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Mt Gambier vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 May 2022
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 82-83
22-18 15-26 22-17 23-22
Position#2
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game103.7
Allowed / game88.8
Mt Gambier
Australia
vs
Geelong 🏆
Australia
Position#8
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game75.0
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 5
Other2022
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Geelong
18 May 2025
MT G94
GEEL88
31 May 2024
MT G77
GEEL84
23 Jun 2023
MT G100
GEEL90
20 May 2022
MT G82
GEEL83
23 Jun 2017
MT G104
GEEL94
15 Jul 2016
MT G87
GEEL98
07 Aug 2015
MT G68
GEEL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A03/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
97-106
97
106
-9
A04/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
W
96-90
96
90
+6
A09/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
109-91
109
91
+18
H10/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
101-95
101
95
+6
H23/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
W
100-91
100
91
+9
H30/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
117-80
117
80
+37
A07/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
109-90
109
90
+19
A14/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
96-88
96
88
+8
A15/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
22-16
22-26
16-13
31-36
24-29
21-18
21-23
26-18
22-24
25-26
23-22
19-19
29-21
30-32
31-19
22-19
27-16
27-30
25-30
22-23
23-25
26-26
29-17
34-14
32-20
28-26
23-20
29-20
16-20
19-30
35-19
28-18
34-22
25-22
22-28
20-29
19-14
28-19
29-26
190.8Avg total
101.1Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)103.788.8192.5+14.8100%
Season at home (2)100.593.0193.5+7.5100%
Season away (4)105.286.8192.0+18.5100%
Last 10 (10)101.189.7190.8+11.490%
Last 5 (5)104.287.6191.8+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)92.694.1186.8-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)101.184.5185.6+16.595%
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#1
W
98-70
98
70
+28
A03/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H09/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H31/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A01/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
A23/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
110-59
110
59
+51
H30/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A01/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H07/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H13/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A14/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-20
23-8
28-9
13-33
18-26
24-22
26-25
22-23
17-23
24-22
27-15
22-20
22-15
22-24
16-25
23-21
26-21
29-23
17-19
15-24
26-12
21-16
24-15
39-16
22-29
24-19
23-13
21-12
30-25
17-16
21-16
16-19
10-19
24-17
21-15
9-19
26-22
18-28
21-16
20-10
167.3Avg total
89.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.575.0163.5+13.583%
Season at home (3)86.068.3154.3+17.767%
Season away (3)91.081.7172.7+9.3100%
Last 10 (10)89.278.1167.3+11.170%
Last 5 (5)86.670.8157.4+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.279.8152.0-7.717%
vs Similar (12)87.883.1170.8+4.758%
vs Weaker (12)90.777.0167.7+13.7100%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
Mt GambierGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A03/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A04/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A09/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H10/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H23/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H30/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
66-34
66
34
+32
A07/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
62-40
62
40
+22
A14/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/05
NBL1 South
93.1Avg total
50.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.942.991.8+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.041.387.3+4.769%-
Last 30 away (17)51.144.295.3+6.965%-
Last 10 (10)50.642.593.1+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)51.441.092.4+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)44.148.492.5-4.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)50.641.091.6+9.782%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#1
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A03/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H31/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A01/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A23/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H30/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A01/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H07/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H13/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A14/05
NBL1 South
86.4Avg total
45.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.140.083.1+3.159%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.539.880.3+0.750%-
Last 30 away (15)45.540.185.7+5.467%-
Last 10 (10)45.740.786.4+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.684.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.843.080.8-5.217%-
vs Similar (11)43.937.881.7+6.173%-
vs Weaker (12)45.040.485.4+4.667%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mt Gambier wins
2
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
09/07/21Geelong v Mt Gambier90-96
23/06/17Mt Gambier v Geelong104-94
17/06/17Geelong v Mt Gambier72-95
15/07/16Mt Gambier v Geelong87-98
22/04/16Geelong v Mt Gambier74-97
07/08/15Mt Gambier v Geelong68-69
20/06/15Geelong v Mt Gambier73-94
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/22AKeilor Thunder96-88
14/05/22ARingwood109-90
08/05/22ADandenong99-89
07/05/22ACasey Cavaliers117-80
30/04/22HFrankston100-91
23/04/22HDiamond Valley101-95
10/07/21HSandringham Sabres109-91
09/07/21AGeelong96-90
04/07/21ANunawading97-106
03/07/21AKilsyth87-77
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/22AEltham85-76
13/05/22HKnox64-70
07/05/22HKeilor Thunder84-76
01/05/22ABendigo Braves90-73
30/04/22HRingwood110-59
23/04/22ABallarat98-96 OT
01/08/21ANunawading83-85
31/07/21HBendigo Braves90-80
09/07/21HMt Gambier90-96
03/07/21ANW Tasmania98-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game103.7100.5105.2
Allowed / game88.893.086.8
Point differential+14.8+7.5+18.5
Avg total192.5193.5192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game88.586.091.0
Allowed / game75.068.381.7
Point differential+13.5+17.7+9.3
Avg total163.5154.3172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier660100%103.788.8+14.8
2 Geelong65183%88.575.0+13.5
3 Frankston54180%94.480.8+13.6
4 Nunawading54180%77.867.8+10.0
5 Ballarat64267%88.882.0+6.8
6 Kilsyth64267%76.873.7+3.2
7 Hobart Chargers53260%83.478.6+4.8
8 Waverley53260%86.283.6+2.6
9 NW Tasmania53260%72.476.6-4.2
10 Ringwood53260%76.285.6-9.4
11 Knox63350%81.576.8+4.7
12 Diamond Valley52340%85.689.0-3.4
13 Melbourne Tigers52340%75.883.4-7.6
14 Sandringham Sabres62433%75.284.7-9.5
15 Dandenong51420%79.883.4-3.6
16 Keilor Thunder51420%78.081.6-3.6
17 Casey Cavaliers61517%77.089.3-12.3
18 Bendigo Braves5050%71.281.8-10.6
19 Eltham5050%70.084.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier2215222382
Geelong1826172283
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