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Guangdong vs Jilin Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game82.8
ChinaCBARound 24· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangdong v Jilin
08 Jan 2027
GUAN v JILI
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
GUAN117
JILI84
28 Jan 2026
GUAN89
JILI81
27 Mar 2025
GUAN106
JILI94
09 Mar 2024
GUAN121
JILI113
27 Dec 2023
GUAN112
JILI102
16 Dec 2022
GUAN117
JILI91
08 Jan 2022
GUAN99
JILI95
08 Jan 2021
GUAN110
JILI111
14 Jan 2020
GUAN123
JILI100
13 Dec 2018
GUAN96
JILI105
09 Feb 2018
GUAN93
JILI67
04 Nov 2016
GUAN99
JILI77
11 Nov 2015
GUAN107
JILI86
19 Dec 2014
GUAN116
JILI93
03 Jan 2014
GUAN92
JILI85
29 Jan 2013
GUAN141
JILI99
29 Jan 2012
GUAN107
JILI94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jilin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H03/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
A06/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
L
95-96
95
96
-1
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
29-27
18-16
20-17
29-25
20-24
19-31
26-22
29-29
14-23
29-23
19-16
21-15
14-25
18-21
20-27
23-28
28-14
18-30
26-24
25-24
19-34
19-20
15-18
19-24
24-20
31-17
22-17
21-22
25-25
20-21
20-9
14-28
17-27
22-27
34-17
21-20
24-25
18-18
19-17
177.8Avg total
88.3Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.387.7175.0-0.350%
Season at home (3)88.078.3166.3+9.7100%
Season away (3)86.797.0183.7-10.30%
Last 10 (10)88.389.5177.8-1.250%
Last 5 (5)85.886.0171.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.3179.3-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)91.792.2183.8-0.554%
vs Weaker (14)93.181.5174.6+11.664%
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H16/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H18/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
55-105
55
105
-50
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
21-22
20-22
14-20
9-20
23-22
13-26
30-25
13-26
14-25
18-21
20-12
8-27
13-34
25-23
9-21
25-16
21-21
12-18
24-29
22-24
20-24
26-22
20-21
21-18
28-21
29-20
11-24
20-24
22-23
19-22
21-12
18-29
23-21
27-15
17-11
22-19
22-26
16-18
21-19
162.9Avg total
76.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.582.8167.3+1.750%
Season at home (4)85.085.0170.0+0.025%
Season away (2)83.578.5162.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.886.1162.9-9.330%
Last 5 (5)85.082.6167.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)79.993.4173.2-13.529%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.085.0166.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (5)92.283.4175.6+8.860%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
GuangdongJilin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H03/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/10
CBA
91.8Avg total
43.9Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.945.192.0+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.144.191.1+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)46.846.192.9+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.947.991.8-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)41.849.891.6-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.754.793.3-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.548.193.6-2.531%-
vs Weaker (14)50.040.390.3+9.771%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H16/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H18/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
21-61
21
61
-40
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#17
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H30/10
CBA
83.6Avg total
37.6Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.448.288.6-7.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.446.388.8-3.938%-
Last 30 away (14)38.150.388.4-12.121%-
Last 10 (10)37.646.083.6-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)43.645.889.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)39.049.088.0-10.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.045.087.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker (5)45.447.092.4-1.620%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
53.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.8%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
53.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.7
31.2%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
74.8%13.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WLWWLLLWLW
Jilin
LWWWLLLLLL
#10
League position
#9
+6.1
Net rating
-12.7
102.5
Offensive rating
90.3
96.4
Defensive rating
103.1
56.0%
Effective FG%
48.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
31.2%
65.4%
Assist %
66.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 90.3Defence96.4 · 103.1Shooting56.0% · 48.8%3-point %36.5% · 31.2%Ball care14.2% · 13.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Guangdong   ■ Jilin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Guangdong wins
0
Jilin wins
DateGameScore
10/04/26Guangdong v Jilin117-84
28/01/26Guangdong v Jilin89-81
21/01/26Jilin v Guangdong98-119
27/03/25Guangdong v Jilin106-94
28/12/24Jilin v Guangdong65-106
09/03/24Guangdong v Jilin121-113
23/01/24Jilin v Guangdong111-116
27/12/23Guangdong v Jilin112-102
27/10/23Jilin v Guangdong104-105
28/12/22Jilin v Guangdong102-108
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HJiangsu Dragons82-80
26/10/26AShanghai87-99
24/10/26HNingbo Rockets86-77
22/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha96-78
20/10/26ABeijing78-96
18/10/26ANanjing Tongxi95-96
12/05/26ABeijing73-88
09/05/26HBeijing102-99 OT
06/05/26ABeijing94-102
03/05/26HGuangzhou90-80
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HShenzhen81-82
26/10/26ANingbo Rockets85-76
24/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha82-81
22/10/26HXinjiang89-83
20/10/26HSichuan88-91
18/10/26HBeijing82-84
24/04/26ABeijing55-105
20/04/26ANingbo Rockets65-84
18/04/26HGuangzhou75-93
16/04/26HZhejiang Chouzhou66-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game87.388.086.7
Allowed / game87.778.397.0
Point differential-0.3+9.7-10.3
Avg total175.0166.3183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jilin
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%25%100%
Points / game84.585.083.5
Allowed / game82.885.078.5
Point differential+1.7+0.0+5.0
Avg total167.3170.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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