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Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 125-117
37-30 31-30 29-26 28-31
Position#5
Record23-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game110.6
vs
Position#11
Record23-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game111.7
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Toronto Raptors
14 Feb 2027
BOS v TOR
upcoming
25 Jan 2027
BOS v TOR
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
BOS115
TOR101
09 Jan 2026
BOS125
TOR117
31 Dec 2024
BOS125
TOR71
16 Nov 2024
BOS126
TOR123
29 Dec 2023
BOS120
TOR118
11 Nov 2023
BOS117
TOR94
07 Apr 2023
BOS121
TOR102
05 Apr 2023
BOS97
TOR93
10 Nov 2021
BOS104
TOR88
22 Oct 2021
BOS83
TOR115
04 Mar 2021
BOS132
TOR125
11 Feb 2021
BOS120
TOR106
09 Sep 2020
BOS122
TOR125
05 Sep 2020
BOS93
TOR100
03 Sep 2020
BOS103
TOR104
28 Dec 2019
BOS97
TOR113
25 Oct 2019
BOS112
TOR106
16 Jan 2019
BOS117
TOR108
16 Nov 2018
BOS123
TOR116
31 Mar 2018
BOS110
TOR99
12 Nov 2017
BOS95
TOR94
01 Feb 2017
BOS109
TOR104
09 Dec 2016
BOS94
TOR101
23 Mar 2016
BOS91
TOR79
30 Oct 2015
BOS103
TOR113
14 Apr 2015
BOS95
TOR93
05 Nov 2014
BOS107
TOR110
26 Mar 2014
BOS90
TOR99
15 Jan 2014
BOS88
TOR83
13 Mar 2013
BOS112
TOR88
17 Nov 2012
BOS107
TOR89
01 Feb 2012
BOS100
TOR64
18 Jan 2012
BOS96
TOR73
21 Dec 2011
BOS81
TOR73
07 Jan 2011
BOS122
TOR102
26 Nov 2010
BOS110
TOR101
02 Jan 2010
BOS103
TOR96
27 Nov 2009
BOS116
TOR103
12 Jan 2009
BOS115
TOR109
10 Nov 2008
BOS94
TOR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
129-116
129
116
+13
128avg 106
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
112-96
112
96
+16
105avg 106
A21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
103-95
103
95
+8
92avg 106
H23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
140-122
140
122
+18
137avg 106
A27/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
108-114
108
114
-6
92avg 106
A28/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
129-119
129
119
+10
122avg 106
A31/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
120-106
120
106
+14
113avg 106
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
146-115
146
115
+31
143avg 106
A04/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
115-101
115
101
+14
101avg 106
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
110-114
110
114
-4
96avg 106
H08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
28-29
34-31
37-27
32-20
17-31
34-29
29-16
26-35
17-26
31-21
29-13
28-39
47-22
36-30
29-31
30-31
33-24
22-31
23-28
31-38
28-26
40-32
30-23
28-29
34-32
26-27
32-18
42-28
29-35
42-36
33-16
31-14
23-19
31-34
30-34
35-31
23-27
24-21
28-35
231.0Avg total
121.2Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)117.6110.6228.1+7.064%
Season at home (17)117.9111.2229.1+6.665%
Season away (19)117.3109.9227.2+7.363%
Last 10 (10)121.2109.8231.0+11.480%
Last 5 (5)124.0111.0235.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)111.2117.0228.2-5.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)119.8110.0229.9+9.872%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
96-112
96
112
-16
88avg 106
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
81-96
81
96
-15
69avg 106
A21/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
112-91
112
91
+21
113avg 106
A24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
117-138
117
138
-21
103avg 106
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
141-127 OT
141
127
+14
141avg 106
H28/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
107-106
107
106
+1
94avg 106
H30/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
103-106
103
106
-3
90avg 106
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
134-117
134
117
+17
132avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
118-100
118
100
+18
118avg 106
H06/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
97-96
97
96
+1
79avg 106
A08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
31-17
29-34
16-29
18-24
21-25
26-18
16-29
21-16
30-28
31-23
30-24
32-35
30-38
38-29
17-36
33-29
32-35
31-36
26-22
18-29
36-36
30-29
23-12
23-32
31-31
25-22
24-21
35-29
42-41
30-36
27-11
31-26
30-23
25-24
32-27
25-22
20-28
21-22
31-24
219.5Avg total
110.6Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)114.4111.7226.1+2.662%
Season at home (19)115.6111.9227.6+3.763%
Season away (18)113.1111.5224.6+1.661%
Last 10 (10)110.6108.9219.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)111.8105.0216.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)101.0116.3217.3-15.30%
vs Similar (18)114.0109.3223.3+4.772%
vs Weaker (9)115.7108.1223.8+7.678%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Boston CelticsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A27/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A28/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A31/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A04/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H08/01
NBA
115.7Avg total
