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Liaoning vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 109-103
29-34 27-29 32-23 21-17
Position#1
Record33-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game103.9
Allowed / game93.3
Liaoning 🏆
China
vs
Guangzhou
China
Position#9
Record20-20
FormWLWWL
Points / game101.7
Allowed / game99.0
ChinaCBARound 41· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liaoning v Guangzhou
03 Nov 2026
LIAO100
GUAN93
18 Mar 2026
LIAO97
GUAN86
21 Mar 2025
LIAO135
GUAN108
03 Nov 2024
LIAO97
GUAN86
09 Mar 2024
LIAO109
GUAN103
18 Oct 2022
LIAO107
GUAN90
18 Jan 2022
LIAO110
GUAN98
16 Dec 2020
LIAO95
GUAN93
09 Nov 2020
LIAO117
GUAN82
23 Jun 2020
LIAO102
GUAN106
01 Feb 2019
LIAO110
GUAN94
16 Nov 2018
LIAO120
GUAN108
20 Dec 2017
LIAO99
GUAN111
28 Dec 2016
LIAO119
GUAN98
04 Dec 2015
LIAO99
GUAN103
17 Dec 2014
LIAO117
GUAN107
05 Jan 2014
LIAO115
GUAN93
06 Feb 2013
LIAO128
GUAN122
11 Jan 2012
LIAO116
GUAN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
W
89-75
89
75
+14
87avg 98
H19/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
104-97
104
97
+7
103avg 98
A21/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
123-119 OT
123
119
+4
no box
A24/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
108-89
108
89
+19
110avg 98
H27/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
no box
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
103-86
103
86
+17
100avg 98
H31/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 98
A02/02
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
113-85
113
85
+28
111avg 98
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
106-85
106
85
+21
103avg 98
A07/02
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
119-97
119
97
+22
127avg 98
H06/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
32-23
19-25
21-12
28-28
28-26
22-25
26-18
38-36
22-22
29-30
23-24
25-17
30-25
23-25
30-22
25-30
25-23
26-22
23-24
25-27
32-18
22-24
24-17
27-23
30-31
23-26
26-34
33-21
28-32
30-20
22-12
26-22
31-27
30-10
19-26
42-19
33-22
24-26
20-30
203.0Avg total
107.6Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)103.993.3197.2+10.682%
Season at home (20)103.589.0192.4+14.585%
Season away (20)104.397.6201.9+6.880%
Last 10 (10)107.695.4203.0+12.280%
Last 5 (5)109.493.4202.8+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)99.797.7197.3+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)102.693.8196.3+8.878%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
123-113
123
113
+10
123avg 96
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
97-113
97
113
-16
93avg 96
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
105-112
105
112
-7
97avg 96
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
108-98
108
98
+10
96avg 96
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
96-79
96
79
+17
99avg 96
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
92-100
92
100
-8
62avg 96
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
125-98
125
98
+27
126avg 96
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
109-96
109
96
+13
95avg 96
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
100-102
100
102
-2
85avg 96
A06/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-32
30-28
29-27
31-26
22-28
15-34
25-26
35-25
34-25
23-40
21-20
27-27
29-27
22-34
35-20
22-17
20-20
25-32
27-18
16-18
28-22
22-11
24-18
22-28
29-33
21-26
18-24
24-17
24-31
35-21
29-21
37-25
33-28
34-17
16-28
26-23
20-26
27-20
19-38
34-18
206.3Avg total
105.3Scored
101.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)101.799.0200.7+2.650%
Season at home (20)104.798.5203.2+6.260%
Season away (20)98.799.6198.2-0.940%
Last 10 (10)105.3101.0206.3+4.350%
Last 5 (5)104.495.0199.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)98.2103.8202.0-5.525%
vs Similar (13)99.9101.4201.3-1.531%
vs Weaker (13)104.497.1201.5+7.369%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +5.0+5.0
LiaoningGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H19/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A21/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A24/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H27/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H31/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A02/02
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A07/02
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
75-41
75
41
+34
H06/03
CBA
106.4Avg total
57.7Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.349.2102.5+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.347.1101.4+7.264%-
