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Guangzhou vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 85-93
23-33 27-19 18-22 17-19
Position#13
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#6
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game93.5
ChinaCBA· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangzhou v Guangdong
31 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
22 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
01 May 2026
GUAN64
GUAN85
23 Dec 2025
GUAN85
GUAN93
16 Jan 2025
GUAN77
GUAN85
03 Jan 2024
GUAN93
GUAN105
17 Mar 2023
GUAN79
GUAN101
13 Mar 2022
GUAN120
GUAN101
01 Mar 2021
GUAN98
GUAN105
22 Dec 2019
GUAN90
GUAN116
08 Nov 2018
GUAN110
GUAN125
27 Dec 2017
GUAN101
GUAN113
18 Dec 2016
GUAN80
GUAN101
03 Feb 2016
GUAN105
GUAN121
14 Nov 2014
GUAN116
GUAN123
13 Nov 2013
GUAN72
GUAN81
22 Jan 2013
GUAN114
GUAN127
13 Jan 2012
GUAN124
GUAN133
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#19
W
87-79
87
79
+8
72avg 84
H14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
80-116
80
116
-36
64avg 84
H16/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
68avg 84
A19/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
108-135
108
135
-27
99avg 84
A21/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
104-90
104
90
+14
108avg 84
A24/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
114-106
114
106
+8
109avg 84
H27/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
102-103
102
103
-1
106avg 84
H31/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
81-66
81
66
+15
79avg 84
A13/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
94-97
94
97
-3
88avg 84
A19/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
93-86
93
86
+7
63avg 84
A21/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
16-19
24-16
26-22
21-35
24-25
25-23
10-33
24-19
15-34
15-21
23-24
27-38
24-39
26-29
31-29
26-20
31-27
27-23
20-20
28-30
30-27
29-19
27-30
27-30
26-36
29-24
20-13
18-16
21-25
26-11
16-14
25-26
22-29
23-22
24-20
23-27
16-16
30-18
24-25
191.6Avg total
94.0Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.383.0172.3+6.367%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)89.383.0172.3+6.367%
Last 10 (10)94.097.6191.6-3.650%
Last 5 (5)96.891.6188.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)91.9111.6203.4-19.70%
vs Similar (10)98.594.4192.9+4.160%
vs Weaker (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#10
W
102-98
102
98
+4
99avg 101
H05/04
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
no box
A08/04
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
115-92
115
92
+23
117avg 101
H11/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
81-123
81
123
-42
72avg 101
A14/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
101-116
101
116
-15
94avg 101
A16/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
106-124
106
124
-18
89avg 101
H19/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
no box
H14/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
101-98
101
98
+3
96avg 101
A16/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
97-94
97
94
+3
95avg 101
H19/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
89-80
89
80
+9
81avg 101
H21/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
20-15
22-29
36-29
23-26
28-20
14-18
25-26
37-26
33-27
26-18
19-21
27-31
25-38
15-22
14-32
36-29
7-32
33-26
25-29
28-31
40-35
19-37
19-21
26-20
29-22
24-33
15-19
24-27
33-25
20-20
24-26
26-25
29-22
22-23
20-24
27-24
25-20
21-22
16-14
203.3Avg total
100.2Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)98.593.5192.0+5.0100%
Season at home (3)97.792.0189.7+5.7100%
Season away (1)101.098.0199.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)100.2103.1203.3-2.960%
Last 5 (5)100.099.6199.6+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.092.0181.0-3.050%
vs Similar (15)103.3102.8206.1+0.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)105.490.8196.2+14.592%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.8-2.8
GuangzhouGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H16/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A21/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H27/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H31/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A13/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A19/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A21/12
CBA
100.5Avg total
46.5Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.452.8100.2-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.952.2101.1-3.233%-
Last 30 away (18)46.453.299.6-6.828%-