59.2Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.255.4115.6+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.753.0111.7+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)61.657.9119.5+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)59.256.5115.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)60.855.8116.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)55.657.4113.0-1.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)61.155.0116.1+6.068%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A21/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H28/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H30/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H01/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H04/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H06/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A08/01
NBA
113.5Avg total
55.9Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.856.6113.4+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.158.1117.2+0.969%-
Last 30 away (14)54.254.9109.1-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)55.957.6113.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)58.259.4117.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)54.061.7115.7-7.733%-
vs Similar (18)56.556.9113.4-0.450%-
vs Weaker (9)58.354.2112.6+4.178%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 121.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.827.7
56.8%
54.8%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.816.6
38.8%
35.8%49.8
🏀 Free throws19.916.0
80.4%
78.1%16.0
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.329.9
54.1%
54.8%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.011.6
30.5%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.616.0
81.6%
78.1%16.0
They take 93.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWWWLWWWW
Toronto Raptors
WWWLWWLWLL
#5
League position
#11
+11.8
Net rating
+1.7
123.3
Offensive rating
110.0
111.5
Defensive rating
108.4
57.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
11.6%
Turnover %
11.4%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.8%
3-point %
30.5%
52.1%
Assist %
66.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.3 · 110.0Defence111.5 · 108.4Shooting57.4% · 50.7%3-point %38.8% · 30.5%Ball care11.6% · 11.4%Off. rebounds31.6% · 26.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Boston Celtics wins
1
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HDenver Nuggets110-114
06/01/26HChicago Bulls115-101
04/01/26ALos Angeles Clippers146-115
02/01/26ASacramento Kings120-106
31/12/25AUtah Jazz129-119
28/12/25APortland Trail Blazers108-114
27/12/25AIndiana Pacers140-122
23/12/25HIndiana Pacers103-95
21/12/25AToronto Raptors112-96
20/12/25HMiami Heat129-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26ACharlotte Hornets97-96
06/01/26HAtlanta Hawks118-100
04/01/26HAtlanta Hawks134-117
01/01/26HDenver Nuggets103-106
30/12/25HOrlando Magic107-106
28/12/25HGolden State Warriors141-127 OT
27/12/25AWashington Wizards117-138
24/12/25AMiami Heat112-91
21/12/25ABrooklyn Nets81-96
21/12/25HBoston Celtics96-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeLWWWL65%
AwayWLWWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %64%65%63%
Points / game117.6117.9117.3
Allowed / game110.6111.2109.9
Point differential+7.0+6.6+7.3
Avg total228.1229.1227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%35%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWLWW63%
AwayWLWLW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %62%63%61%
Points / game114.4115.6113.1
Allowed / game111.7111.9111.5
Point differential+2.6+3.7+1.6
Avg total226.1227.6224.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%42%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3630683%121.3108.5+12.8
2 Detroit Pistons3728976%118.5111.6+6.9
3 San Antonio Spurs35241169%118.9113.3+5.6
4 Los Angeles Lakers34231168%116.3116.1+0.1
5 Denver Nuggets37251268%124.1118.1+6.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves38251366%119.9114.3+5.7
7 Houston Rockets34221265%118.9110.7+8.1
8 Boston Celtics36231364%117.6110.6+7.0
9 New York Knicks35221363%119.4115.3+4.1
10 Toronto Raptors37231462%114.4111.7+2.6
11 Phoenix Suns36221461%115.5111.7+3.8
12 Philadelphia 76ers35201557%117.6116.2+1.4
13 Miami Heat36201656%120.4117.4+3.0
14 Orlando Magic36201656%116.5115.0+1.5
15 Cleveland Cavaliers39211854%119.3117.2+2.1
16 Golden State Warriors38201853%115.0113.6+1.3
17 Portland Trail Blazers38182047%116.5119.1-2.6
18 Atlanta Hawks39182146%118.4119.4-0.9
19 Chicago Bulls37172046%117.1121.2-4.1
20 Memphis Grizzlies37162143%115.2116.6-1.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks37162143%113.3115.6-2.3
22 Dallas Mavericks38142437%113.1116.9-3.8
23 Los Angeles Clippers36132336%112.1114.4-2.4
24 Utah Jazz37132435%119.6126.7-7.1
25 Charlotte Hornets38132534%115.4117.2-1.8
26 Brooklyn Nets34112332%109.3114.0-4.7
27 Washington Wizards36102628%113.5124.2-10.7
28 Sacramento Kings3782922%109.9121.6-11.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans3983121%114.5122.7-8.2
30 Indiana Pacers3873118%110.8119.5-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics37312928125
Toronto Raptors30302631117
← all games of the day
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