Gran Canaria vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 68-76

17-21 22-16 17-18 12-21

Position#7

Record4-4

FormWWWWL

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game78.5

Gran Canaria

Real Madrid 🏆

Position#1

Record6-1

FormLLWWW

Points / game91.3

Allowed / game78.7

ACBRound 9

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Gran Canaria v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran Canaria Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cedevita

101-76

101

+25

H12/10

Eurocup

Unicaja

78-89

-11

A15/10

ACB

Nizhny Novgorod

#16

106-80

106

+26

A18/10

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#12

111-60

111

+51

H23/10

ACB

Murcia

76-57

+19

A29/10

ACB

Lietkabelis

#14

86-67

+19

H02/11

Eurocup

Real Betis

#16

82-62

+20

H06/11

ACB

MZT Skopje

#20

98-75

+23

A09/11

Eurocup

Obradoiro CAB

#14

90-87

A12/11

ACB

Cedevita

90-97

-7

A16/11

Eurocup

22-16

32-18

23-27

24-15

20-18

16-19

17-30

25-22

36-24

21-18

21-19

28-19

27-11

26-19

33-20

25-10

14-10

19-16

21-23

22-8

35-14

15-22

20-14

16-17

22-19

29-16

13-15

18-12

24-17

27-16

18-22

29-20

15-32

19-19

24-22

32-14

19-24

29-22

26-21

16-30

166.8Avg total

91.8Scored

75.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	85.2	78.5	163.8	+6.8	50%
Season at home (4)	87.2	74.5	161.8	+12.8	50%
Season away (4)	83.2	82.5	165.8	+0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	91.8	75.0	166.8	+16.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	77.6	166.8	+11.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.5	84.5	156.0	-13.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	82.3	86.3	168.6	-4.0	30%
vs Weaker (17)	91.1	77.7	168.8	+13.4	82%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#11

96-88

A23/10

ACB

Baskonia

87-91

-4

H25/10

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

#16

101-90

101

+11

A27/10

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#15

94-68

+26

H30/10

ACB

Galatasaray

#12

90-81

H03/11

Euroleague

Barcelona

75-85

-10

A06/11

ACB

CSKA Moscow

90-91

-1

A11/11

Euroleague

Tenerife

86-59

+27

H13/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

87-84

H16/11

Euroleague

Barcelona

#11

102-63

102

+39

A18/11

Euroleague

22-17

15-25

33-26

26-20

19-32

24-22

23-15

21-22

26-20

26-21

23-25

26-24

21-21

16-16

25-11

32-20

19-22

26-25

21-17

24-17

15-20

18-29

20-18

22-18

26-17

12-32

30-24

22-18

23-19

23-13

20-14

20-13

21-23

32-27

19-18

15-16

29-17

25-14

21-15

27-17

170.8Avg total

90.8Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	91.3	78.7	170.0	+12.6	86%
Season at home (4)	93.5	75.8	169.2	+17.8	100%
Season away (3)	88.3	82.7	171.0	+5.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	90.8	80.0	170.8	+10.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	76.4	164.4	+11.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	88.8	78.1	166.9	+10.7	67%
vs Weaker (20)	94.7	83.0	177.7	+11.7	85%

This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Gran CanariaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.8	42.3	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.0	18.7	42.7	+5.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	20.8	41.9	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	18.5	41.9	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.2	44.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.7	19.2	42.9	+4.5	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	19.9	43.1	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.2	19.0	42.2	+4.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.1	20.1	43.1	+3.0	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.3	40.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	18.5	41.8	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	18.5	43.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	30%	-
vs Weaker (17)	24.1	17.8	41.9	+6.2	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.3	44.1	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.3	20.6	44.9	+3.6	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	22.2	42.9	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.4	44.1	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.3	22.4	42.8	-2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.9	20.9	44.7	+3.0	70%	-

Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cedevita

54-34

+20

H12/10

Eurocup

Unicaja

36-37

-1

A15/10

ACB

Nizhny Novgorod

#16

57-42

+15

A18/10

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#12

53-30

+23

H23/10

ACB

Murcia

33-26

A29/10

ACB

Lietkabelis

#14

50-36

+14

H02/11

Eurocup

Real Betis

#16

51-35

+16

H06/11

ACB

MZT Skopje

#20

51-33

+18

A09/11

Eurocup

Obradoiro CAB

#14

34-51

-17

A12/11

ACB

Cedevita

48-46

A16/11

Eurocup

83.7Avg total

46.7Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	38.1	82.5	+6.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.6	36.7	83.4	+9.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.4	39.4	81.8	+3.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	37.0	83.7	+9.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	40.2	87.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	40.0	83.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.1	41.0	81.1	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	47.8	37.0	84.8	+10.8	88%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#11

37-42

-5

A23/10

ACB

Baskonia

43-54

-11

H25/10

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

#16

52-41

+11

A27/10

Euroleague

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#15

37-37

H30/10

ACB

Galatasaray

#12

45-47

-2

H03/11

Euroleague

Barcelona

33-49

-16

A06/11

ACB

CSKA Moscow

38-49

-11

A11/11

Euroleague

Tenerife

46-32

+14

H13/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

53-50

H16/11

Euroleague

Barcelona

#11

54-31

+23

A18/11

Euroleague

87.0Avg total

43.8Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	41.3	87.2	+4.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	47.1	41.3	88.4	+5.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.5	41.2	85.7	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	43.2	87.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	42.2	87.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.6	41.4	85.0	+2.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (20)	46.9	40.9	87.8	+6.0	70%	-