Last 10 (10)46.554.0100.5-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)47.252.499.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)47.956.2104.1-8.217%-
vs Similar (10)48.148.896.9-0.760%-
vs Weaker (2)39.042.081.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H05/04
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A08/04
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H11/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A14/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A16/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H19/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H14/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A16/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H19/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H21/12
CBA
106.7Avg total
54.7Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.049.7103.7+4.377%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.447.0101.4+7.493%-
Last 30 away (16)53.652.1105.8+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)54.752.0106.7+2.780%-
Last 5 (5)57.450.2107.6+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.549.594.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (15)54.553.3107.8+1.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)54.945.6100.5+9.392%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.8
56.2%
54.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.4
37.7%
35.0%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.614.9
72.3%
73.6%14.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 100.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.526.0
55.9%
54.6%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.4
35.6%
35.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.317.6
75.5%
73.6%17.6
They take 75.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WLWLWWLLLW
Guangdong
WWWWLLLWLW
#13
League position
#6
-8.7
Net rating
+0.4
103.5
Offensive rating
107.2
112.2
Defensive rating
106.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
55.0%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
20.6%
Turnover %
16.3%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.7%
3-point %
35.6%
64.0%
Assist %
68.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 107.2Defence112.2 · 106.8Shooting56.4% · 55.0%3-point %37.7% · 35.6%Ball care20.6% · 16.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guangzhou wins
9
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
19/12/25Guangdong v Guangzhou97-94
24/01/25Guangdong v Guangzhou111-82
16/01/25Guangzhou v Guangdong77-85
13/11/24Guangdong v Guangzhou88-68
31/03/24Guangdong v Guangzhou124-97
03/01/24Guangzhou v Guangdong93-105
17/03/23Guangzhou v Guangdong79-101
10/12/22Guangdong v Guangzhou101-94 OT
13/03/22Guangzhou v Guangdong120-101
05/03/22Guangdong v Guangzhou98-89
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AJiangsu Dragons93-86
19/12/25AGuangdong94-97
13/12/25ASichuan81-66
31/03/25HJilin102-103
27/03/25HFujian114-106
24/03/25AJilin104-90
21/03/25ALiaoning108-135
19/03/25AShandong77-98
16/03/25HXinjiang80-116
14/03/25HSichuan87-79
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HQingdao89-80
19/12/25HGuangzhou97-94
16/12/25AZhejiang Chouzhou101-98
14/12/25HNanjing Tongxi107-102 OT
19/04/25HShanxi Zhongyu106-124
16/04/25AShanxi Zhongyu101-116
14/04/25AShanxi Zhongyu81-123
11/04/25HShanghai115-92
08/04/25AShanghai103-104 OT
05/04/25HShanghai102-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
Home--
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %67%-67%
Points / game89.3-89.3
Allowed / game83.0-83.0
Point differential+6.3-+6.3
Avg total172.3-172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.597.7101.0
Allowed / game93.592.098.0
Point differential+5.0+5.7+3.0
Avg total192.0189.7199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing550100%98.074.6+23.4
2 Guangdong440100%98.593.5+5.0
3 Liaoning54180%88.883.0+5.8
4 Qingdao43175%91.079.5+11.5
5 Zhejiang Guangsha43175%90.584.8+5.8
6 Shanxi Zhongyu43175%92.589.5+3.0
7 Guangzhou32167%89.383.0+6.3
8 Jilin53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Nanjing Tongxi42250%94.889.0+5.8
10 Shandong42250%94.091.8+2.2
11 Shanghai42250%95.894.0+1.8
12 Xinjiang42250%93.597.2-3.8
13 Ningbo Rockets52340%87.888.0-0.2
14 Shenzhen52340%86.289.4-3.2
15 Beijing Royal Fighters52340%91.696.4-4.8
16 Zhejiang Chouzhou41325%94.597.0-2.5
17 Fujian41325%88.591.2-2.8
18 Tianjin4040%82.290.2-8.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons4040%82.295.5-13.2
20 Sichuan5050%63.290.4-27.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2327181785
Guangdong3319221993
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