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Bendigo W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 84-70
28-23 20-22 17-18 19-7
Position#1
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Bendigo W 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
Position#6
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AustraliaNBL WRound 1
Women2024-25
Meetings · Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W
19 Dec 2025
BEND75
ADEL67
30 Nov 2025
BEND71
ADEL65
24 Jan 2025
BEND65
ADEL59
02 Nov 2024
BEND84
ADEL70
10 Jan 2024
BEND96
ADEL68
15 Dec 2023
BEND81
ADEL77
10 Dec 2022
BEND84
ADEL75
24 Feb 2022
BEND77
ADEL84
25 Nov 2020
BEND83
ADEL89
01 Nov 2019
BEND67
ADEL54
10 Jan 2019
BEND81
ADEL92
03 Nov 2018
BEND70
ADEL52
27 Oct 2017
BEND66
ADEL79
27 Nov 2016
BEND69
ADEL51
08 Oct 2016
BEND77
ADEL63
14 Feb 2016
BEND78
ADEL92
11 Jan 2015
BEND75
ADEL64
06 Dec 2014
BEND81
ADEL55
30 Nov 2013
BEND78
ADEL65
11 Oct 2013
BEND65
ADEL59
24 Nov 2012
BEND68
ADEL62
04 Feb 2012
BEND87
ADEL97
05 Nov 2011
BEND72
ADEL81
18 Feb 2011
BEND84
ADEL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
65avg 72
H07/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
96-68
96
68
+28
101avg 72
H10/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
88-66
88
66
+22
81avg 72
H14/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
57-84
57
84
-27
46avg 72
A17/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
95-74
95
74
+21
98avg 72
A20/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 72
H25/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 72
H30/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 72
A15/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
93-60
93
60
+33
91avg 72
A18/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
74-93
74
93
-19
62avg 72
H24/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
18-19
20-23
14-23
33-15
18-25
20-10
25-18
22-24
23-21
30-11
13-10
11-30
16-11
13-25
17-18
28-21
20-19
17-22
30-12
25-14
29-26
14-16
25-19
19-19
20-18
29-19
12-14
27-20
22-18
17-21
19-18
19-17
25-20
23-10
26-13
27-16
22-28
13-24
12-25
158.6Avg total
83.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.375.3158.6+8.070%
Last 5 (5)85.075.0160.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)75.078.7153.7-3.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.973.5159.5+12.4100%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
73-86
73
86
-13
59avg 63
A21/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
45avg 63
H30/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 63
H05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
68-84
68
84
-16
55avg 63
A07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
68-96
68
96
-28
51avg 63
A10/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
65-88
65
88
-23
56avg 63
A17/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
90-75
90
75
+15
87avg 63
A20/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
84-67
84
67
+17
81avg 63
H28/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
70-61
70
61
+9
70avg 63
H17/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
74-60
74
60
+14
72avg 63
A24/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
19-19
18-23
22-20
24-19
16-22
15-31
7-15
24-19
12-14
11-22
27-12
14-20
14-17
21-31
19-16
15-33
25-18
10-20
18-25
11-27
16-11
19-22
19-28
17-26
26-15
23-14
24-20
23-26
16-15
18-12
27-14
20-15
22-18
15-15
13-13
17-13
11-16
21-12
25-19
149.9Avg total
72.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.877.1149.9-4.350%
Last 5 (5)76.670.2146.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.276.5146.7-6.331%
vs Similar (9)76.384.8161.1-8.411%
vs Weaker (5)81.480.2161.6+1.260%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
Bendigo WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H07/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H10/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A17/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A20/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H25/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H30/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A15/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A18/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/02
NBL W
84.6Avg total
44.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.578.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.838.980.7+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)40.236.176.3+4.173%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.284.6+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.039.286.2+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)37.839.977.7-2.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.235.279.4+9.087%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A21/12
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A10/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A17/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A20/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H17/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A24/02
NBL W
74.3Avg total
35.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.176.4-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.937.775.7+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.577.2-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.774.3-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.472.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.937.673.5-1.838%-
vs Similar (9)38.040.278.2-2.244%-
vs Weaker (5)40.841.882.6-1.040%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.3
51.1%
46.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.4
34.7%
32.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.414.7
68.7%
75.1%14.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.819.9
46.5%
46.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.5
31.8%
32.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws14.09.3
66.4%
75.1%9.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bendigo W
LWWWWWLWWL
Adelaide Lightning W
WWWWLLLWLL
#1
League position
#6
+10.6
Net rating
-5.9
106.6
Offensive rating
90.5
96.0
Defensive rating
96.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
46.9%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
20.7%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.7%
3-point %
31.8%
65.7%
Assist %
57.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 90.5Defence96.0 · 96.4Shooting51.4% · 46.9%3-point %34.7% · 31.8%Ball care16.5% · 20.7%Off. rebounds26.9% · 23.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Bendigo W   ■ Adelaide Lightning W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bendigo W wins
3
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
10/01/24Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W96-68
15/12/23Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W81-77
02/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W65-70 OT
14/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W68-86
28/12/22Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W66-78
10/12/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W84-75
24/02/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W77-84
05/02/22Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W62-74
09/12/20Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W69-59
25/11/20Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W83-89
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HPerth Lynx W74-93
18/02/24ATownsville W93-60
15/02/24ACanberra Capitals W85-77
30/01/24HGeelong United W80-70
25/01/24HCanberra Capitals W93-75
20/01/24APerth Lynx W95-74
17/01/24ASouthside W57-84
14/01/24HCanberra Capitals W88-66
10/01/24HAdelaide Lightning W96-68
07/01/24HTownsville W72-86
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24ASouthside W74-60
17/02/24HGeelong United W70-61
28/01/24HCanberra Capitals W84-67
20/01/24ATownsville W90-75
17/01/24ASydney W65-88
10/01/24ABendigo W68-96
07/01/24APerth Lynx W68-84
05/01/24HSydney W74-67
30/12/23HSouthside W62-87
21/12/23ACanberra Capitals W73-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W110100%84.058.0+26.0
2 Geelong United W1010%58.084.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo W2820171984
Adelaide Lightning W232218770
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