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Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 127-145
28-41 22-29 44-38 33-37
Position#20
Record25-19
FormLWWWW
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game113.2
vs
Position#11
Record25-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game113.8
Allowed / game112.1
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Toronto Raptors
25 Mar 2027
GSW v TOR
upcoming
20 Jan 2026
GSW127
TOR145
20 Mar 2025
GSW117
TOR114
07 Jan 2024
GSW118
TOR133
27 Jan 2023
GSW129
TOR117
21 Nov 2021
GSW119
TOR104
10 Jan 2021
GSW106
TOR105
05 Mar 2020
GSW113
TOR121
12 Dec 2018
GSW93
TOR113
25 Oct 2017
GSW117
TOR112
28 Dec 2016
GSW121
TOR111
17 Nov 2015
GSW115
TOR110
02 Jan 2015
GSW126
TOR105
03 Dec 2013
GSW112
TOR103
04 Mar 2013
GSW125
TOR118
25 Mar 2011
GSW138
TOR100
13 Mar 2010
GSW124
TOR112
29 Dec 2008
GSW117
TOR111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
94-131
94
131
-37
79avg 107
H03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
123-114
123
114
+9
122avg 107
H04/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
102-103
102
103
-1
88avg 107
A06/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
120-113
120
113
+7
116avg 107
H08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
137-103
137
103
+34
139avg 107
H10/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
111-124
111
124
-13
107avg 107
H12/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
119-97
119
97
+22
114avg 107
H14/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
126-113
126
113
+13
119avg 107
H16/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
136-116
136
116
+20
135avg 107
H18/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
135-112
135
112
+23
136avg 107
H20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
22-30
21-31
28-36
25-29
33-36
42-31
23-18
19-31
32-24
13-21
38-27
31-31
33-22
34-29
22-31
34-29
29-30
34-25
40-19
28-27
25-32
25-35
33-30
38-24
29-17
28-30
24-26
30-35
32-24
37-28
27-26
39-28
30-29
43-37
24-22
36-34
34-32
34-27
31-19
232.9Avg total
120.3Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)116.7113.2229.9+3.457%
Season at home (23)119.9111.5231.4+8.374%
Season away (21)113.1115.1228.3-2.038%
Last 10 (10)120.3112.6232.9+7.770%
Last 5 (5)125.4112.4237.8+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)116.7118.8235.5-2.250%
vs Similar ◀ (17)114.1112.1226.1+2.041%
vs Weaker (7)126.1108.7234.9+17.4100%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
103-106
103
106
-3
90avg 105
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
134-117
134
117
+17
132avg 105
H04/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
118-100
118
100
+18
118avg 105
H06/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
97-96
97
96
+1
79avg 105
A08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
117-125
117
125
-8
113avg 105
A10/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
116-115 OT
116
115
+1
101avg 105
H11/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
102-115
102
115
-13
90avg 105
H13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
115-101
115
101
+14
112avg 105
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
117-121 OT
117
121
-4
110avg 105
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
93-110
93
110
-17
85avg 105
A19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
31-31
25-22
24-21
35-29
42-41
30-36
27-11
31-26
30-23
25-24
32-27
25-22
20-28
21-22
31-24
30-37
30-31
26-29
31-28
22-25
36-23
18-36
31-23
28-45
23-35
26-19
25-16
39-18
28-30
27-30
21-23
32-24
29-28
28-26
20-31
30-23
24-32
26-32
13-23
221.8Avg total
111.2Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)113.8112.1225.9+1.758%
Season at home (22)115.1112.6227.7+2.559%
Season away (21)112.4111.6224.0+0.857%
Last 10 (10)111.2110.6221.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)108.6112.4221.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)105.0118.5223.5-13.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)111.8109.9221.8+1.963%
vs Weaker (7)111.4107.7219.1+3.771%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
Golden State WarriorsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
45-64
45
64
-19
H03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H04/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A06/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H10/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H12/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
67-41
67
41
+26
H14/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H16/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H18/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H20/01
NBA
118.0Avg total
60.2Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.556.2114.6+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)60.657.4118.1+3.272%-
Last 30 away (12)55.254.2109.5+1.058%-
Last 10 (10)60.257.8118.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)64.256.4120.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)58.059.0117.0-1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.755.2111.9+1.559%-
