19-25
34-17
14-11
24-17
23-21
19-24
20-17
19-16
23-16
26-24
15-15
13-15
152.6Avg total
79.0Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.076.0156.0+3.965%
Season at home (9)79.773.8153.4+5.967%
Season away (11)80.277.9158.1+2.364%
Last 10 (10)79.073.6152.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)82.880.4163.2+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.681.4154.0-8.943%
vs Similar (16)81.878.6160.3+3.269%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)76.469.1145.6+7.357%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#3
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 62
A17/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
73-86
73
86
-13
59avg 62
A21/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
45avg 62
H30/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 62
H05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
68-84
68
84
-16
55avg 62
A07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
68-96
68
96
-28
51avg 62
A10/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
65-88
65
88
-23
56avg 62
A17/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
90-75
90
75
+15
87avg 62
A20/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
84-67
84
67
+17
81avg 62
H28/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
70-61
70
61
+9
70avg 62
H17/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
18-15
15-14
15-8
14-24
19-19
18-23
22-20
24-19
16-22
15-31
7-15
24-19
12-14
11-22
27-12
14-20
14-17
21-31
19-16
15-33
25-18
10-20
18-25
11-27
16-11
19-22
19-28
17-26
26-15
23-14
24-20
23-26
16-15
18-12
27-14
20-15
22-18
15-15
13-13
149.2Avg total
72.2Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.576.0147.5-4.635%
Season at home (10)69.271.4140.6-2.240%
Season away (10)73.780.7154.4-7.030%
Last 10 (10)72.277.0149.2-4.850%
Last 5 (5)75.477.4152.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.477.0148.4-5.631%
vs Similar (9)76.384.8161.1-8.411%
vs Weaker (5)81.480.2161.6+1.260%
This opponent (Southside W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
Southside WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southside WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A03/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H06/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H12/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H17/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A25/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H31/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A21/02
NBL W
80.0Avg total
41.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.380.6-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.937.777.6+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)40.743.384.0-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.580.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.088.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.342.482.7-2.143%-
vs Similar (16)41.641.382.9+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.335.973.1+1.471%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A21/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A10/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A17/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A20/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H17/02
NBL W
76.1Avg total
36.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.677.6-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.638.176.6+0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.378.6-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.576.1-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.138.575.6-1.444%-
vs Similar (9)38.040.278.2-2.244%-
vs Weaker (5)40.841.882.6-1.040%-
This opponent (Southside W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Southside Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Southside W: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.421.2
44.7%
47.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.37.8
40.4%
32.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.0
70.2%
74.3%12.0
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.620.1
47.2%
47.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.2
29.1%
32.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws13.79.2
67.2%
74.3%9.2
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Southside W
WWWLWWWLLW
Adelaide Lightning W
WWWLLLWLLW
#1
League position
#7
+6.6
Net rating
-6.6
102.4
Offensive rating
90.3
95.8
Defensive rating
96.9
49.3%
Effective FG%
45.9%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
19.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.20
40.4%
3-point %
29.1%
63.8%
Assist %
54.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 90.3Defence95.8 · 96.9Shooting49.3% · 45.9%3-point %40.4% · 29.1%Ball care19.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 25.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Southside W   ■ Adelaide Lightning W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Southside W wins
3
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W62-87
18/11/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W67-56
28/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W72-73
03/12/22Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W91-72
05/11/22Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W99-91
19/03/22Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W79-87
19/02/22Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W72-85
02/12/20Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W111-72
29/11/20Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W79-110
22/02/20Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W79-82
Southside Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/24ATownsville W77-70
18/02/24ASydney W81-78
31/01/24HPerth Lynx W91-70
25/01/24ASydney W81-102
21/01/24AGeelong United W84-82
17/01/24HBendigo W84-57
12/01/24HSydney W79-73
06/01/24HCanberra Capitals W65-75
03/01/24AGeelong United W61-67
30/12/23AAdelaide Lightning W87-62
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HGeelong United W70-61
28/01/24HCanberra Capitals W84-67
20/01/24ATownsville W90-75
17/01/24ASydney W65-88
10/01/24ABendigo W68-96
07/01/24APerth Lynx W68-84
05/01/24HSydney W74-67
30/12/23HSouthside W62-87
21/12/23ACanberra Capitals W73-86
17/12/23AGeelong United W68-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southside W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game80.079.780.2
Allowed / game76.073.877.9
Point differential+3.9+5.9+2.3
Avg total156.0153.4158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW35%
HomeLLWWW40%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game71.569.273.7
Allowed / game76.071.480.7
Point differential-4.6-2.2-7.0
Avg total147.5140.6154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W2013765%79.073.8+5.2
2 Southside W2013765%80.076.0+3.9
3 Geelong United W2112957%74.672.1+2.4
4 Bendigo W2011955%78.275.8+2.5
5 Sydney W2011955%74.874.8+0.0
6 Perth Lynx W20101050%83.784.2-0.5
7 Adelaide Lightning W2071335%71.576.0-4.6
8 Canberra Capitals W2141719%75.484.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southside W1316121960
Adelaide Lightning W1711212574
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.