Last 30 away (16)52.451.1103.5+1.469%-
Last 10 (10)57.748.7106.4+9.090%-
Last 5 (5)61.448.4109.8+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)51.051.7102.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)53.648.9102.5+4.670%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A06/03
CBA
106.1Avg total
52.6Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.651.1102.7+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.151.4105.4+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)49.550.9100.4-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)52.653.5106.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)54.647.0101.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)50.257.2107.5-7.025%-
vs Similar (13)51.751.8103.5-0.146%-
vs Weaker (13)52.048.5100.5+3.562%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.724.5
56.1%
52.7%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.4
36.5%
34.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws25.719.0
73.9%
76.0%19.0
They take 77.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.026.7
51.3%
52.7%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.9
37.4%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
76.0%15.2
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liaoning
WWWLWLWWWW
Guangzhou
LWWLWLWLLW
#1
League position
#9
+15.3
Net rating
+2.3
116.3
Offensive rating
113.0
101.0
Defensive rating
110.7
55.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
13.8%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.5%
3-point %
37.4%
70.5%
Assist %
55.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 113.0Defence101.0 · 110.7Shooting55.5% · 52.7%3-point %36.5% · 37.4%Ball care13.8% · 13.8%Off. rebounds29.0% · 33.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Liaoning   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Liaoning wins
2
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
26/12/23Guangzhou v Liaoning76-93
03/04/23Guangzhou v Liaoning87-69
18/10/22Liaoning v Guangzhou107-90
18/01/22Liaoning v Guangzhou110-98
17/10/21Guangzhou v Liaoning89-107
16/01/21Guangzhou v Liaoning91-99
16/12/20Liaoning v Guangzhou95-93
02/12/20Guangzhou v Liaoning96-102
09/11/20Liaoning v Guangzhou117-82
23/06/20Liaoning v Guangzhou102-106
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HJilin119-97
07/02/24AJiangsu Dragons106-85
05/02/24HBeijing113-85
02/02/24ABeijing Royal Fighters106-114
31/01/24HShandong103-86
29/01/24HShanghai105-107 OT
27/01/24HJiangsu Dragons108-89
24/01/24AShenzhen123-119 OT
21/01/24AGuangdong104-97
19/01/24HFujian89-75
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24AJiangsu Dragons100-102
05/02/24HShenzhen109-96
03/02/24HSichuan125-98
01/02/24AShanghai92-100
29/01/24ANingbo Rockets96-79
27/01/24HBeijing98-99 OT
25/01/24HQingdao108-98
22/01/24AShandong105-112
20/01/24ABeijing Royal Fighters97-113
18/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou123-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liaoning
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %82%85%80%
Points / game103.9103.5104.3
Allowed / game93.389.097.6
Point differential+10.6+14.4+6.8
Avg total197.2192.4201.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)0% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %8%5%10%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game101.7104.798.7
Allowed / game99.098.599.6
Point differential+2.6+6.2-0.9
Avg total200.7203.2198.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)0% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xinjiang4033782%107.096.2+10.8
2 Liaoning4033782%103.993.3+10.6
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou40291172%108.5100.2+8.3
4 Zhejiang Guangsha40261465%103.896.7+7.1
5 Guangdong40261465%109.0105.1+3.9
6 Shenzhen40261465%106.2102.5+3.7
7 Shanghai40241660%105.8103.1+2.7
8 Qingdao40241660%102.299.9+2.2
9 Beijing Royal Fighters40231757%106.6104.0+2.6
10 Guangzhou40202050%101.799.0+2.6
11 Shanxi Zhongyu40202050%109.2111.0-1.8
12 Beijing40192148%100.9101.0-0.1
13 Tianjin40182245%106.3108.6-2.2
14 Nanjing Tongxi40182245%102.5104.9-2.4
15 Shandong40162440%102.0104.0-2.0
16 Fujian40152538%103.0106.5-3.5
17 Jilin40152538%103.8107.6-3.8
18 Ningbo Rockets4063415%92.1105.5-13.4
19 Jiangsu Dragons4053512%93.4103.9-10.5
20 Sichuan4043610%98.0112.6-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liaoning29273221109
Guangzhou34292317103
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