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Gran Canaria vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-72
19-18 24-26 16-8 18-20
Position#15
Record5-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#4
Record10-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game80.0
SpainACBRound 14· Gran Canaria Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gran Canaria v Murcia
03 Jan 2026
GKA77
MUR72
30 May 2025
GKA69
MUR76
20 Jan 2024
GKA91
MUR80
18 Mar 2023
GKA107
MUR89
27 Dec 2021
GKA83
MUR100
02 May 2021
GKA91
MUR81
20 Jan 2019
GKA90
MUR82
15 Apr 2018
GKA83
MUR71
07 May 2017
GKA74
MUR64
17 Jan 2017
GKA94
MUR85
13 Mar 2016
GKA87
MUR75
19 Apr 2015
GKA80
MUR92
20 Oct 2013
GKA86
MUR69
17 Feb 2013
GKA68
MUR78
16 Oct 2011
GKA66
MUR54
11 Apr 2010
GKA95
MUR91
04 Jan 2009
GKA87
MUR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#28
W
77-62
77
62
+15
70avg 75
H05/11
Champions League
Breogan
#11
W
92-81
92
81
+11
86avg 75
A08/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
58avg 75
H15/11
ACB
Le Mans
#14
W
90-88
90
88
+2
90avg 75
A18/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#5
L
61-72
61
72
-11
51avg 75
H23/11
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
58avg 75
A07/12
ACB
Benfica
#40
W
87-63
87
63
+24
83avg 75
H16/12
Champions League
Granada
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 75
H20/12
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
71-70
71
70
+1
63avg 75
A28/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
81-94
81
94
-13
79avg 75
A30/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
14-15
12-16
23-13
23-11
26-26
28-27
15-17
9-29
24-20
25-22
20-21
16-24
25-21
24-30
25-13
17-14
12-18
17-14
15-26
16-14
18-20
21-21
17-24
18-18
20-17
22-13
27-15
13-26
26-13
26-22
25-24
9-13
21-16
26-19
15-22
20-20
18-18
22-27
21-29
158.5Avg total
79.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.882.1161.9-2.242%
Season at home (5)80.683.0163.6-2.440%
Season away (7)79.381.4160.7-2.143%
Last 10 (10)79.978.6158.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)80.278.2158.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.287.5164.7-10.49%
vs Similar (11)83.981.0164.9+2.964%
vs Weaker (8)89.975.1165.0+14.8100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
66avg 78
H16/11
ACB
Lublin
#30
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 78
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
107-71
107
71
+36
101avg 78
A22/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
110-88
110
88
+22
111avg 78
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
97-67
97
67
+30
92avg 78
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 78
H14/12
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 78
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#1
W
92-80
92
80
+12
82avg 78
H21/12
ACB
Granada
#18
W
86-79
86
79
+7
70avg 78
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
62avg 78
H30/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
23-23
19-22
26-26
22-19
17-27
27-13
14-16
31-18
23-12
25-18
28-23
28-20
30-26
28-27
24-15
19-20
25-18
29-16
24-13
19-25
13-13
25-16
23-23
30-18
21-26
16-21
26-12
19-21
22-13
22-21
29-25
18-19
23-24
21-22
24-14
18-22
14-19
23-26
25-24
170.9Avg total
90.8Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.280.0169.2+9.277%
Season at home (7)86.179.6165.7+6.671%
Season away (6)92.880.5173.3+12.383%
Last 10 (10)90.880.1170.9+10.780%
Last 5 (5)86.280.8167.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (10)83.282.1165.3+1.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.876.1165.9+13.778%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +5.2+5.2
Gran CanariaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#28
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H05/11
Champions League
Breogan
#11
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A08/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H15/11
ACB
Le Mans
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A18/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H23/11
ACB
Bilbao
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A07/12
ACB
Benfica
#40
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H16/12
Champions League
Granada
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H20/12
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/12
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A30/12
