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Benfica vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 61-98
16-32 8-33 19-22 18-11
Position#40
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#3
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1· Pavilhão Fidelidade
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#9
W
99-87
99
87
+12
100avg 84
H09/05
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
88-68
88
68
+20
82avg 84
A14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
85-66
85
66
+19
79avg 84
H22/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
103-71
103
71
+32
104avg 84
H24/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
89-80
89
80
+9
85avg 84
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
95-94
95
94
+1
87avg 84
H08/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
82avg 84
H10/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 84
A13/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
93-71
93
71
+22
92avg 84
A15/06
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
H04/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
31-25
20-25
23-17
19-22
12-10
33-19
24-17
15-25
20-10
24-9
26-22
28-21
25-17
35-21
15-12
22-8
25-20
14-35
28-17
26-27
23-21
25-18
21-28
24-17
23-20
26-19
16-25
6-21
19-19
22-23
28-19
21-19
28-9
20-23
24-20
22-17
16-19
30-16
21-24
168.1Avg total
90.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.577.6168.1+12.990%
Last 5 (5)88.280.8169.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)91.396.0187.3-4.733%
vs Weaker (26)91.077.8168.8+13.292%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
97-87
97
87
+10
97avg 74
A26/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 74
H03/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
69avg 74
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 74
H14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 74
H17/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
87avg 74
A25/05
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
69-76
69
76
-7
56avg 74
H30/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
39avg 74
A02/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
94-102 OT
94
102
-8
84avg 74
H04/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
66avg 74
A05/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
19-19
23-28
31-19
19-21
33-24
29-18
17-20
27-17
21-20
12-28
19-21
13-19
28-19
28-29
25-23
17-18
20-18
21-21
21-11
27-18
13-18
32-17
10-21
23-17
9-20
16-21
21-18
15-26
26-18
8-34
25-20
24-16
22-27
26-24
18-23
18-22
15-22
23-27
15-10
168.2Avg total
83.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.784.5168.2-0.850%
Last 5 (5)78.086.2164.2-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.884.6160.5-8.823%
vs Similar (10)85.785.6171.3+0.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)90.582.7173.2+7.8100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
BenficaGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#9
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/05
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H22/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H24/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H08/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A13/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A15/06
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/10
LPB
79.7Avg total
43.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.182.7+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.637.983.4+7.781%-
Last 30 away (14)43.438.481.9+5.064%-
Last 10 (10)43.036.779.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.879.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)42.751.093.7-8.30%-
vs Weaker (26)44.637.081.6+7.781%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H03/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H17/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A25/05
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H04/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A05/10
ACB
81.3Avg total
41.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.082.9+1.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.640.081.6+1.680%-
Last 30 away (15)42.341.984.2+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.081.3+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.879.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.141.880.8-2.738%-
vs Similar (10)43.641.585.1+2.170%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.740.085.7+5.7100%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.8
52.9%
52.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.6
35.6%
33.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.914.4
65.8%
74.1%14.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.6
56.0%
52.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.1
35.6%
33.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.415.2
78.4%
74.1%15.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WWLWWWWWWW
Gran Canaria
LLLLWWWLWW
#40
League position
#3
+16.7
Net rating
-1.4
118.5
Offensive rating
112.4
101.7
Defensive rating
113.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.8%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
43.8%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.6%
3-point %
35.6%
67.3%
Assist %
63.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 112.4Defence101.7 · 113.8Shooting53.1% · 54.8%3-point %35.6% · 35.6%Ball care17.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds43.8% · 25.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Benfica   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica wins
0
Gran Canaria wins
No previous meetings.
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HOliveirense89-76
15/06/25AFC Porto93-71
13/06/25AFC Porto75-82
10/06/25HFC Porto89-81
08/06/25HFC Porto95-94
29/05/25AOvarense89-80
24/05/25HOvarense103-71
22/05/25HOvarense85-66
14/05/25AVitoria88-68
09/05/25HVitoria99-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25AReal Madrid71-81
04/06/25HValencia94-102 OT
02/06/25AValencia74-98
30/05/25HMurcia69-76
25/05/25ABreogan82-74
17/05/25HJoventut Badalona79-68
14/05/25HForca Lleida94-90
10/05/25AValencia79-86
03/05/25HGranada98-83
26/04/25ABasket Zaragoza97-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
Champions League 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Gran Canaria
Champions League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nymburk110100%93.065.0+28.0
2 Chalon/Saone330100%101.082.3+18.7
3 Joventut Badalona110100%91.073.0+18.0
4 AEK Athens110100%69.053.0+16.0
5 Bursaspor330100%83.368.3+15.0
6 Wurzburg110100%78.063.0+15.0
7 Galatasaray110100%94.082.0+12.0
8 Levice330100%90.378.7+11.7
9 Rytas110100%93.085.0+8.0
10 Promitheas110100%89.083.0+6.0
11 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
12 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
13 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
14 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
15 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
16 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
17 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
18 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
19 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
20 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
21 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
22 Heidelberg1010%83.089.0-6.0
23 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
24 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
25 Legia1010%85.093.0-8.0
26 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
27 Igokea1010%82.094.0-12.0
28 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
29 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
30 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
31 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
32 Trieste1010%63.078.0-15.0
33 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
34 VEF Riga1010%53.069.0-16.0
35 Cholet1010%73.091.0-18.0
36 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
38 Sabah Baku1010%65.093.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica168191861
Gran Canaria3233221198
← all games of the day
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