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Gran Canaria vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-82
25-20 13-26 18-16 24-20
Position#15
Record7-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#2
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game82.5
SpainACBRound 21· Gran Canaria Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gran Canaria v Real Madrid
08 Mar 2026
GKA80
MAD82
02 Mar 2025
GKA54
MAD69
15 Feb 2025
GKA63
MAD80
17 May 2024
GKA71
MAD73
28 Jan 2024
GKA100
MAD77
31 May 2023
GKA81
MAD89
14 May 2023
GKA67
MAD95
14 May 2022
GKA83
MAD91
02 Jun 2021
GKA75
MAD81
11 Oct 2020
GKA65
MAD90
07 Apr 2019
GKA71
MAD77
08 Jan 2019
GKA67
MAD75
07 Jun 2018
GKA92
MAD99
24 May 2018
GKA88
MAD78
22 Sep 2017
GKA73
MAD64
20 Nov 2016
GKA68
MAD76
06 Mar 2016
GKA93
MAD103
21 Feb 2016
GKA81
MAD85
31 May 2015
GKA86
MAD93
25 Jan 2015
GKA80
MAD88
17 Nov 2013
GKA70
MAD75
21 Apr 2013
GKA74
MAD76
30 Oct 2011
GKA60
MAD68
28 Nov 2010
GKA70
MAD59
15 Nov 2009
GKA67
MAD73
29 Mar 2009
GKA72
MAD68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#14
L
50-68
50
68
-18
no box
H17/01
ACB
Trieste
#26
L
71-77
71
77
-6
55avg 74
H20/01
Champions League
Valencia
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
66avg 74
H25/01
ACB
Nymburk
#30
W
67-64
67
64
+3
66avg 74
A27/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
78-94
78
94
-16
62avg 74
A31/01
ACB
Tenerife
#12
W
72-70
72
70
+2
64avg 74
H04/02
Champions League
Baskonia
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
64avg 74
H08/02
ACB
Trieste
#26
W
94-70
94
70
+24
94avg 74
A11/02
Champions League
Granada
#18
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 74
A14/02
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
89avg 74
H18/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
4-16
19-13
9-15
18-24
21-26
18-12
13-15
19-24
20-19
14-26
28-24
18-21
22-16
3-18
27-17
15-13
25-29
16-18
20-19
17-28
18-22
11-22
25-11
18-15
14-26
11-13
23-32
27-26
21-19
28-18
22-13
23-20
18-20
24-24
26-23
22-16
30-14
18-17
20-30
18-25
158.5Avg total
77.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.584.1163.6-4.635%
Season at home (10)78.284.0162.2-5.830%
Season away (10)80.784.2164.9-3.540%
Last 10 (10)77.481.1158.5-3.740%
Last 5 (5)85.683.6169.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.181.9155.0-8.825%
vs Similar (13)81.583.5164.9-2.046%
vs Weaker (9)85.272.0157.2+13.289%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
W
103-85
103
85
+18
103avg 83
A24/01
ACB
Paris
#16
L
92-98
92
98
-6
91avg 83
A27/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
99-78
99
78
+21
78avg 83
H01/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
79avg 83
A03/02
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
76avg 83
A05/02
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
94-79
94
79
+15
93avg 83
H08/02
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
77-73
77
73
+4
75avg 83
A13/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
94avg 83
A15/02
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
93-70
93
70
+23
100avg 83
H26/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 83
H05/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
24-24
27-22
33-20
18-24
24-26
24-25
26-23
21-22
24-19
20-14
34-23
26-16
18-20
17-24
20-22
19-11
25-26
24-32
17-24
24-19
16-17
30-18
24-25
20-19
23-14
19-28
15-12
20-25
19-31
34-25
23-11
19-12
34-21
25-14
15-23
22-23
24-17
18-21
28-23
174.6Avg total
91.2Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)92.882.5175.3+10.290%
Season at home (10)93.079.5172.5+13.590%
Season away (10)92.585.6178.1+6.990%
Last 10 (10)91.283.4174.6+7.870%
Last 5 (5)90.479.6170.0+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (6)88.786.5175.2+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)91.681.4173.0+10.187%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
Gran CanariaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#14
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H17/01
ACB
Trieste
#26
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H20/01
Champions League
Valencia
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H25/01
ACB
Nymburk
#30
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A27/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A31/01
ACB
Tenerife
#12
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H04/02
Champions League
Baskonia
#3