ACB
74.4Avg total
37.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.381.4+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.139.180.2+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)42.939.582.4+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.337.174.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.070.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.840.879.6-2.036%-
vs Similar (11)42.840.283.0+2.655%-
vs Weaker (8)45.436.181.5+9.288%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H16/11
ACB
Lublin
#30
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A22/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H14/12
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H21/12
ACB
Granada
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/12
ACB
83.8Avg total
43.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.981.0+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.881.0+3.467%-
Last 30 away (15)41.939.180.9+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.883.8+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.079.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (10)40.837.478.2+3.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.439.982.3+2.661%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.9
51.1%
50.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.4
33.1%
42.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.416.9
75.4%
74.7%16.9
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.1
51.5%
50.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.3
37.0%
42.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws22.615.9
70.4%
74.7%15.9
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
LWWWLLWLWW
Murcia
LWWWWWWWWL
#15
League position
#4
+1.8
Net rating
+14.4
109.1
Offensive rating
116.6
107.3
Defensive rating
102.2
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.9%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.1%
3-point %
37.0%
60.8%
Assist %
56.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 116.6Defence107.3 · 102.2Shooting50.4% · 53.3%3-point %33.1% · 37.0%Ball care16.0% · 14.9%Off. rebounds30.2% · 36.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Gran Canaria wins
5
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
30/05/25Gran Canaria v Murcia69-76
01/12/24Murcia v Gran Canaria63-83
20/01/24Gran Canaria v Murcia91-80
21/10/23Murcia v Gran Canaria95-69
18/03/23Gran Canaria v Murcia107-89
17/12/22Murcia v Gran Canaria99-85
10/04/22Murcia v Gran Canaria86-75
27/12/21Gran Canaria v Murcia83-100
02/05/21Gran Canaria v Murcia91-81
07/11/20Murcia v Gran Canaria74-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25ASan Pablo Burgos81-94
28/12/25ATenerife71-70
20/12/25HGranada90-85
16/12/25HBenfica87-63
07/12/25ABilbao72-79
23/11/25HBarcelona61-72
18/11/25ALe Mans90-88
15/11/25HJoventut Badalona78-92
08/11/25ABreogan92-81
05/11/25HSpartak Subotica77-62
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HReal Madrid80-91
27/12/25AGranada86-79
21/12/25HValencia92-80
17/12/25ATrefl Sopot93-77
14/12/25HJoventut Badalona80-77
10/12/25HSzombathely97-67
06/12/25ASan Pablo Burgos110-88
22/11/25AForca Lleida107-71
19/11/25HLublin80-75
16/11/25HBreogan83-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL42%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%40%43%
Points / game79.880.679.3
Allowed / game82.183.081.4
Point differential-2.2-2.4-2.1
Avg total161.9163.6160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%71%83%
Points / game89.286.192.8
Allowed / game80.079.680.5
Point differential+9.2+6.6+12.3
Avg total169.2165.7173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1312192%90.780.6+10.1
2 Valencia1210283%95.982.4+13.5
3 Murcia1310377%89.280.0+9.2
4 Barcelona139469%86.278.9+7.3
5 Tenerife149564%87.582.4+5.1
6 Joventut Badalona149564%84.580.7+3.8
7 Unicaja138562%88.384.2+4.2
8 Baskonia127558%91.390.1+1.2
9 Basquet Girona136746%87.592.5-5.0
10 Gran Canaria125742%79.882.1-2.2
11 Breogan135838%89.292.8-3.7
12 Bilbao135838%82.086.4-4.4
13 Manresa135838%83.888.5-4.7
14 Forca Lleida135838%83.389.5-6.2
15 Basket Zaragoza124833%87.891.0-3.2
16 MoraBanc Andorra134931%82.391.6-9.3
17 San Pablo Burgos1431121%89.495.4-6.1
18 Granada141137%81.590.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gran Canaria1924161877
Murcia182682072
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