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Granada vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-86
19-18 24-23 22-21 14-24
Position#18
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game89.7
Granada
Spain
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#4
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game79.1
SpainACBRound 12· Palacio de Deportes
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Granada v Murcia
27 Dec 2025
GRA79
MUR86
01 Mar 2025
GRA82
MUR88
23 Sep 2023
GRA101
MUR104
25 Mar 2023
GRA88
MUR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
68-83
68
83
-15
52avg 72
A11/10
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 72
H19/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
90-99
90
99
-9
79avg 72
A25/10
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
74-95
74
95
-21
69avg 72
A01/11
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 72
H09/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
59avg 72
A15/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
100-111
100
111
-11
92avg 72
H22/11
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
83-92
83
92
-9
74avg 72
H06/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 72
A13/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 72
A20/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
13-21
24-28
20-14
21-30
18-15
21-17
20-21
22-24
20-22
21-23
27-30
14-38
22-13
17-20
21-24
28-17
15-19
21-17
21-26
27-19
16-17
10-21
23-25
29-31
19-25
31-22
21-33
17-21
15-27
27-21
24-23
22-22
25-20
18-26
16-18
26-13
13-26
22-26
24-25
172.2Avg total
82.2Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.589.7171.3-8.29%
Season at home (5)84.690.4175.0-5.820%
Season away (6)79.089.2168.2-10.20%
Last 10 (10)82.290.0172.2-7.810%
Last 5 (5)85.092.2177.2-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)82.492.0174.5-9.619%
vs Similar (9)84.387.9172.2-3.622%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
W
84-65
84
65
+19
66avg 78
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
87-63
87
63
+24
90avg 78
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
66avg 78
H16/11
ACB
Lublin
#30
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 78
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
107-71
107
71
+36
101avg 78
A22/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
110-88
110
88
+22
111avg 78
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
97-67
97
67
+30
92avg 78
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 78
H14/12
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 78
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#1
W
92-80
92
80
+12
82avg 78
H21/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
24-14
17-21
23-12
21-16
22-17
29-10
15-20
15-25
23-23
19-22
26-26
22-19
17-27
27-13
14-16
31-18
23-12
25-18
28-23
28-20
30-26
28-27
24-15
19-20
25-18
29-16
24-13
19-25
13-13
25-16
23-23
30-18
21-26
16-21
26-12
19-21
22-13
22-21
29-25
167.2Avg total
91.3Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.479.1169.5+11.382%
Season at home (6)87.277.7164.8+9.583%
Season away (5)94.280.8175.0+13.480%
Last 10 (10)91.375.9167.2+15.490%
Last 5 (5)94.477.8172.2+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (11)84.982.2167.1+2.773%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.175.9166.0+14.176%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +4.7+4.7
GranadaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A11/10
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H19/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A25/10
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A01/11
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H09/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A15/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H22/11
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H06/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A20/12
ACB
83.3Avg total
39.3Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.944.284.1-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.442.381.6-2.943%-
Last 30 away (16)40.345.986.2-5.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.083.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.286.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.445.084.5-5.629%-
vs Similar (9)40.942.283.1-1.344%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H16/11
ACB
Lublin
#30
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A22/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H14/12
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H21/12
ACB
83.3Avg total
44.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.181.5+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.939.482.2+3.569%-
Last 30 away (14)41.938.880.7+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)44.438.983.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.085.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (11)41.938.480.3+3.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.539.782.2+2.865%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.3
48.7%
50.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.8
35.5%
42.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.819.9
74.3%
74.7%19.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.4
53.3%
50.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.2
37.5%
42.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws23.016.3
70.9%
74.7%16.3
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Granada
LLLLLWLLLL
Murcia
WWWWWWWLWW
#18
League position
#4
-11.2
Net rating
+21.1
106.3
Offensive rating
118.0
117.4
Defensive rating
96.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.5%
3-point %
37.5%
59.4%
Assist %
58.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 118.0Defence117.4 · 96.9Shooting50.6% · 54.5%3-point %35.5% · 37.5%Ball care18.1% · 15.2%Off. rebounds28.8% · 36.0%Free throws0.44 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Granada   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Granada wins
4
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Granada v Murcia82-88
28/12/24Murcia v Granada84-81
11/02/24Murcia v Granada91-78
23/09/23Granada v Murcia101-104 OT
25/03/23Granada v Murcia88-67
09/10/22Murcia v Granada82-89
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AGran Canaria85-90
13/12/25AMoraBanc Andorra81-86
06/12/25HBasket Zaragoza83-92
22/11/25HReal Madrid100-111
15/11/25ABasquet Girona76-82
09/11/25HValencia85-79
01/11/25ABreogan74-95
25/10/25AForca Lleida90-99
19/10/25HBaskonia80-83
11/10/25AManresa68-83
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HValencia92-80
17/12/25ATrefl Sopot93-77
14/12/25HJoventut Badalona80-77
10/12/25HSzombathely97-67
06/12/25ASan Pablo Burgos110-88
22/11/25AForca Lleida107-71
19/11/25HLublin80-75
16/11/25HBreogan83-96
11/11/25HKK Bosna87-63
08/11/25HManresa84-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Granada
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%20%0%
Points / game81.584.679.0
Allowed / game89.790.489.2
Point differential-8.2-5.8-10.2
Avg total171.3175.0168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game90.487.294.2
Allowed / game79.177.780.8
Point differential+11.3+9.5+13.4
Avg total169.5164.8175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1110191%90.680.5+10.1
2 Murcia119282%90.479.1+11.3
3 Valencia108280%95.183.8+11.3
4 Tenerife118373%91.684.5+7.1
5 Barcelona117464%86.480.0+6.4
6 Joventut Badalona117464%85.480.3+5.1
7 Unicaja117464%87.483.6+3.7
8 Baskonia116555%90.389.2+1.1
9 Bilbao115645%84.485.1-0.7
10 Breogan115645%89.592.8-3.4
11 Manresa125742%82.887.8-4.9
12 Gran Canaria104640%80.682.1-1.5
13 Basket Zaragoza114736%88.590.2-1.6
14 Forca Lleida114736%82.789.2-6.5
15 Basquet Girona114736%85.292.8-7.6
16 MoraBanc Andorra114736%82.992.7-9.8
17 Granada111109%81.589.7-8.2
18 San Pablo Burgos121118%87.597.1-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Granada1924221479
Murcia1823212486
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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