PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 81-71
22-18 22-15 27-23 10-15
Position#2
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Gran Canaria
Spain
Position#15
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SpainACBRound 1· Movistar Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Real Madrid v Gran Canaria
05 Oct 2025
MAD81
GKA71
10 Nov 2024
MAD83
GKA77
15 May 2024
MAD105
GKA70
10 Dec 2023
MAD97
GKA71
28 May 2023
MAD95
GKA68
08 Jan 2023
MAD105
GKA85
24 Oct 2021
MAD70
GKA75
31 May 2021
MAD103
GKA79
31 Jan 2021
MAD81
GKA80
09 Dec 2018
MAD87
GKA63
20 Nov 2018
MAD89
GKA76
05 Jun 2018
MAD92
GKA83
03 Jun 2018
MAD88
GKA70
03 Dec 2017
MAD96
GKA72
26 Feb 2017
MAD81
GKA93
13 Dec 2015
MAD85
GKA68
29 May 2015
MAD101
GKA74
05 Oct 2014
MAD70
GKA57
30 Mar 2014
MAD83
GKA74
06 Feb 2014
MAD83
GKA60
13 Jan 2013
MAD90
GKA54
26 Feb 2012
MAD90
GKA72
26 Mar 2011
MAD74
GKA73
10 Feb 2011
MAD78
GKA72
20 Mar 2010
MAD74
GKA73
23 Nov 2008
MAD95
GKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
W
90-75
90
75
+15
82avg 81
H13/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 81
A15/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 81
A17/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
89-75
89
75
+14
69avg 81
H20/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
89avg 81
H22/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 81
A25/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
72-71
72
71
+1
61avg 81
H27/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#1
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 81
H28/09
Supercopa ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 81
A30/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
89-77
89
77
+12
83avg 81
H02/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
23-22
21-17
23-17
13-23
21-25
26-22
24-16
16-22
23-21
22-20
25-16
19-15
16-17
29-28
25-15
22-25
26-20
21-23
20-21
23-19
16-21
21-9
21-21
18-17
17-28
20-15
17-11
27-24
17-27
25-18
25-29
19-14
16-24
15-17
18-19
19-29
28-24
17-16
25-8
165.6Avg total
85.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.580.1165.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)80.878.0158.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar (13)86.682.4169.0+4.269%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.579.3165.7+7.287%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
90-104
90
104
-14
82avg 74
A20/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
97-87
97
87
+10
97avg 74
A26/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 74
H03/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
69avg 74
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 74
H14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 74
H17/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
87avg 74
A25/05
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
69-76
69
76
-7
56avg 74
H30/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
39avg 74
A02/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
94-102 OT
94
102
-8
84avg 74
H04/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
20-34
21-29
23-23
24-21
19-19
23-28
31-19
19-21
33-24
29-18
17-20
27-17
21-20
12-28
19-21
13-19
28-19
28-29
25-23
17-18
20-18
21-21
21-11
27-18
13-18
32-17
10-21
23-17
9-20
16-21
21-18
15-26
26-18
8-34
25-20
24-16
22-27
26-24
18-23
172.4Avg total
85.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.686.8172.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)79.683.6163.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.284.9161.2-8.725%
vs Similar (11)84.084.2168.2-0.255%
vs Weaker (6)90.582.7173.2+7.8100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
Real MadridGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H20/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A25/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H27/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/09
Supercopa ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H02/10
Euroleague
83.8Avg total
40.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.782.9+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.641.885.4+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)40.739.480.1+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.683.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.485.4-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (13)42.843.386.1-0.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.137.479.5+4.767%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A20/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H03/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H17/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A25/05
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H04/06
ACB
83.4Avg total
42.6Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.682.4+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.939.580.4+1.475%-
Last 30 away (14)42.941.884.7+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.883.4+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.278.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.641.681.2-2.042%-
vs Similar (11)42.440.683.0+1.764%-
vs Weaker (6)45.740.085.7+5.7100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.0
56.0%
50.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.4
31.7%
42.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.615.9
77.2%
74.7%15.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.6
57.3%
50.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.1
35.4%
42.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.415.1
77.8%
74.7%15.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLLWWWWWLW
Gran Canaria
LLLWWWLWWL
#2
League position
#15
+8.3
Net rating
-1.9
114.0
Offensive rating
114.1
105.7
Defensive rating
116.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
55.4%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.7%
3-point %
35.4%
47.0%
Assist %
62.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 114.1Defence105.7 · 116.0Shooting52.6% · 55.4%3-point %31.7% · 35.4%Ball care14.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds31.6% · 25.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Gran Canaria v Real Madrid54-69
15/02/25Gran Canaria v Real Madrid63-80
10/11/24Real Madrid v Gran Canaria83-77
17/05/24Gran Canaria v Real Madrid71-73
15/05/24Real Madrid v Gran Canaria105-70
28/01/24Gran Canaria v Real Madrid100-77
10/12/23Real Madrid v Gran Canaria97-71
31/05/23Gran Canaria v Real Madrid81-89
28/05/23Real Madrid v Gran Canaria95-68
14/05/23Gran Canaria v Real Madrid67-95
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25HOlympiacos89-77
30/09/25AVirtus Bologna68-74
28/09/25HValencia94-98
27/09/25HTenerife72-71
25/06/25AValencia81-70
22/06/25HValencia102-96 OT
20/06/25HValencia89-75
17/06/25AUnicaja86-79
15/06/25AUnicaja84-86
13/06/25HUnicaja90-75
Gran Canarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/06/25HValencia94-102 OT
02/06/25AValencia74-98
30/05/25HMurcia69-76
25/05/25ABreogan82-74
17/05/25HJoventut Badalona79-68
14/05/25HForca Lleida94-90
10/05/25AValencia79-86
03/05/25HGranada98-83
26/04/25ABasket Zaragoza97-87
20/04/25ABarcelona90-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Gran Canaria
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forca Lleida110100%87.068.0+19.0
2 San Pablo Burgos110100%97.079.0+18.0
3 Unicaja110100%86.068.0+18.0
4 Joventut Badalona110100%87.075.0+12.0
5 Tenerife110100%104.093.0+11.0
6 Manresa1010%93.0104.0-11.0
7 Granada1010%75.087.0-12.0
8 Basquet Girona1010%79.097.0-18.0
9 Bilbao1010%68.086.0-18.0
10 Breogan1010%68.087.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2222271081
Gran Canaria1815231571
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.