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Gipuzkoa vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-87
21-21 21-27 23-22 20-17
Position#7
Record7-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#6
Record14-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game79.3
SpainPrimera FEBRound 21· Plaza de Toros de Illumbe
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gipuzkoa v Palencia
27 Mar 2027
GIP v PAL
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
GIP57
PAL71
16 Feb 2025
GIP85
PAL87
06 Nov 2022
GIP75
PAL66
20 Mar 2022
GIP68
PAL74
19 Apr 2020
GIP v PAL
upcoming
08 Nov 2016
GIP73
PAL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gipuzkoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GipuzkoaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGipuzkoa
Date
Competition
Alicante
#12
L
82-95
82
95
-13
74avg 71
A11/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
75-84
75
84
-9
57avg 71
A15/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
84-85
84
85
-1
70avg 71
H20/12
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
83-60
83
60
+23
80avg 71
H29/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
73-87
73
87
-14
68avg 71
A04/01
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
63avg 71
A10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
64avg 71
H17/01
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
82avg 71
A01/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
80-92
80
92
-12
66avg 71
A08/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
61avg 71
H12/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
22-28
21-21
18-22
19-22
22-19
18-19
16-24
20-16
15-21
25-30
24-18
24-16
22-15
13-13
24-16
19-24
20-25
13-23
21-15
32-29
13-28
21-20
13-11
14-26
20-14
19-27
22-21
20-21
20-17
20-26
21-10
23-20
18-25
27-20
12-27
12-18
26-16
18-16
15-21
162.7Avg total
79.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.478.8154.2-3.435%
Season at home (10)73.974.6148.5-0.740%
Season away (10)76.983.0159.9-6.130%
Last 10 (10)79.183.6162.7-4.520%
Last 5 (5)78.885.0163.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.386.0162.3-9.717%
vs Similar (10)80.284.6164.8-4.430%
vs Weaker (8)79.171.4150.5+7.875%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 77
A11/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
114-81
114
81
+33
113avg 77
H14/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 77
A20/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
90-75
90
75
+15
90avg 77
H28/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
78-84
78
84
-6
63avg 77
A04/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 77
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
83-59
83
59
+24
83avg 77
A18/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
79avg 77
H01/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
96-95
96
95
+1
97avg 77
A07/02
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 77
H12/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
27-22
9-22
22-15
31-14
30-21
26-21
27-25
25-17
19-24
27-10
20-20
24-10
14-25
30-19
22-21
24-18
20-26
18-22
16-18
24-27
18-19
24-18
13-11
24-19
13-14
25-13
21-13
19-20
26-20
22-19
22-29
22-28
20-20
23-21
31-26
24-21
20-18
18-22
23-26
167.5Avg total
87.8Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.079.3166.4+7.770%
Season at home (10)89.378.5167.8+10.880%
Season away (10)84.880.2165.0+4.660%
Last 10 (10)87.879.7167.5+8.170%
Last 5 (5)86.480.8167.2+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.188.3168.4-8.29%
vs Similar (6)80.786.0166.7-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.675.9166.5+14.792%
This opponent (Gipuzkoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
GipuzkoaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GipuzkoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#12
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A11/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/12
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H29/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A04/01
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H17/01
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/02
Primera FEB
82.6Avg total
40.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.180.5+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.135.276.4+5.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.944.384.2-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.482.6-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.882.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.142.382.4-2.233%-
vs Similar (10)41.540.982.4+0.650%-
vs Weaker (8)39.835.675.4+4.175%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A11/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H14/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A20/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H28/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A18/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H01/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A07/02
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/02
Primera FEB
84.5Avg total
43.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.181.3+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.139.181.3+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.241.181.3-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.684.5+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.283.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.840.379.1-1.545%-
vs Similar (6)39.044.783.7-5.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.237.982.1+6.269%-
This opponent (Gipuzkoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gipuzkoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gipuzkoa: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.4
45.1%
51.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.2
30.1%
33.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.911.3
71.1%
73.6%11.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gipuzkoa
LLWLLLWLLL
Palencia
LWWWWLWWWL
#7
League position
#6
-23.3
Net rating
-11.7
96.7
Offensive rating
106.7
120.0
Defensive rating
118.4
45.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
59.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.1%
3-point %
34.1%
44.7%
Assist %
64.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 106.7Defence120.0 · 118.4Shooting45.1% · 51.8%3-point %30.1% · 34.1%Ball care16.9% · 16.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Gipuzkoa   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gipuzkoa wins
5
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
04/10/24Palencia v Gipuzkoa78-69
10/03/23Palencia v Gipuzkoa85-74
06/11/22Gipuzkoa v Palencia75-66
20/03/22Gipuzkoa v Palencia68-74
13/11/21Palencia v Gipuzkoa85-73
22/12/19Palencia v Gipuzkoa60-73
24/02/17Palencia v Gipuzkoa92-83
08/11/16Gipuzkoa v Palencia73-69
Gipuzkoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HAlicante79-83 OT
08/02/25AFuenlabrada80-92
01/02/25AMoron81-74
17/01/25HEstudiantes75-88
10/01/25ATizona Burgos79-88
04/01/25AOviedo73-87
29/12/24HEstela83-60
20/12/24HCartagena84-85
15/12/24AZamora75-84
11/12/24AAlicante82-95
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HSan Pablo Burgos85-87
07/02/25AAlicante96-95
01/02/25HFuenlabrada89-88
18/01/25AEstela83-59
10/01/25HZamora79-75
04/01/25AHestia Menorca78-84
28/12/24HReal Valladolid90-75
20/12/24AOviedo91-71
14/12/24HOurense114-81
11/12/24AFuenlabrada73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gipuzkoa
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game75.473.976.9
Allowed / game78.874.683.0
Point differential-3.4-0.7-6.1
Avg total154.2148.5159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %5%10%0%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game87.089.384.8
Allowed / game79.378.580.2
Point differential+7.7+10.8+4.6
Avg total166.4167.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos2019195%90.575.4+15.2
2 Fuenlabrada2118386%85.073.7+11.3
3 Estudiantes2118386%88.077.9+10.1
4 Real Betis2116576%83.073.9+9.1
5 Palencia2014670%87.079.3+7.7
6 Obradoiro CAB1911858%80.374.5+5.8
7 Tizona Burgos2112957%90.390.4-0.1
8 Ourense21101148%84.283.3+0.9
9 Cartagena21101148%78.285.0-6.7
10 Zamora2191243%79.181.4-2.3
11 Hestia Menorca2081240%75.377.5-2.2
12 Oviedo2181338%77.681.4-3.8
13 Gipuzkoa2071335%75.478.8-3.4
14 Castello2171433%79.588.2-8.7
15 Estela2061430%74.582.9-8.4
16 Real Valladolid2161529%76.684.0-7.5
17 Alicante2151624%74.779.0-4.3
18 Moron201195%72.785.0-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gipuzkoa2121232085
Palencia2127221787
← all games of the day
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