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Guangdong vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 97-94
26-25 29-22 22-23 20-24
Position#6
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game100.0
vs
Position#13
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game66.0
ChinaCBA· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangdong v Guangzhou
13 Mar 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
17 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
03 May 2026
GUAN90
GUAN80
28 Apr 2026
GUAN76
GUAN93
19 Dec 2025
GUAN97
GUAN94
24 Jan 2025
GUAN111
GUAN82
13 Nov 2024
GUAN88
GUAN68
31 Mar 2024
GUAN124
GUAN97
10 Dec 2022
GUAN101
GUAN94
05 Mar 2022
GUAN98
GUAN89
14 Mar 2021
GUAN110
GUAN104
14 Jul 2020
GUAN121
GUAN99
18 Jan 2019
GUAN131
GUAN106
31 Oct 2017
GUAN105
GUAN94
19 Feb 2017
GUAN117
GUAN96
06 Nov 2015
GUAN127
GUAN100
28 Dec 2014
GUAN122
GUAN109
28 Dec 2013
GUAN87
GUAN88
14 Dec 2012
GUAN94
GUAN102
04 Dec 2011
GUAN116
GUAN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Jilin
#14
W
106-94
106
94
+12
105avg 102
H27/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
119-90
119
90
+29
126avg 102
A31/03
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
102-98
102
98
+4
99avg 102
H05/04
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
no box
A08/04
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
115-92
115
92
+23
117avg 102
H11/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
81-123
81
123
-42
72avg 102
A14/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
101-116
101
116
-15
94avg 102
A16/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
106-124
106
124
-18
89avg 102
H19/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
no box
H14/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
101-98
101
98
+3
96avg 102
A16/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
31-25
28-21
24-24
40-23
32-20
21-21
26-26
24-25
20-15
22-29
36-29
23-26
28-20
14-18
25-26
37-26
33-27
26-18
19-21
27-31
25-38
15-22
14-32
36-29
7-32
33-26
25-29
28-31
40-35
19-37
19-21
26-20
29-22
24-33
15-19
24-27
33-25
20-20
24-26
208.2Avg total
104.1Scored
104.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)104.0100.0204.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)107.0102.0209.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)101.098.0199.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)104.1104.1208.2+0.060%
Last 5 (5)99.2112.6211.8-13.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.092.0181.0-3.050%
vs Similar (15)103.9103.7207.5+0.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)106.491.5197.9+14.892%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Fujian
#18
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
110avg 85
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
92avg 85
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
87-79
87
79
+8
72avg 85
H14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
80-116
80
116
-36
64avg 85
H16/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
68avg 85
A19/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
108-135
108
135
-27
99avg 85
A21/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
104-90
104
90
+14
108avg 85
A24/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
114-106
114
106
+8
109avg 85
H27/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
102-103
102
103
-1
106avg 85
H31/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
81-66
81
66
+15
79avg 85
A13/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-32
19-15
26-25
19-24
14-21
27-16
26-31
29-19
21-22
16-19
24-16
26-22
21-35
24-25
25-23
10-33
24-19
15-34
15-21
23-24
27-38
24-39
26-29
31-29
26-20
31-27
27-23
20-20
28-30
30-27
29-19
27-30
27-30
26-36
29-24
20-13
18-16
21-25
26-11
16-14
193.9Avg total
95.8Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.066.0147.0+15.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.066.0147.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.898.1193.9-2.360%
Last 5 (5)101.8100.0201.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)91.8111.9203.7-20.10%
vs Similar (10)98.594.4192.9+4.160%
vs Weaker (1)81.066.0147.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
GuangdongGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#14
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H27/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
72-43
72
43
+29
A31/03
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H05/04
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A08/04
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H11/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A14/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A16/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H19/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H14/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A16/12