This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	23.9	42.9	-4.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	24.5	41.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.1	22.6	41.7	-3.5	30%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.4	21.6	41.9	-1.2	41%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.1	42.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.4	18.5	40.9	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.5	22.2	44.7	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	18.3	41.8	+5.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	24.8	20.1	44.9	+4.7	78%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.4	19.9	41.2	+1.5	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.5	42.9	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.6	42.6	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	20.4	43.1	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	16.7	40.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.0	20.0	32.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.7	22.2	44.9	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.0	19.1	42.1	+3.9	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	20.2	44.3	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.5	20.8	45.3	+3.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.5	19.5	43.1	+4.0	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	18.5	42.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (20)	25.8	21.6	47.4	+4.2	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	42.8	84.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.5	41.1	83.6	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	44.2	86.1	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	38.0	83.1	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	37.4	79.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.5	44.5	73.0	-16.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.8	44.8	86.6	-3.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (17)	43.4	40.7	84.1	+2.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.5	40.4	86.9	+6.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.9	39.3	86.2	+7.6	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	46.0	41.8	87.8	+4.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.0	36.8	83.8	+10.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	34.2	77.4	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	45.2	36.7	81.9	+8.6	89%	-
vs Weaker (20)	47.1	41.5	88.6	+5.7	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 90.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.9 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.8 points a game

42%

38%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	22.6	56.0%	50.7%	45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.6	36.2%	41.4%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	21.0	16.0	76.2%	74.8%	16.0

They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.5	52.1%	50.7%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.6	7.6	35.3%	41.4%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.0	70.0%	74.8%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.5	52.1%	50.7%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.6	7.6	35.3%	41.4%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.0	70.0%	74.8%	14.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gran Canaria wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
06/03/16	Gran Canaria v Real Madrid	93-103
21/02/16	Gran Canaria v Real Madrid	81-85
13/12/15	Real Madrid v Gran Canaria	85-68
31/05/15	Gran Canaria v Real Madrid	86-93
29/05/15	Real Madrid v Gran Canaria	101-74
25/01/15	Gran Canaria v Real Madrid	80-88
05/10/14	Real Madrid v Gran Canaria	70-57
30/03/14	Real Madrid v Gran Canaria	83-74
06/02/14	Real Madrid v Gran Canaria	83-60
17/11/13	Gran Canaria v Real Madrid	70-75

Gran Canarialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/16	A	Cedevita	90-97
12/11/16	A	Obradoiro CAB	90-87
09/11/16	A	MZT Skopje	98-75
06/11/16	H	Real Betis	82-62
02/11/16	H	Lietkabelis	86-67
29/10/16	A	Murcia	76-57
23/10/16	H	Fuenlabrada	111-60
18/10/16	A	Nizhny Novgorod	106-80
15/10/16	A	Unicaja	78-89
12/10/16	H	Cedevita	101-76

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/16	A	Barcelona	102-63
16/11/16	H	Panathinaikos	87-84
13/11/16	H	Tenerife	86-59
11/11/16	A	CSKA Moscow	90-91
06/11/16	A	Barcelona	75-85
03/11/16	H	Galatasaray	90-81
30/10/16	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	94-68
27/10/16	A	Olimpia Milano	101-90
25/10/16	H	Baskonia	87-91
23/10/16	A	Estudiantes	96-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	50%
Home	LLWW	50%
Away	LLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	85.2	87.2	83.2
Allowed / game	78.5	74.5	82.5
Point differential	+6.8	+12.8	+0.8
Avg total	163.8	161.8	165.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	86%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	86%	100%	67%
Points / game	91.3	93.5	88.3
Allowed / game	78.7	75.8	82.7
Point differential	+12.6	+17.8	+5.7
Avg total	170.0	169.2	171.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	75%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	8	7	1	88%	83.4	75.6	+7.8
2	Real Madrid	7	6	1	86%	91.3	78.7	+12.6
3	Tenerife	9	7	2	78%	81.7	71.7	+10.0
4	MoraBanc Andorra	8	6	2	75%	85.6	84.5	+1.1
5	Baskonia	9	6	3	67%	89.1	83.4	+5.7
6	Valencia	8	5	3	62%	83.8	78.0	+5.8
7	Unicaja	8	5	3	62%	83.4	79.2	+4.1
8	Bilbao	8	5	3	62%	81.5	79.9	+1.6
9	Gran Canaria	8	4	4	50%	85.2	78.5	+6.8
10	Estudiantes	8	3	5	38%	79.8	81.5	-1.8
11	Real Betis	8	3	5	38%	75.9	85.1	-9.2
12	Murcia	9	3	6	33%	78.3	82.3	-4.0
13	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	9	3	6	33%	77.7	82.2	-4.6
14	Joventut Badalona	9	3	6	33%	75.9	81.8	-5.9
15	Obradoiro CAB	9	2	7	22%	75.6	80.9	-5.3
16	Fuenlabrada	9	2	7	22%	72.7	85.7	-13.0
17	Manresa	8	1	7	12%	73.2	81.1	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gran Canaria	17	22	17	12	68
Real Madrid	21	16	18	21	76

← all games of the day

Gran Canaria vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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