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Guangdong vs Jilin Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#11
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game87.1
ChinaCBARound 24· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangdong v Jilin
08 Jan 2027
GUAN v JILI
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
GUAN117
JILI84
28 Jan 2026
GUAN89
JILI81
27 Mar 2025
GUAN106
JILI94
09 Mar 2024
GUAN121
JILI113
27 Dec 2023
GUAN112
JILI102
16 Dec 2022
GUAN117
JILI91
08 Jan 2022
GUAN99
JILI95
08 Jan 2021
GUAN110
JILI111
14 Jan 2020
GUAN123
JILI100
13 Dec 2018
GUAN96
JILI105
09 Feb 2018
GUAN93
JILI67
04 Nov 2016
GUAN99
JILI77
11 Nov 2015
GUAN107
JILI86
19 Dec 2014
GUAN116
JILI93
03 Jan 2014
GUAN92
JILI85
29 Jan 2013
GUAN141
JILI99
29 Jan 2012
GUAN107
JILI94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jilin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
96avg 88
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 88
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
95-96
95
96
-1
no box
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
no box
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
L
109-112
109
112
-3
no box
H02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
14-23
29-23
19-16
21-15
14-25
18-21
20-27
23-28
28-14
18-30
26-24
25-24
19-34
19-20
15-18
19-24
24-20
31-17
22-17
21-22
25-25
20-21
20-9
14-28
17-27
22-27
34-17
21-20
24-25
18-18
19-17
27-19
12-21
21-20
16-25
35-27
21-27
25-24
28-34
179.4Avg total
88.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.690.4179.0-1.838%
Season at home (4)93.286.8180.0+6.575%
Season away (4)84.094.0178.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)88.491.0179.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)88.090.6178.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.3179.3-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.892.1183.9-0.350%
vs Weaker (13)94.081.6175.6+12.462%
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
65-84
65
84
-19
49avg 74
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
55-105
55
105
-50
38avg 74
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H30/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H01/11
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
109-110 OT
109
110
-1
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
14-25
18-21
20-12
8-27
13-34
25-23
9-21
25-16
21-21
12-18
24-29
22-24
20-24
26-22
20-21
21-18
28-21
29-20
11-24
20-24
22-23
19-22
21-12
18-29
23-21
27-15
17-11
22-19
22-26
16-18
21-19
21-33
24-15
18-28
16-14
24-25
25-27
21-24
28-22
170.1Avg total
81.5Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.987.1174.0-0.238%
Season at home (5)83.886.0169.8-2.220%
Season away (3)92.089.0181.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)81.588.6170.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)87.287.8175.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)80.394.5174.8-14.225%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.686.0166.6-5.440%
vs Weaker (5)92.283.4175.6+8.860%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
GuangdongJilin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H02/11
CBA
91.0Avg total
43.3Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.992.0+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.544.492.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)45.745.391.1+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.347.791.0-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.291.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.754.793.3-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.947.493.2-1.529%-
vs Weaker (13)50.439.990.3+10.577%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
21-61
21
61
-40
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H30/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H01/11
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A03/11
CBA
88.4Avg total
40.6Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.548.288.7-7.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.646.489.0-3.835%-
Last 30 away (13)37.750.588.2-12.815%-
Last 10 (10)40.647.888.4-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)44.248.492.6-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.749.187.8-10.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.645.688.2-3.020%-
vs Weaker (5)45.447.092.4-1.620%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
53.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
35.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.8%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
53.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.7
31.2%
35.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
74.8%13.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
LLWLWWLLLW
Jilin
LLLWWWLLLL
#12
League position
#11
+6.1
Net rating
-12.7
102.5
Offensive rating
90.3
96.4
Defensive rating
103.1
56.0%
Effective FG%
48.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
31.2%
65.4%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 90.3Defence96.4 · 103.1Shooting56.0% · 48.8%3-point %36.5% · 31.2%Ball care14.2% · 13.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Guangdong   ■ Jilin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Guangdong wins
0
Jilin wins
DateGameScore
10/04/26Guangdong v Jilin117-84
28/01/26Guangdong v Jilin89-81
21/01/26Jilin v Guangdong98-119
27/03/25Guangdong v Jilin106-94
28/12/24Jilin v Guangdong65-106
09/03/24Guangdong v Jilin121-113
23/01/24Jilin v Guangdong111-116
27/12/23Guangdong v Jilin112-102
27/10/23Jilin v Guangdong104-105
28/12/22Jilin v Guangdong102-108
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HQingdao109-112
31/10/26AShandong76-85
29/10/26HJiangsu Dragons82-80
26/10/26AShanghai87-99
24/10/26HNingbo Rockets86-77
22/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha96-78
20/10/26ABeijing78-96
18/10/26ANanjing Tongxi95-96
12/05/26ABeijing73-88
09/05/26HBeijing102-99 OT
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanghai109-110 OT
01/11/26HGuangzhou79-90
30/10/26HShenzhen81-82
26/10/26ANingbo Rockets85-76
24/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha82-81
22/10/26HXinjiang89-83
20/10/26HSichuan88-91
18/10/26HBeijing82-84
24/04/26ABeijing55-105
20/04/26ANingbo Rockets65-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game88.693.284.0
Allowed / game90.486.894.0
Point differential-1.8+6.5-10.0
Avg total179.0180.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jilin
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%20%67%
Points / game86.983.892.0
Allowed / game87.186.089.0
Point differential-0.2-2.2+3.0
Avg total174.0169.8181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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