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Guangzhou vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 77-85
28-18 20-11 11-33 18-23
Position#16
Record7-23
FormLLWLL
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game107.1
vs
Position#8
Record19-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.6
Allowed / game99.3
ChinaCBARound 31· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Guangdong
31 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
22 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
01 May 2026
GUAN64
GUAN85
23 Dec 2025
GUAN85
GUAN93
16 Jan 2025
GUAN77
GUAN85
03 Jan 2024
GUAN93
GUAN105
17 Mar 2023
GUAN79
GUAN101
13 Mar 2022
GUAN120
GUAN101
01 Mar 2021
GUAN98
GUAN105
22 Dec 2019
GUAN90
GUAN116
08 Nov 2018
GUAN110
GUAN125
27 Dec 2017
GUAN101
GUAN113
18 Dec 2016
GUAN80
GUAN101
03 Feb 2016
GUAN105
GUAN121
14 Nov 2014
GUAN116
GUAN123
13 Nov 2013
GUAN72
GUAN81
22 Jan 2013
GUAN114
GUAN127
13 Jan 2012
GUAN124
GUAN133
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
103-120
103
120
-17
96avg 90
A23/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
97-98
97
98
-1
87avg 90
H26/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
98-99
98
99
-1
93avg 90
A28/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
85-92
85
92
-7
86avg 90
A30/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
75-114
75
114
-39
63avg 90
A01/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
76avg 90
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
72avg 90
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
100-91
100
91
+9
95avg 90
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
81-112
81
112
-31
69avg 90
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
89-121
89
121
-32
83avg 90
H13/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
35-32
20-36
32-24
20-25
25-22
27-24
25-27
21-28
24-19
24-26
29-26
16-26
20-24
20-19
29-23
26-25
14-34
26-25
9-30
14-24
32-20
17-24
21-16
26-26
21-27
23-26
20-24
24-28
33-24
24-27
19-12
21-22
28-23
16-31
16-36
29-25
27-34
19-32
14-30
195.4Avg total
90.8Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)97.4107.1204.5-9.723%
Season at home (15)99.0109.6208.6-10.620%
Season away (15)95.8104.7200.5-8.927%
Last 10 (10)90.8104.6195.4-13.810%
Last 5 (5)90.0104.6194.6-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)93.7109.8203.4-16.16%
vs Similar (12)100.195.8195.8+4.358%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
107-72
107
72
+35
115avg 106
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
87-102
87
102
-15
99avg 106
H25/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
106-65
106
65
+41
108avg 106
A28/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
81avg 106
A30/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
110-103
110
103
+7
115avg 106
H01/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
W
98-93
98
93
+5
108avg 106
H04/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 106
A06/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
120-111
120
111
+9
121avg 106
A08/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 106
H10/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
99-98
99
98
+1
96avg 106
H12/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
31-16
28-15
25-19
30-21
20-31
22-27
15-23
25-22
38-17
27-13
16-13
24-24
19-23
19-20
27-28
33-21
25-29
28-30
24-23
27-26
24-30
28-23
19-14
27-28
28-21
17-22
19-13
22-24
44-25
30-33
24-29
24-28
23-28
34-23
24-17
25-24
30-21
22-25
22-28
193.1Avg total
101.2Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)104.699.3203.8+5.363%
Season at home (17)106.099.5205.5+6.571%
Season away (13)102.798.9201.6+3.854%
Last 10 (10)101.291.9193.1+9.380%
Last 5 (5)102.696.4199.0+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.093.8178.8-8.80%
vs Similar (13)98.399.5197.8-1.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)108.792.8201.5+15.985%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
GuangzhouGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A23/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A28/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A30/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A01/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H13/01
CBA
98.8Avg total
47.2Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.652.0101.5-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.852.9103.7-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)48.351.199.4-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)47.251.698.8-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)51.050.6101.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)49.454.2103.6-4.833%-
