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Greece vs Finland Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 92-89
24-15 24-19 21-22 23-33
Position#3
Record6-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game75.4
Greece 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record5-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeEuroBasketEuroBasket - 3rd place· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Finland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#33
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
85avg 73
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
63-53
63
53
+10
56avg 73
H24/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
75-66
75
66
+9
65avg 73
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
96-69
96
69
+27
98avg 73
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
94-53
94
53
+41
100avg 73
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 73
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
89avg 73
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 73
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 73
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
64avg 73
H12/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
10-27
23-14
17-23
18-18
16-5
14-16
15-14
22-12
14-20
20-13
19-21
22-13
21-18
26-16
27-22
22-13
24-16
23-12
25-12
25-19
13-25
14-17
25-19
31-20
19-15
18-28
22-23
28-22
22-19
17-18
17-20
24-19
20-19
20-14
23-24
16-26
15-23
20-23
17-22
157.2Avg total
82.7Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.975.4159.2+8.575%
Season at home (4)76.079.8155.8-3.850%
Season away (4)91.871.0162.8+20.8100%
Last 10 (10)82.774.5157.2+8.280%
Last 5 (5)81.283.0164.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.083.2155.2-11.233%
vs Similar (13)83.777.1160.8+6.677%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.572.1156.6+12.591%
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Serbia
#1
L
95-105
95
105
-10
91avg 84
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
83-77
83
77
+6
75avg 84
A24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
93-90
93
90
+3
92avg 84
A27/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
109-79
109
79
+30
109avg 84
H29/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
85-65
85
65
+20
84avg 84
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 84
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
47avg 84
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 84
A06/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 84
H10/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 84
A12/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
31-27
14-28
24-26
24-25
17-22
18-23
24-7
26-21
23-27
23-24
21-18
30-21
28-21
23-14
28-23
23-23
24-14
20-15
18-13
21-20
15-25
12-12
30-24
19-21
17-29
13-19
12-22
28-24
16-24
24-18
24-20
28-15
29-25
14-22
22-17
26-30
21-31
26-20
13-17
172.6Avg total
87.5Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.183.6170.8+3.562%
Season at home (4)85.282.5167.8+2.850%
Season away (4)89.084.8173.8+4.275%
Last 10 (10)87.585.1172.6+2.460%
Last 5 (5)82.087.0169.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.891.3170.1-12.520%
vs Similar (8)90.482.5172.9+7.962%
vs Weaker (7)93.977.0170.9+16.9100%
This opponent (Greece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
GreeceFinland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#33
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H24/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/09
EuroBasket
77.1Avg total
40.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.377.5+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.138.075.1-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)43.336.779.9+6.673%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.277.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.484.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.739.872.5-7.217%-
vs Similar (13)43.136.879.9+6.277%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.936.577.5+4.464%-
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A27/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H29/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H10/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A12/09
EuroBasket
94.1Avg total
47.2Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.988.2+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.089.1+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.544.887.3-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)47.246.994.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.048.892.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.247.990.1-5.727%-
vs Similar (8)43.539.282.8+4.262%-
vs Weaker (7)49.940.690.4+9.386%-
This opponent (Greece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.7
55.0%
52.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
33.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.514.6
71.2%
73.1%14.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.7
50.7%
52.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.2
37.1%
33.4%36.6
🏀 Free throws16.512.5
75.8%
73.1%12.5
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece
LWWWLWWWWW
Finland
LWWLLWWWWL
#3
League position
#10
+11.2
Net rating
+3.2
111.5
Offensive rating
114.4
100.3
Defensive rating
111.2
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.0%
3-point %
37.1%
65.4%
Assist %
75.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 114.4Defence100.3 · 111.2Shooting54.6% · 53.0%3-point %36.0% · 37.1%Ball care18.2% · 15.8%Off. rebounds30.6% · 33.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Greece   ■ Finland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Greece wins
0
Finland wins
No previous meetings.
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/09/25HTurkey68-94
09/09/25ALithuania87-76
07/09/25HIsrael84-79
04/09/25ASpain90-86
02/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina77-80
31/08/25AGeorgia94-53
30/08/25ACyprus96-69
28/08/25HItaly75-66
24/02/25HNetherlands63-53
21/02/25ACzech Republic93-89 OT
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/09/25AGermany86-98
10/09/25HGeorgia93-79
06/09/25ASerbia92-86
03/09/25HGermany61-91
01/09/25HLithuania78-81
30/08/25AMontenegro85-65
29/08/25HGreat Britain109-79
27/08/25ASweden93-90
24/02/25ADenmark83-77
21/02/25HSerbia95-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game83.976.091.8
Allowed / game75.479.871.0
Point differential+8.5-3.8+20.8
Avg total159.2155.8162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Finland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game87.185.289.0
Allowed / game83.682.584.8
Point differential+3.5+2.8+4.2
Avg total170.8167.8173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany880100%101.475.0+26.4
2 Turkey880100%91.172.9+18.2
3 Greece86275%83.975.4+8.5
4 Lithuania75271%85.079.9+5.1
5 France64267%88.578.5+10.0
6 Serbia64267%86.776.7+10.0
7 Italy64267%78.869.5+9.3
8 Finland85362%87.183.6+3.5
9 Slovenia74357%92.089.7+2.3
10 Poland74357%79.678.6+1.0
11 Latvia63350%81.878.7+3.2
12 Israel63350%82.780.8+1.8
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina63350%78.880.2-1.3
14 Georgia73443%75.178.4-3.3
15 Spain52340%79.470.8+8.6
16 Belgium52340%72.680.6-8.0
17 Portugal62433%62.275.5-13.3
18 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
19 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
20 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
21 Sweden61517%80.383.8-3.5
22 Iceland5050%72.687.8-15.2
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus5050%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece2424212392
Finland1519223389
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