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Adelaide Lightning W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 78-92
28-25 18-28 18-18 14-21
Position#6
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game84.0
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
vs
Perth Lynx W 🏆
Australia
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.5
AustraliaNBL WRound 2· Adelaide Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W
21 Dec 2025
ADEL82
PERT109
19 Oct 2025
ADEL72
PERT75
01 Feb 2025
ADEL87
PERT69
09 Nov 2024
ADEL78
PERT92
10 Dec 2023
ADEL95
PERT98
02 Mar 2023
ADEL93
PERT97
16 Feb 2023
ADEL82
PERT108
02 Jan 2022
ADEL88
PERT86
06 Dec 2020
ADEL78
PERT80
30 Jan 2020
ADEL75
PERT74
06 Dec 2019
ADEL79
PERT69
30 Dec 2018
ADEL74
PERT67
02 Dec 2017
ADEL74
PERT89
12 Oct 2017
ADEL87
PERT81
27 Jan 2017
ADEL60
PERT80
12 Nov 2016
ADEL63
PERT75
08 Nov 2015
ADEL52
PERT65
01 Feb 2015
ADEL71
PERT58
04 Jan 2015
ADEL78
PERT61
03 Nov 2013
ADEL93
PERT41
05 Oct 2013
ADEL65
PERT69
08 Dec 2012
ADEL85
PERT48
08 Oct 2011
ADEL97
PERT70
19 Feb 2011
ADEL100
PERT103
17 Oct 2010
ADEL83
PERT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
45avg 62
H30/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 62
H05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
68-84
68
84
-16
55avg 62
A07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
68-96
68
96
-28
51avg 62
A10/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
65-88
65
88
-23
56avg 62
A17/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
90-75
90
75
+15
87avg 62
A20/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
84-67
84
67
+17
81avg 62
H28/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
70-61
70
61
+9
70avg 62
H17/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
74-60
74
60
+14
72avg 62
A24/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
56avg 62
A02/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
16-22
15-31
7-15
24-19
12-14
11-22
27-12
14-20
14-17
21-31
19-16
15-33
25-18
10-20
18-25
11-27
16-11
19-22
19-28
17-26
26-15
23-14
24-20
23-26
16-15
18-12
27-14
20-15
22-18
15-15
13-13
17-13
11-16
21-12
25-19
23-28
22-20
18-17
7-19
149.4Avg total
72.5Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.084.0154.0-14.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)70.084.0154.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)72.576.9149.4-4.450%
Last 5 (5)77.669.4147.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.276.9147.1-6.829%
vs Similar (8)76.285.2161.5-9.012%
vs Weaker (5)81.480.2161.6+1.260%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
57avg 77
A31/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
92avg 77
H18/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
W
93-74
93
74
+19
81avg 77
A24/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
88-87
88
87
+1
80avg 77
A29/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
108-102
108
102
+6
110avg 77
H03/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
101-79
101
79
+22
98avg 77
A10/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
95-97
95
97
-2
82avg 77
H14/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
81-115
81
115
-34
64avg 77
A17/03
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
93avg 77
H02/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
67avg 77
H06/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
17-34
11-14
17-24
18-15
28-17
16-27
32-20
16-27
28-22
24-13
25-12
25-27
19-24
27-14
17-22
28-23
28-21
23-24
29-34
26-16
34-21
22-16
19-26
25-28
18-27
28-23
24-19
27-28
12-24
26-33
16-30
31-27
26-18
29-12
8-22
21-26
25-25
17-16
17-17
179.1Avg total
90.4Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.081.5168.5+5.550%
Season at home (2)87.081.5168.5+5.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.488.7179.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)90.290.8181.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.792.0174.7-9.329%
vs Similar (19)85.684.2169.8+1.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)90.282.2172.5+8.075%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
Adelaide Lightning WPerth Lynx W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A10/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A17/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A20/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H17/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A24/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A02/11
NBL W
76.0Avg total
36.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.676.8-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.138.175.3-1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)37.240.978.2-3.731%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.276.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.477.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.438.274.6-1.835%-
vs Similar (8)36.641.277.9-4.638%-
vs Weaker (5)40.841.882.6-1.040%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A31/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H18/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A24/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A29/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H03/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A10/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H14/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/03
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H02/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H06/11
NBL W
94.6Avg total
47.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.788.0+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.242.888.0+2.556%-
Last 30 away (14)43.344.788.0-1.421%-
Last 10 (10)47.746.994.6+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)49.048.097.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.647.693.1-2.029%-
vs Similar (19)43.743.086.7+0.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.240.085.2+5.250%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.120.2
46.9%
46.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.4
31.9%
32.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws13.68.7
64.0%
75.1%8.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.3
49.2%
46.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.012.1
40.3%
32.2%36.3
🏀 Free throws18.213.1
72.0%
75.1%13.1
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide Lightning W
LWWWWLLLWL
Perth Lynx W
LWLLWWWWWL
#6
League position
#2
-6.1
Net rating
+1.9
90.8
Offensive rating
108.6
96.9
Defensive rating
106.7
47.2%
Effective FG%
53.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
20.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.9%
3-point %
40.3%
57.6%
Assist %
55.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 108.6Defence96.9 · 106.7Shooting47.2% · 53.9%3-point %31.9% · 40.3%Ball care20.8% · 17.5%Off. rebounds24.9% · 27.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Adelaide Lightning W   ■ Perth Lynx W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Adelaide Lightning W wins
9
Perth Lynx W wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W84-68
10/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W95-98 OT
11/11/23Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W92-85
02/03/23Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W93-97
16/02/23Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W82-108
30/12/22Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W82-72
09/03/22Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W84-73
07/03/22Perth Lynx W v Adelaide Lightning W104-79
02/01/22Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W88-86
06/12/20Adelaide Lightning W v Perth Lynx W78-80
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24ABendigo W70-84
24/02/24ASouthside W74-60
17/02/24HGeelong United W70-61
28/01/24HCanberra Capitals W84-67
20/01/24ATownsville W90-75
17/01/24ASydney W65-88
10/01/24ABendigo W68-96
07/01/24APerth Lynx W68-84
05/01/24HSydney W74-67
30/12/23HSouthside W62-87
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/24HTownsville W80-84
02/11/24HSouthside W94-79
17/03/24ASouthside W81-115
14/03/24HSouthside W95-97
10/03/24ASouthside W101-79
03/03/24HTownsville W108-102
29/02/24ATownsville W88-87
24/02/24ABendigo W93-74
18/02/24HCanberra Capitals W94-79
31/01/24ASouthside W70-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential-14.0--14.0
Avg total154.0-154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game81.581.5-
Point differential+5.5+5.5-
Avg total168.5168.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W220100%91.573.0+18.5
2 Townsville W220100%84.069.0+15.0
3 Perth Lynx W21150%87.081.5+5.5
4 Sydney W21150%88.584.0+4.5
5 Geelong United W21150%74.085.5-11.5
6 Southside W31233%83.086.3-3.3
7 Adelaide Lightning W1010%70.084.0-14.0
8 Canberra Capitals W2020%80.5100.5-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W2818181478
Perth Lynx W2528182192
← all games of the day
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