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Southside W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 71-97
17-28 17-18 11-23 26-28
Position#7
Record3-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game83.1
Southside W
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
Position#6
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game70.7
AustraliaNBL WRound 6· State Basketball Centre
Women2024-25
Meetings · Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W
31 Jan 2026
SOUT82
ADEL77
17 Jan 2026
SOUT82
ADEL58
28 Dec 2025
SOUT85
ADEL72
09 Feb 2025
SOUT84
ADEL78
06 Dec 2024
SOUT71
ADEL97
24 Feb 2024
SOUT60
ADEL74
05 Nov 2022
SOUT99
ADEL91
19 Feb 2022
SOUT72
ADEL85
02 Dec 2020
SOUT111
ADEL72
18 Feb 2020
SOUT68
ADEL65
25 Jan 2020
SOUT81
ADEL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southside W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southside WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
79-101
79
101
-22
68avg 75
H10/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
97-95
97
95
+2
88avg 75
A14/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
115-81
115
81
+34
113avg 75
H17/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
70avg 75
A02/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
87avg 75
A07/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
83-75
83
75
+8
66avg 75
H09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
98-77
98
77
+21
76avg 75
H17/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
56avg 75
A24/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
69avg 75
H01/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 75
A04/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
21-34
16-22
26-19
28-25
27-18
23-28
19-24
28-27
24-12
33-26
30-16
27-31
18-26
12-29
22-8
24-30
27-24
18-16
18-20
21-26
24-13
22-19
16-17
24-22
23-17
26-19
25-19
18-16
24-11
20-24
9-28
19-21
21-30
26-19
16-19
20-22
21-19
20-15
28-22
173.9Avg total
88.0Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.183.1167.3+1.043%
Season at home (3)87.780.3168.0+7.367%
Season away (4)81.585.2166.8-3.825%
Last 10 (10)88.085.9173.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)84.679.6164.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.387.3164.7-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)85.181.0166.0+4.173%
vs Weaker (5)76.073.0149.0+3.040%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
W
90-75
90
75
+15
87avg 63
A20/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
84-67
84
67
+17
81avg 63
H28/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
70-61
70
61
+9
70avg 63
H17/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
74-60
74
60
+14
72avg 63
A24/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
56avg 63
A02/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
57avg 63
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
56avg 63
A16/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
78-54
78
54
+24
72avg 63
H20/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
41avg 63
A23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
66avg 63
H29/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
26-15
23-14
24-20
23-26
16-15
18-12
27-14
20-15
22-18
15-15
13-13
17-13
11-16
21-12
25-19
23-28
22-20
18-17
7-19
28-25
18-28
18-18
14-21
18-13
17-19
22-15
7-17
20-11
18-12
16-17
24-14
18-9
22-11
2-16
5-17
19-22
21-20
21-8
7-19
141.2Avg total
72.5Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)67.870.7138.5-2.817%
Season at home (3)74.771.7146.3+3.033%
Season away (3)61.069.7130.7-8.70%
Last 10 (10)72.568.7141.2+3.850%
Last 5 (5)67.468.0135.4-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)68.873.5142.2-4.729%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.581.2158.8-3.825%
vs Weaker (5)76.675.2151.8+1.460%
This opponent (Southside W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
Southside WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southside WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H10/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A14/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H17/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A02/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A07/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H17/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A24/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H01/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A04/12
NBL W
90.5Avg total
45.5Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.282.9+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.640.481.1+0.262%-
Last 30 away (14)42.942.185.1+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)45.545.090.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.482.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.345.087.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)42.341.884.1+0.555%-
vs Weaker (5)38.636.675.2+2.080%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A20/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H17/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A24/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A02/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H09/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A16/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H20/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H29/11
NBL W
75.8Avg total
39.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.875.5-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.336.573.8+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)38.039.077.0-1.044%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.275.8+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.073.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.737.574.2-0.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.537.675.1-0.150%-
vs Weaker (5)41.239.280.4+2.060%-
This opponent (Southside W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Southside Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Southside W: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.824.1
48.4%
46.9%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.6
38.4%
32.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.413.7
78.7%
75.1%13.7
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.520.2
43.4%
46.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.2
35.0%
32.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws13.49.5
70.9%
75.1%9.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Southside W
WLLWWLLWWL
Adelaide Lightning W
LLWLLLWWWW
#7
League position
#6
+3.2
Net rating
+4.7
107.4
Offensive rating
90.9
104.2
Defensive rating
86.2
51.2%
Effective FG%
46.2%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
40.6%
16.2%
Turnover %
20.4%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.20
38.4%
3-point %
35.0%
60.6%
Assist %
63.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 90.9Defence104.2 · 86.2Shooting51.2% · 46.2%3-point %38.4% · 35.0%Ball care16.2% · 20.4%Off. rebounds28.4% · 25.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Southside W   ■ Adelaide Lightning W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Southside W wins
4
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
24/02/24Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W60-74
30/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W62-87
18/11/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W67-56
28/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W72-73
03/12/22Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W91-72
05/11/22Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W99-91
19/03/22Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W79-87
19/02/22Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W72-85
02/12/20Southside W v Adelaide Lightning W111-72
29/11/20Adelaide Lightning W v Southside W79-110
Southside Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24ACanberra Capitals W89-78
01/12/24HPerth Lynx W82-89
24/11/24ABendigo W71-79
17/11/24HCanberra Capitals W98-77
09/11/24HSydney W83-75
07/11/24AGeelong United W87-90
02/11/24APerth Lynx W79-94
17/03/24HPerth Lynx W115-81
14/03/24APerth Lynx W97-95
10/03/24HPerth Lynx W79-101
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HTownsville W68-69
23/11/24ATownsville W47-53
20/11/24HSydney W78-54
16/11/24AGeelong United W66-72 OT
09/11/24HPerth Lynx W78-92
02/11/24ABendigo W70-84
24/02/24ASouthside W74-60
17/02/24HGeelong United W70-61
28/01/24HCanberra Capitals W84-67
20/01/24ATownsville W90-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southside W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game84.187.781.5
Allowed / game83.180.385.2
Point differential+1.0+7.3-3.8
Avg total167.3168.0166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game67.874.761.0
Allowed / game70.771.769.7
Point differential-2.8+3.0-8.7
Avg total138.5146.3130.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W880100%87.673.2+14.4
2 Perth Lynx W86275%87.980.4+7.5
3 Townsville W74357%75.174.9+0.3
4 Southside W73443%84.183.1+1.0
5 Sydney W62433%78.379.2-0.8
6 Geelong United W62433%68.882.5-13.7
7 Canberra Capitals W82625%79.889.8-10.0
8 Adelaide Lightning W61517%67.870.7-2.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southside W1717112671
Adelaide Lightning W2818232897
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