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Guangdong vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 111-82
29-22 24-21 32-25 26-14
Position#8
Record22-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game103.9
Allowed / game98.7
vs
Position#16
Record7-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game107.5
ChinaCBARound 35· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangdong v Guangzhou
13 Mar 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
17 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
03 May 2026
GUAN90
GUAN80
28 Apr 2026
GUAN76
GUAN93
19 Dec 2025
GUAN97
GUAN94
24 Jan 2025
GUAN111
GUAN82
13 Nov 2024
GUAN88
GUAN68
31 Mar 2024
GUAN124
GUAN97
10 Dec 2022
GUAN101
GUAN94
05 Mar 2022
GUAN98
GUAN89
14 Mar 2021
GUAN110
GUAN104
14 Jul 2020
GUAN121
GUAN99
18 Jan 2019
GUAN131
GUAN106
31 Oct 2017
GUAN105
GUAN94
19 Feb 2017
GUAN117
GUAN96
06 Nov 2015
GUAN127
GUAN100
28 Dec 2014
GUAN122
GUAN109
28 Dec 2013
GUAN87
GUAN88
14 Dec 2012
GUAN94
GUAN102
04 Dec 2011
GUAN116
GUAN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#15
W
110-103
110
103
+7
115avg 106
H01/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
W
98-93
98
93
+5
108avg 106
H04/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 106
A06/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
120-111
120
111
+9
121avg 106
A08/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 106
H10/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
99-98
99
98
+1
96avg 106
H12/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 106
A16/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
116-92
116
92
+24
131avg 106
A18/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
112-94
112
94
+18
114avg 106
A20/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
81-115
81
115
-34
68avg 106
A22/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
25-29
28-30
24-23
27-26
24-30
28-23
19-14
27-28
28-21
17-22
19-13
22-24
44-25
30-33
24-29
24-28
23-28
34-23
24-17
25-24
30-21
22-25
22-28
18-28
11-20
33-11
23-18
29-20
27-20
30-25
30-27
32-20
30-27
28-31
22-16
23-31
17-27
17-25
24-32
198.0Avg total
101.7Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)103.998.7202.6+5.165%
Season at home (17)106.099.5205.5+6.571%
Season away (17)101.797.9199.6+3.859%
Last 10 (10)101.796.3198.0+5.490%
Last 5 (5)98.695.2193.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.093.8178.8-8.80%
vs Similar (13)96.8100.3197.1-3.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)105.990.2196.2+15.785%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
75-114
75
114
-39
63avg 90
A01/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
76avg 90
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
72avg 90
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
100-91
100
91
+9
95avg 90
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
81-112
81
112
-31
69avg 90
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
89-121
89
121
-32
83avg 90
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 90
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
97-116
97
116
-19
90avg 90
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
116-124
116
124
-8
108avg 90
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
102avg 90
H22/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
14-34
26-25
9-30
14-24
32-20
17-24
21-16
26-26
21-27
23-26
20-24
24-28
33-24
24-27
19-12
21-22
28-23
16-31
16-36
29-25
27-34
19-32
14-30
28-18
20-11
11-33
18-23
27-34
20-26
26-24
24-32
30-26
32-35
27-36
27-27
27-28
32-40
32-26
22-22
200.6Avg total
92.8Scored
107.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)97.8107.5205.3-9.721%
Season at home (17)98.5108.5207.1-10.018%
Season away (17)97.1106.5203.5-9.424%
Last 10 (10)92.8107.8200.6-15.010%
Last 5 (5)98.4112.4210.8-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)93.5109.7203.2-16.20%
vs Similar (10)99.593.4192.9+6.160%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -6.2-6.2
GuangdongGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#15
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H01/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H04/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A06/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A08/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H10/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H12/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A16/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A18/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A20/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A22/01
CBA
101.7Avg total