vs Weaker (7)63.156.1119.3+7.086%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H04/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H06/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A10/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H11/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
51-80
51
80
-29
H13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
67-48
67
48
+19
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A19/01
NBA
117.1Avg total
58.8Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.257.2113.4-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (18)57.958.7116.6-0.867%-
Last 30 away (12)53.754.9108.6-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)58.858.3117.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)58.256.6114.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.563.2118.8-7.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)56.257.1113.3-0.953%-
vs Weaker (7)56.753.9110.6+2.971%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 120.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers53.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.9
58.9%
54.8%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.917.9
38.2%
35.8%53.7
🏀 Free throws18.314.8
80.9%
78.1%14.8
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.231.8
55.6%
54.8%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.610.0
28.1%
35.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.617.6
77.9%
78.1%17.6
They take 92.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWWLWWLWL
Toronto Raptors
LLWLWLWWWL
#20
League position
#11
+7.6
Net rating
+0.6
119.3
Offensive rating
110.6
111.6
Defensive rating
110.0
58.0%
Effective FG%
50.4%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
12.0%
Turnover %
10.7%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.2%
3-point %
28.1%
71.2%
Assist %
70.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 110.6Defence111.6 · 110.0Shooting58.0% · 50.4%3-point %38.2% · 28.1%Ball care12.0% · 10.7%Off. rebounds23.9% · 27.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26HMiami Heat135-112
18/01/26HCharlotte Hornets136-116
16/01/26HNew York Knicks126-113
14/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-97
12/01/26HAtlanta Hawks111-124
10/01/26HSacramento Kings137-103
08/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks120-113
06/01/26ALos Angeles Clippers102-103
04/01/26HUtah Jazz123-114
03/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder94-131
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers93-110
17/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers117-121 OT
15/01/26AIndiana Pacers115-101
13/01/26HPhiladelphia 76ers102-115
11/01/26HPhiladelphia 76ers116-115 OT
10/01/26ABoston Celtics117-125
08/01/26ACharlotte Hornets97-96
06/01/26HAtlanta Hawks118-100
04/01/26HAtlanta Hawks134-117
01/01/26HDenver Nuggets103-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLWWWW74%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %57%74%38%
Points / game116.7119.9113.1
Allowed / game113.2111.5115.1
Point differential+3.4+8.3-2.0
Avg total229.9231.4228.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%52%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)33% (3)33% (9)
Overtime %5%4%5%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL58%
HomeWWWLL59%
AwayLWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %58%59%57%
Points / game113.8115.1112.4
Allowed / game112.1112.6111.6
Point differential+1.7+2.5+0.8
Avg total225.9227.7224.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%36%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)62% (8)100% (1)
Overtime %9%14%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4235783%121.3108.3+13.0
2 Detroit Pistons41311076%117.3110.1+7.3
3 Denver Nuggets43291467%121.7117.0+4.7
4 San Antonio Spurs42281467%117.5112.6+4.9
5 Houston Rockets41261563%117.0110.5+6.4
6 Phoenix Suns43271663%115.3111.2+4.1
7 Los Angeles Lakers40251562%116.2116.3-0.1
8 Boston Celtics42261662%116.7110.0+6.7
9 Minnesota Timberwolves44271761%120.1115.0+5.1
10 Toronto Raptors43251858%113.8112.1+1.7
11 Golden State Warriors44251957%116.7113.2+3.4
12 New York Knicks41231856%117.6115.1+2.5
13 Orlando Magic40221855%116.0114.9+1.1
14 Philadelphia 76ers42231955%116.5115.4+1.2
15 Cleveland Cavaliers44242055%119.6117.8+1.8
16 Miami Heat42222052%119.6118.3+1.3
17 Portland Trail Blazers44222250%116.2118.2-1.9
18 Chicago Bulls43212249%117.9120.0-2.1
19 Atlanta Hawks45202544%117.5119.0-1.5
20 Los Angeles Clippers43192444%112.3113.8-1.4
21 Memphis Grizzlies41182344%115.1116.0-1.0
22 Milwaukee Bucks42182443%112.4115.6-3.2
23 Dallas Mavericks44182641%114.2116.6-2.4
24 Charlotte Hornets43162737%116.4116.4+0.0
25 Utah Jazz44152934%119.3127.4-8.1
26 Brooklyn Nets41122929%109.0114.3-5.4
27 Sacramento Kings43123128%110.6120.5-9.9
28 Washington Wizards42103224%112.5123.6-11.0
29 Indiana Pacers44103423%110.1118.3-8.2
30 New Orleans Pelicans45103522%114.9122.2-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors28224433127
Toronto Raptors41293837145
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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