vs Similar (12)49.848.798.5+1.258%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H25/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A28/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A30/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H01/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H04/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A06/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A08/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H10/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H12/01
CBA
102.3Avg total
54.2Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.549.9104.5+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (18)55.950.2106.2+5.756%-
Last 30 away (12)52.449.5101.9+2.958%-
Last 10 (10)54.248.1102.3+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)54.851.0105.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.251.897.0-6.50%-
vs Similar (13)51.150.8101.9+0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)60.848.5109.3+12.492%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.223.3
49.4%
52.6%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.7
33.9%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.117.1
77.4%
76.3%17.1
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 100.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.025.5
55.4%
52.6%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.2
34.0%
35.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.418.8
77.0%
76.3%18.8
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLWLLLLLLL
Guangdong
WWWWWWLWLW
#16
League position
#8
-15.5
Net rating
+10.5
98.5
Offensive rating
112.7
114.0
Defensive rating
102.1
49.9%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
23.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.9%
3-point %
34.0%
59.4%
Assist %
69.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 112.7Defence114.0 · 102.1Shooting49.9% · 53.7%3-point %33.9% · 34.0%Ball care23.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 30.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guangzhou wins
9
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
13/11/24Guangdong v Guangzhou88-68
31/03/24Guangdong v Guangzhou124-97
03/01/24Guangzhou v Guangdong93-105
17/03/23Guangzhou v Guangdong79-101
10/12/22Guangdong v Guangzhou101-94 OT
13/03/22Guangzhou v Guangdong120-101
05/03/22Guangdong v Guangzhou98-89
14/03/21Guangdong v Guangzhou110-104
01/03/21Guangzhou v Guangdong98-105
14/07/20Guangdong v Guangzhou121-99
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25HShandong89-121
10/01/25AShanghai81-112
07/01/25AJiangsu Dragons100-91
05/01/25HQingdao90-103
03/01/25HJiangsu Dragons90-96 OT
01/01/25AZhejiang Guangsha75-114
30/12/24ANingbo Rockets85-92
28/12/24ASichuan98-99
26/12/24HLiaoning97-98
23/12/24AZhejiang Chouzhou103-120
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters99-98
10/01/25HQingdao105-96
08/01/25ATianjin120-111
06/01/25AShenzhen91-84
04/01/25HShandong98-93
01/01/25HTianjin110-103
30/12/24ALiaoning89-95
28/12/24AJilin106-65
25/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou87-102
23/12/24HNingbo Rockets107-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %23%20%27%
Points / game97.499.095.8
Allowed / game107.1109.6104.7
Point differential-9.7-10.6-8.9
Avg total204.5208.6200.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %63%71%54%
Points / game104.6106.0102.7
Allowed / game99.399.598.9
Point differential+5.3+6.5+3.8
Avg total203.8205.5201.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%24%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3127487%103.991.5+12.4
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3023777%115.6108.8+6.9
3 Shandong3122971%105.599.7+5.7
4 Xinjiang3021970%110.4102.5+7.9
5 Liaoning31211068%105.498.0+7.4
6 Qingdao31211068%105.1100.5+4.6
7 Beijing30201067%101.296.5+4.7
8 Zhejiang Chouzhou31201165%111.7104.3+7.5
9 Guangdong30191163%104.699.3+5.3
10 Shanghai28171161%112.1104.8+7.4
11 Beijing Royal Fighters30161453%105.8101.4+4.4
12 Nanjing Tongxi31151648%106.5108.1-1.6
13 Jilin31112035%102.3110.7-8.5
14 Shenzhen31102132%104.3107.5-3.2
15 Tianjin3192229%101.3110.6-9.3
16 Sichuan3082227%101.8109.9-8.1
17 Ningbo Rockets3182326%102.0113.8-11.8
18 Guangzhou3072323%97.4107.1-9.7
19 Jiangsu Dragons3152616%94.1103.3-9.2
20 Fujian2942514%102.7115.2-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2820111877
Guangdong1811332385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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