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Breogan vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 74-82
18-27 18-13 17-32 21-10
Position#13
Record13-19
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#8
Record18-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game83.8
SpainACBRound 33· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Breogan v Gran Canaria
08 Nov 2025
BRE81
GKA92
25 May 2025
BRE74
GKA82
20 Apr 2024
BRE70
GKA77
16 Oct 2022
BRE53
GKA71
06 Nov 2021
BRE76
GKA66
12 May 2019
BRE77
GKA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
106-98
106
98
+8
108avg 71
A16/03
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
70-86
70
86
-16
53avg 71
H22/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
85avg 71
H30/03
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
81-94
81
94
-13
72avg 71
A05/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 71
A12/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 71
H20/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
50avg 71
H26/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
104-93
104
93
+11
90avg 71
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
56avg 71
H11/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
82-91
82
91
-9
67avg 71
A17/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
29-18
29-36
15-21
26-29
11-11
21-23
12-23
34-13
23-21
17-23
14-25
30-23
17-19
15-24
19-28
16-27
19-18
19-18
31-28
24-23
18-19
22-23
26-20
7-20
18-24
20-19
20-19
30-15
29-20
26-26
19-32
13-24
14-10
27-25
15-20
16-23
24-26
18-22
24-20
172.1Avg total
84.0Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.986.2166.1-6.341%
Season at home (16)78.380.6158.9-2.250%
Season away (16)81.591.9173.4-10.431%
Last 10 (10)84.088.1172.1-4.140%
Last 5 (5)82.086.0168.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.385.5164.8-6.245%
vs Similar (8)83.187.6170.8-4.538%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
76-72
76
72
+4
70avg 75
A02/04
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
L
78-96
78
96
-18
48avg 75
A05/04
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
65-74
65
74
-9
57avg 75
A08/04
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
94-103
94
103
-9
89avg 75
H11/04
Eurocup
Barcelona
#5
L
90-104
90
104
-14
82avg 75
A20/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
97-87
97
87
+10
97avg 75
A26/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 75
H03/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
69avg 75
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 75
H14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 75
H17/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
22-24
19-15
16-15
30-26
12-23
16-20
20-27
20-22
16-17
14-21
15-14
21-29
23-24
30-33
20-17
26-18
20-34
21-29
23-23
24-21
19-19
23-28
31-19
19-21
33-24
29-18
17-20
27-17
21-20
12-28
19-21
13-19
28-19
28-29
25-23
17-18
20-18
21-21
21-11
171.3Avg total
85.0Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)84.383.8168.1+0.656%
Season at home (16)84.582.5167.0+2.069%
Season away (16)84.285.0169.2-0.844%
Last 10 (10)85.086.3171.3-1.350%
Last 5 (5)89.482.8172.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.681.5156.1-6.827%
vs Similar (11)84.685.3169.9-0.655%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.084.7172.7+3.371%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
BreoganGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A16/03
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H22/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H30/03
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A05/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A12/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H26/04
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H11/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A17/05
ACB
83.7Avg total
43.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.080.3-1.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.238.876.0-1.627%-
Last 30 away (15)41.543.284.7-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.683.7+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.879.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.040.578.5-2.527%-
vs Similar (8)43.042.585.5+0.538%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/04
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A05/04
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/04
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H11/04
Eurocup
Barcelona
#5
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A20/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/04
ACB
Granada
#17
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H03/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H17/05
ACB
86.1Avg total
43.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.781.7+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.279.6+1.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.384.2-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.186.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.283.4+5.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.241.079.2-2.836%-
vs Similar (11)42.541.183.5+1.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.640.984.4+2.771%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.1
50.2%
54.0%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.8
37.8%
35.6%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.715.5
74.9%
76.4%15.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.5
57.2%
54.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.3
36.4%
35.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.613.9
79.0%
76.4%13.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWLWLLWLW
Gran Canaria
WWLWWLLLLW
#13
League position
#8
-5.5
Net rating
-2.6
109.4
Offensive rating
115.7
114.9
Defensive rating
118.3
53.4%
Effective FG%
56.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.3%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.8%
3-point %
36.4%
57.7%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 115.7Defence114.9 · 118.3Shooting53.4% · 56.0%3-point %37.8% · 36.4%Ball care17.4% · 15.3%Off. rebounds28.2% · 27.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Breogan   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Breogan wins
6
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Gran Canaria v Breogan73-82
20/04/24Breogan v Gran Canaria70-77 OT
30/12/23Gran Canaria v Breogan86-60
15/04/23Gran Canaria v Breogan77-66
16/10/22Breogan v Gran Canaria53-71
01/05/22Gran Canaria v Breogan84-86
06/11/21Breogan v Gran Canaria76-66
12/05/19Breogan v Gran Canaria77-92
07/10/18Gran Canaria v Breogan96-72
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25AGranada82-91
11/05/25HReal Madrid69-79
03/05/25AManresa104-93
26/04/25HJoventut Badalona65-82
20/04/25HBasket Zaragoza90-85
12/04/25ABasquet Girona85-91
05/04/25AForca Lleida81-94
30/03/25HBaskonia88-82
22/03/25HMurcia70-86
16/03/25ALeyma Coruna106-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HJoventut Badalona79-68
14/05/25HForca Lleida94-90
10/05/25AValencia79-86
03/05/25HGranada98-83
26/04/25ABasket Zaragoza97-87
20/04/25ABarcelona90-104
11/04/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv94-103
08/04/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv65-74
05/04/25ABilbao78-96
02/04/25ABahcesehir Kol.76-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL41%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %41%50%31%
Points / game79.978.381.5
Allowed / game86.280.691.9
Point differential-6.3-2.2-10.4
Avg total166.1158.9173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)71% (7)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gran Canaria
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %56%69%44%
Points / game84.384.584.2
Allowed / game83.882.585.0
Point differential+0.6+2.0-0.8
Avg total168.1167.0169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%19%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (8)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3228488%87.077.7+9.3
2 Tenerife3325876%87.583.1+4.4
3 Valencia3324973%96.486.3+10.1
4 Unicaja33231070%90.384.1+6.2
5 Barcelona32191359%92.287.3+4.9
6 Joventut Badalona33191458%85.183.3+1.8
7 Gran Canaria32181456%84.383.8+0.6
8 Baskonia33181555%88.588.3+0.2
9 Manresa33161748%87.084.9+2.1
10 Murcia33161748%82.482.1+0.3
11 Breogan32131941%79.986.2-6.3
12 Basket Zaragoza33132039%89.290.4-1.2
13 MoraBanc Andorra33132039%87.691.4-3.8
14 Basquet Girona32112134%82.088.1-6.1
15 Bilbao33112233%82.384.5-2.2
16 Forca Lleida33112233%82.587.8-5.3
17 Granada3292328%81.887.5-5.8
18 Leyma Coruna3372621%86.095.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1818172174
Gran Canaria2713321082
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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