CBA
108.7Avg total
56.6Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.150.2104.3+3.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.648.1102.6+6.586%-
Last 30 away (16)53.652.1105.8+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)56.652.1108.7+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)55.058.0113.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.549.594.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (15)54.454.1108.5+0.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)55.245.8101.0+9.392%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H16/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A21/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H27/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H31/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A13/12
CBA
99.7Avg total
47.1Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.453.0100.4-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.152.1100.2-4.136%-
Last 30 away (16)46.853.7100.5-6.931%-
Last 10 (10)47.152.699.7-5.540%-
Last 5 (5)51.657.6109.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)47.555.8103.3-8.321%-
vs Similar (10)48.148.896.9-0.760%-
vs Weaker (1)39.041.080.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 102.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.626.1
56.0%
54.6%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.8
35.2%
35.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.917.8
77.7%
73.6%17.8
They take 77.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 94.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.1
58.2%
54.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.7
36.2%
35.0%35.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.3
73.2%
73.6%15.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WWLLLWLWWW
Guangzhou
WLWWLLLWWW
#6
League position
#13
+3.2
Net rating
-3.3
109.4
Offensive rating
106.7
106.2
Defensive rating
110.0
54.7%
Effective FG%
56.4%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
21.1%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.2%
3-point %
36.2%
67.5%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 106.7Defence106.2 · 110.0Shooting54.7% · 56.4%3-point %35.2% · 36.2%Ball care17.0% · 21.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Guangdong   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Guangdong wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
24/01/25Guangdong v Guangzhou111-82
16/01/25Guangzhou v Guangdong77-85
13/11/24Guangdong v Guangzhou88-68
31/03/24Guangdong v Guangzhou124-97
03/01/24Guangzhou v Guangdong93-105
17/03/23Guangzhou v Guangdong79-101
10/12/22Guangdong v Guangzhou101-94 OT
13/03/22Guangzhou v Guangdong120-101
05/03/22Guangdong v Guangzhou98-89
14/03/21Guangdong v Guangzhou110-104
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25AZhejiang Chouzhou101-98
14/12/25HNanjing Tongxi107-102 OT
19/04/25HShanxi Zhongyu106-124
16/04/25AShanxi Zhongyu101-116
14/04/25AShanxi Zhongyu81-123
11/04/25HShanghai115-92
08/04/25AShanghai103-104 OT
05/04/25HShanghai102-98
31/03/25ASichuan119-90
27/03/25HJilin106-94
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ASichuan81-66
31/03/25HJilin102-103
27/03/25HFujian114-106
24/03/25AJilin104-90
21/03/25ALiaoning108-135
19/03/25AShandong77-98
16/03/25HXinjiang80-116
14/03/25HSichuan87-79
12/03/25ATianjin96-87
10/03/25HFujian109-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game104.0107.0101.0
Allowed / game100.0102.098.0
Point differential+4.0+5.0+3.0
Avg total204.0209.0199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %50%100%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game66.0-66.0
Point differential+15.0-+15.0
Avg total147.0-147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Qingdao330100%94.776.3+18.3
2 Beijing330100%96.379.7+16.7
3 Guangzhou110100%81.066.0+15.0
4 Guangdong220100%104.0100.0+4.0
5 Zhejiang Guangsha32167%88.383.0+5.3
6 Liaoning32167%85.380.3+5.0
7 Ningbo Rockets32167%91.389.3+2.0
8 Shanxi Zhongyu32167%90.388.7+1.7
9 Beijing Royal Fighters32167%94.795.3-0.7
10 Xinjiang32167%96.099.0-3.0
11 Shandong21150%93.092.0+1.0
12 Shanghai21150%96.095.0+1.0
13 Fujian31233%91.792.3-0.7
14 Shenzhen31233%82.783.7-1.0
15 Nanjing Tongxi31233%98.3101.0-2.7
16 Jilin31233%85.391.3-6.0
17 Zhejiang Chouzhou3030%96.7103.0-6.3
18 Tianjin3030%79.087.3-8.3
19 Jiangsu Dragons2020%77.094.0-17.0
20 Sichuan3030%72.390.3-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong2629222097
Guangzhou2522232494
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