51.9Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.949.3101.2+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.449.6103.0+3.847%-
Last 30 away (15)50.549.099.5+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)51.949.8101.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.696.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.251.897.0-6.50%-
vs Similar (13)49.651.3100.9-1.731%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)56.346.5102.8+9.885%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A01/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H22/01
CBA
104.1Avg total
51.1Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.551.9101.5-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.951.9102.8-1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)48.051.999.9-3.943%-
Last 10 (10)51.153.0104.1-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)54.455.4109.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)49.154.0103.1-4.835%-
vs Similar (10)50.347.998.2+2.460%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 100.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.724.7
57.8%
52.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.0
35.1%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws24.818.3
73.8%
76.3%18.3
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.623.4
48.1%
52.6%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.4
33.7%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.520.2
79.2%
76.3%20.2
They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
LWWWWWWWWW
Guangzhou
LLLLLLWLLL
#8
League position
#16
+5.3
Net rating
-16.0
113.4
Offensive rating
100.4
108.1
Defensive rating
116.4
55.7%
Effective FG%
49.0%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
21.0%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.1%
3-point %
33.7%
74.2%
Assist %
59.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 100.4Defence108.1 · 116.4Shooting55.7% · 49.0%3-point %35.1% · 33.7%Ball care18.0% · 21.0%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 10%
■ Guangdong   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Guangdong wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
16/01/25Guangzhou v Guangdong77-85
13/11/24Guangdong v Guangzhou88-68
31/03/24Guangdong v Guangzhou124-97
03/01/24Guangzhou v Guangdong93-105
17/03/23Guangzhou v Guangdong79-101
10/12/22Guangdong v Guangzhou101-94 OT
13/03/22Guangzhou v Guangdong120-101
05/03/22Guangdong v Guangzhou98-89
14/03/21Guangdong v Guangzhou110-104
01/03/21Guangzhou v Guangdong98-105
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25AShanghai81-115
20/01/25ANanjing Tongxi112-94
18/01/25AFujian116-92
16/01/25AGuangzhou85-77
12/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters99-98
10/01/25HQingdao105-96
08/01/25ATianjin120-111
06/01/25AShenzhen91-84
04/01/25HShandong98-93
01/01/25HTianjin110-103
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters113-116
20/01/25AShanxi Zhongyu116-124
18/01/25AXinjiang97-116
16/01/25HGuangdong77-85
13/01/25HShandong89-121
10/01/25AShanghai81-112
07/01/25AJiangsu Dragons100-91
05/01/25HQingdao90-103
03/01/25HJiangsu Dragons90-96 OT
01/01/25AZhejiang Guangsha75-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %65%71%59%
Points / game103.9106.0101.7
Allowed / game98.799.597.9
Point differential+5.1+6.5+3.8
Avg total202.6205.5199.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%24%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLWLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %21%18%24%
Points / game97.898.597.1
Allowed / game107.5108.5106.5
Point differential-9.7-10.0-9.4
Avg total205.3207.1203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3430488%104.191.8+12.3
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3325876%115.7109.1+6.5
3 Xinjiang3324973%111.2102.3+8.8
4 Shandong34241071%105.199.3+5.7
5 Zhejiang Chouzhou34231168%112.7104.1+8.7
6 Qingdao34231168%104.3100.0+4.3
7 Liaoning34221265%104.898.6+6.1
8 Guangdong34221265%103.998.7+5.1
9 Beijing33211264%100.696.2+4.4
10 Shanghai31191261%112.4103.6+8.7
11 Beijing Royal Fighters33191458%106.4101.2+5.2
12 Nanjing Tongxi34171750%106.3107.8-1.5
13 Jilin34122235%102.6111.2-8.6
14 Shenzhen34112332%104.1107.2-3.1
15 Tianjin34102429%101.8111.1-9.3
16 Sichuan3482624%101.5110.8-9.3
17 Ningbo Rockets3482624%102.5113.9-11.4
18 Guangzhou3472721%97.8107.5-9.7
19 Jiangsu Dragons3462818%93.8103.1-9.4
20 Fujian3352815%102.9115.5-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong29243226111
Guangzhou2221251482
← all games of the day
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