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Gran Canaria vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 54-69
9-12 9-19 22-17 14-21
Position#8
Record11-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#1
Record16-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game77.8
SpainACBRound 21· Gran Canaria Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Gran Canaria v Real Madrid
08 Mar 2026
GKA80
MAD82
02 Mar 2025
GKA54
MAD69
15 Feb 2025
GKA63
MAD80
17 May 2024
GKA71
MAD73
28 Jan 2024
GKA100
MAD77
31 May 2023
GKA81
MAD89
14 May 2023
GKA67
MAD95
14 May 2022
GKA83
MAD91
02 Jun 2021
GKA75
MAD81
11 Oct 2020
GKA65
MAD90
07 Apr 2019
GKA71
MAD77
08 Jan 2019
GKA67
MAD75
07 Jun 2018
GKA92
MAD99
24 May 2018
GKA88
MAD78
22 Sep 2017
GKA73
MAD64
20 Nov 2016
GKA68
MAD76
06 Mar 2016
GKA93
MAD103
21 Feb 2016
GKA81
MAD85
31 May 2015
GKA86
MAD93
25 Jan 2015
GKA80
MAD88
17 Nov 2013
GKA70
MAD75
21 Apr 2013
GKA74
MAD76
30 Oct 2011
GKA60
MAD68
28 Nov 2010
GKA70
MAD59
15 Nov 2009
GKA67
MAD73
29 Mar 2009
GKA72
MAD68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 75
H15/01
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#16
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 75
A19/01
ACB
BC Wolves
#10
L
76-88
76
88
-12
68avg 75
A22/01
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
L
67-70
67
70
-3
55avg 75
H26/01
ACB
Besiktas
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 75
H29/01
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
98-90
98
90
+8
91avg 75
A01/02
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
76-73
76
73
+3
71avg 75
A04/02
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
94-106
94
106
-12
87avg 75
H09/02
ACB
Valencia
#6
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
14-22
13-25
27-21
15-26
19-19
18-26
26-17
18-22
15-20
22-20
21-26
12-21
18-11
14-17
23-21
29-29
26-24
21-9
14-19
24-20
18-19
34-23
22-28
28-15
22-22
15-22
11-14
28-22
25-22
13-32
28-30
19-15
21-16
25-20
14-14
16-10
15-20
16-25
16-25
162.2Avg total
79.8Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.582.5165.9+1.055%
Season at home (10)84.283.2167.4+1.060%
Season away (10)82.881.7164.5+1.150%
Last 10 (10)79.882.4162.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)82.082.8164.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.383.1159.4-6.929%
vs Similar (12)81.980.5162.4+1.458%
vs Weaker (10)83.178.6161.7+4.570%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
90-74
90
74
+16
90avg 83
H26/01
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
73-77
73
77
-4
64avg 83
A31/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 83
H02/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
73avg 83
A04/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
54avg 83
A06/02
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
95avg 83
A09/02
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
92-69
92
69
+23
no box
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#4
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#6
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 83
H27/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
17-18
23-21
21-23
13-20
26-16
17-23
17-18
22-20
18-19
18-19
28-15
17-25
21-13
23-18
12-23
16-16
12-24
19-18
20-20
28-21
18-16
20-28
29-19
22-22
21-8
20-19
29-20
10-16
20-15
25-16
25-16
15-18
21-21
19-25
24-29
23-25
17-18
30-24
26-24
161.2Avg total
83.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.477.8166.2+10.780%
Season at home (11)90.175.3165.4+14.8100%
Season away (9)86.380.8167.1+5.656%
Last 10 (10)83.178.1161.2+5.060%
Last 5 (5)88.480.0168.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)83.082.8165.8+0.243%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.378.9168.2+10.387%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
Gran CanariaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H15/01
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#16
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/01
ACB
BC Wolves
#10
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A22/01
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H26/01
ACB
Besiktas
#9
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H29/01
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/02
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A04/02
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H09/02
ACB
Valencia
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H15/02
Spanish Cup
79.5Avg total
40.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.477.4+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.838.076.8+0.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.138.978.1+0.257%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.079.5+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.279.4+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.740.172.9-7.414%-
vs Similar (12)40.938.279.2+2.767%-
vs Weaker (10)40.838.279.0+2.670%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H26/01
ACB
Monaco
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A31/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H02/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A06/02
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/02
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/02
Euroleague
74.9Avg total
38.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.581.0+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.539.381.8+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.539.780.3+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.374.9+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.075.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)39.140.479.5-1.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.739.383.0+4.573%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.0
57.6%
54.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.8
33.2%
35.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
76.4%13.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.2
55.0%
54.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.7
34.0%
35.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.418.3
78.2%
76.4%18.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
LWLWWWLLLL
Real Madrid
WLWWWLLWLW
#8
League position
#1
-2.6
Net rating
+4.4
110.9
Offensive rating
112.5
113.6
Defensive rating
108.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.2%
3-point %
34.0%
61.1%
Assist %
59.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 112.5Defence113.6 · 108.1Shooting54.2% · 53.4%3-point %33.2% · 34.0%Ball care17.2% · 16.4%Off. rebounds27.1% · 28.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gran Canaria wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HReal Madrid63-80
14/02/25HValencia79-65
09/02/25HMoraBanc Andorra94-106
04/02/25ATrefl Sopot76-73
01/02/25ALeyma Coruna98-90
29/01/25HBesiktas90-81
26/01/25HTenerife67-70
22/01/25ABC Wolves76-88
19/01/25AForca Lleida78-88
15/01/25HJoventut Badalona77-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HBarcelona96-91
16/02/25AUnicaja79-93
15/02/25AGran Canaria80-63
14/02/25HManresa92-69
09/02/25AForca Lleida95-84
06/02/25AFenerbahce67-78
04/02/25AAnadolu Efes73-79
02/02/25HJoventut Badalona86-73
31/01/25AMonaco73-77
26/01/25HLeyma Coruna90-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL55%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game83.584.282.8
Allowed / game82.583.281.7
Point differential+1.1+1.0+1.1
Avg total165.9167.4164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%10%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %80%100%56%
Points / game88.490.186.3
Allowed / game77.875.380.8
Point differential+10.7+14.8+5.6
Avg total166.2165.4167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2016480%88.477.8+10.7
2 Unicaja2116576%88.883.0+5.8
3 Tenerife2116576%87.082.1+4.9
4 Valencia2115671%97.186.9+10.2
5 Joventut Badalona2113862%85.282.8+2.4
6 Barcelona2112957%90.485.9+4.5
7 Manresa2112957%87.383.8+3.5
8 Gran Canaria2011955%83.582.5+1.1
9 Basket Zaragoza21101148%89.890.0-0.3
10 Baskonia21101148%86.587.3-0.9
11 Murcia21101148%81.482.2-0.9
12 Bilbao2181338%82.183.0-0.9
13 MoraBanc Andorra2181338%87.190.5-3.4
14 Breogan2181338%77.385.9-8.6
15 Forca Lleida2161529%83.087.9-4.9
16 Granada2161529%80.185.9-5.8
17 Basquet Girona2161529%80.188.8-8.6
18 Leyma Coruna2151624%84.793.0-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gran Canaria99221454
Real Madrid1219172169
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