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H08/02
ACB
Trieste
#26
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A11/02
Champions League
Granada
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/02
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H18/02
ACB
74.3Avg total
35.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.578.3+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.637.775.3-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)42.039.381.3+2.740%-
Last 10 (10)35.538.874.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.077.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.538.672.1-5.125%-
vs Similar (13)41.640.281.8+1.438%-
vs Weaker (9)42.835.978.7+6.967%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A24/01
ACB
Paris
#16
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A27/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/02
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A03/02
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/02
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/02
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A13/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A15/02
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H26/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/03
Euroleague
84.4Avg total
43.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.685.5+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.342.489.7+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.640.781.3-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.584.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.683.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (6)44.238.382.5+5.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.042.386.3+1.657%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.6
54.2%
50.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
42.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.014.3
75.3%
74.7%14.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.119.2
63.8%
50.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.5
39.5%
42.2%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
74.7%12.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
LWWLWLWLLL
Real Madrid
WWWWWLLWLW
#15
League position
#2
-2.3
Net rating
+6.2
97.5
Offensive rating
98.9
99.8
Defensive rating
92.6
51.7%
Effective FG%
61.6%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.0%
3-point %
39.5%
51.6%
Assist %
67.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 98.9Defence99.8 · 92.6Shooting51.7% · 61.6%3-point %32.0% · 39.5%Ball care13.8% · 16.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gran Canaria wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HBilbao97-98 OT
14/02/26AGranada90-83
11/02/26ATrieste94-70
08/02/26HBaskonia75-97
04/02/26HTenerife72-70
31/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra78-94
27/01/26ANymburk67-64
25/01/26HValencia80-90
20/01/26HTrieste71-77
17/01/26HForca Lleida50-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HVirtus Bologna92-84
26/02/26HBayern93-70
15/02/26AUnicaja96-92
13/02/26APartizan77-73
08/02/26HGranada94-79
05/02/26ADubai85-93
03/02/26APanathinaikos81-82
01/02/26HBasket Zaragoza99-78
27/01/26AParis92-98
24/01/26ABreogan103-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%30%40%
Points / game79.578.280.7
Allowed / game84.184.084.2
Point differential-4.7-5.8-3.5
Avg total163.6162.2164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%90%90%
Points / game92.893.092.5
Allowed / game82.579.585.6
Point differential+10.2+13.5+6.9
Avg total175.3172.5178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2018290%92.882.5+10.2
2 Valencia2116576%95.981.0+14.8
3 Barcelona2115671%89.680.0+9.7
4 Baskonia2014670%93.087.2+5.8
5 Murcia2114767%88.983.8+5.1
6 Unicaja2114767%88.484.7+3.7
7 Joventut Badalona2113862%84.980.6+4.3
8 Tenerife2112957%87.084.4+2.5
9 Bilbao22121055%84.485.6-1.2
10 Basquet Girona21101148%86.990.0-3.2
11 Manresa2191243%84.992.0-7.1
12 Breogan2181338%89.693.6-4.0
13 Forca Lleida2181338%82.087.9-5.9
14 Gran Canaria2071335%79.584.1-4.7
15 Basket Zaragoza2161529%86.791.8-5.0
16 MoraBanc Andorra2161529%85.493.4-8.0
17 San Pablo Burgos2151624%87.792.4-4.7
18 Granada211205%79.791.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gran Canaria2513182480
Real Madrid2026162082
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