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Gran Canaria vs Le Mans Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-68
19-18 27-21 13-19 14-10
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLLLWL
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#14
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 2· Gran Canaria Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Gran Canaria v Le Mans
15 Oct 2025
GKA73
LMA68
17 Nov 2015
GKA77
LMA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Le Mans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
69avg 75
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 75
H14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 75
H17/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
87avg 75
A25/05
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
69-76
69
76
-7
56avg 75
H30/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
39avg 75
A02/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
94-102 OT
94
102
-8
84avg 75
H04/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
66avg 75
A05/10
ACB
Benfica
#40
W
98-61
98
61
+37
96avg 75
A07/10
Champions League
Unicaja
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 75
H11/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
21-20
12-28
19-21
13-19
28-19
28-29
25-23
17-18
20-18
21-21
21-11
27-18
13-18
32-17
10-21
23-17
9-20
16-21
21-18
15-26
26-18
8-34
25-20
24-16
22-27
26-24
18-23
18-22
15-22
23-27
15-10
32-16
33-8
22-19
11-18
22-16
19-11
15-34
16-20
162.9Avg total
81.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.061.0159.0+37.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)98.061.0159.0+37.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.281.7162.9-0.540%
Last 5 (5)81.884.6166.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.684.4159.9-8.821%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.286.1171.3-0.956%
vs Weaker (6)90.577.8168.3+12.7100%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
La Rochelle
#16
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
116avg 97
A17/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
69-76
69
76
-7
77avg 97
A28/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
88-87
88
87
+1
97avg 97
H30/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
92avg 97
A01/06
LNB
Paris
#4
W
90-87
90
87
+3
101avg 97
H20/09
LNB Super Cup
Monaco
#1
L
79-104
79
104
-25
90avg 97
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Dijon
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
102avg 97
A26/09
LNB
Paris
#2
W
95-89
95
89
+6
87avg 97
H06/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#28
L
73-74
73
74
-1
59avg 97
A08/10
Champions League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
66-91
66
91
-25
50avg 97
A11/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
27-15
22-27
13-28
20-18
13-11
21-21
15-26
13-19
20-15
33-28
22-25
21-21
18-21
14-19
23-24
28-23
24-17
22-25
16-22
16-30
16-17
23-31
24-26
16-22
25-24
27-20
23-23
32-25
14-20
14-23
35-21
18-18
20-12
13-19
22-25
18-27
12-20
18-26
18-18
170.7Avg total
82.7Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.074.0147.0-1.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)73.074.0147.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)82.788.0170.7-5.350%
Last 5 (5)80.889.4170.2-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)89.297.5186.8-8.225%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.785.6174.3+3.169%
vs Weaker (12)87.983.5171.4+4.458%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.7-2.7
Gran CanariaLe Mans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H17/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A25/05
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H04/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A05/10
ACB
Benfica
#40
W
65-24
65
24
+41
A07/10
Champions League
Unicaja
#9
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H11/10
ACB
79.0Avg total
42.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.681.8+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.378.9+2.480%-
Last 30 away (15)43.840.984.7+2.947%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.679.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.236.481.6+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.240.779.9-1.543%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.340.282.6+2.167%-
vs Weaker (6)49.537.587.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Rochelle
#16
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A17/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A28/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H30/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A01/06
LNB
Paris
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H20/09
LNB Super Cup
Monaco
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Dijon
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A26/09
LNB
Paris
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H06/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#28
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A08/10
Champions League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A11/10
LNB
79.0Avg total
39.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.085.0+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.838.484.2+7.483%-
Last 30 away (18)42.742.885.4-0.139%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.379.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.080.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.849.593.2-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.540.083.5+3.562%-
vs Weaker (12)44.339.383.7+5.058%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.2
55.7%
52.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.4
33.1%
33.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.215.6
73.6%
74.1%15.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.4
48.8%
52.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.7
34.3%
33.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.914.6
66.7%
74.1%14.6
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
LWLLLLWWWL
Le Mans
LLWWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#14
-0.7
Net rating
-8.2
108.0
Offensive rating
112.6
108.6
Defensive rating
120.8
52.9%
Effective FG%
49.8%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
11.3%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.1%
3-point %
34.3%
65.2%
Assist %
61.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 112.6Defence108.6 · 120.8Shooting52.9% · 49.8%3-point %33.1% · 34.3%Ball care15.6% · 11.3%Off. rebounds23.2% · 34.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Le Mans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gran Canaria wins
0
Le Mans wins
DateGameScore
17/11/15Gran Canaria v Le Mans77-62
13/10/15Le Mans v Gran Canaria74-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HUnicaja72-81
07/10/25ABenfica98-61
05/10/25AReal Madrid71-81
04/06/25HValencia94-102 OT
02/06/25AValencia74-98
30/05/25HMurcia69-76
25/05/25ABreogan82-74
17/05/25HJoventut Badalona79-68
14/05/25HForca Lleida94-90
10/05/25AValencia79-86
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne66-91
08/10/25ASpartak Subotica73-74
06/10/25HParis95-89
26/09/25ADijon91-89
21/09/25AMonaco79-104
20/09/25HParis90-87
01/06/25AMonaco76-85
30/05/25HMonaco88-87
28/05/25AMonaco69-76
17/05/25ALa Rochelle100-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
Champions League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game98.0-98.0
Allowed / game61.0-61.0
Point differential+37.0-+37.0
Avg total159.0-159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Le Mans
Champions League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total147.0-147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria110100%98.061.0+37.0
2 Unicaja220100%84.560.5+24.0
3 Joventut Badalona220100%86.069.0+17.0
4 AEK Athens220100%80.065.0+15.0
5 Tenerife220100%96.081.5+14.5
6 Chalon/Saone550100%96.283.6+12.6
7 Galatasaray110100%94.082.0+12.0
8 Wurzburg220100%74.065.5+8.5
9 Promitheas220100%78.573.5+5.0
10 Tofas220100%90.587.5+3.0
11 Spartak Subotica110100%74.073.0+1.0
12 Levice54180%83.478.6+4.8
13 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
14 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
15 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
16 Bursaspor53260%79.274.6+4.6
17 Nymburk21150%94.081.0+13.0
18 Szolnoki Olaj21150%80.572.5+8.0
19 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
20 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
21 Alba Berlin21150%80.578.5+2.0
22 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
23 Heidelberg21150%87.586.0+1.5
24 Rytas21150%88.088.5-0.5
25 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
26 Cholet21150%78.581.5-3.0
27 Hapoel Holon21150%74.577.5-3.0
28 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
29 AS Karditsas21150%75.082.5-7.5
30 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
31 Le Mans1010%73.074.0-1.0
32 Oostende1010%93.095.0-2.0
33 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
34 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
35 Trapani2020%83.587.5-4.0
36 Legia2020%74.580.5-6.0
37 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
38 Igokea2020%75.082.0-7.0
39 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
40 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
41 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
42 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
43 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
44 Bnei Herzliya2020%85.599.0-13.5
45 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
46 Trieste1010%63.078.0-15.0
47 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
48 VEF Riga2020%63.080.5-17.5
49 Sabah Baku2020%70.589.0-18.5
50 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
51 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
52 Mersin SK1010%66.097.0-31.0
53 Benfica1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gran Canaria1927131473
Le Mans1821191068
← all games of the day
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