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Guangzhou vs Fujian Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game95.1
vs
Position#7
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game86.5
ChinaCBARound 24· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangzhou v Fujian
09 Jan 2027
GUAN v FUJI
upcoming
20 Apr 2026
GUAN101
FUJI94
29 Jan 2026
GUAN85
FUJI92
27 Mar 2025
GUAN114
FUJI106
10 Mar 2025
GUAN109
FUJI101
02 Apr 2024
GUAN103
FUJI88
27 Oct 2023
GUAN109
FUJI103
20 Oct 2022
GUAN109
FUJI78
15 Mar 2022
GUAN125
FUJI107
03 Mar 2021
GUAN124
FUJI118
17 Dec 2019
GUAN103
FUJI122
10 Nov 2018
GUAN104
FUJI117
13 Dec 2017
GUAN126
FUJI120
01 Jan 2017
GUAN99
FUJI101
29 Nov 2015
GUAN130
FUJI126
02 Dec 2014
GUAN124
FUJI107
24 Jan 2014
GUAN99
FUJI95
16 Dec 2012
GUAN99
FUJI85
18 Jan 2012
GUAN100
FUJI110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fujian win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
52avg 80
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
35avg 80
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
114-81
114
81
+33
no box
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
L
86-102
86
102
-16
no box
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
no box
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
no box
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
no box
H30/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
33-21
15-24
28-18
14-16
21-24
24-35
26-18
22-23
181.0Avg total
87.4Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.295.1186.4-3.950%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (5)91.295.8187.0-4.640%
Last 10 (10)87.493.6181.0-6.240%
Last 5 (5)88.099.8187.8-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)85.694.1179.6-8.518%
vs Similar (9)91.289.2180.4+2.056%
vs Weaker (4)95.576.0171.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Fujian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FujianChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFujian
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
L
94-101
94
101
-7
82avg 85
A20/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
93-91
93
91
+2
86avg 85
H24/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
A17/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
94-99
94
99
-5
no box
H20/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
H22/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
A24/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A27/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
W
102-90
102
90
+12
no box
H29/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H31/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
20-25
29-30
22-28
17-25
25-26
20-16
31-24
19-21
28-15
20-22
22-27
18-34
28-17
22-30
26-18
22-23
26-20
18-16
29-17
26-28
17-22
21-22
25-22
18-23
24-22
24-21
12-22
22-26
29-29
26-19
25-16
23-26
26-19
23-24
23-17
14-19
20-23
32-23
16-9
179.5Avg total
91.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.586.5177.0+4.062%
Season at home (4)96.587.8184.2+8.875%
Season away (4)84.585.2169.8-0.850%
Last 10 (10)91.188.4179.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)89.286.4175.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)95.197.2192.3-2.143%
vs Similar (8)91.092.4183.4-1.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.984.2174.1+5.675%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
GuangzhouFujian
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A03/11
CBA
91.9Avg total
43.3Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.046.690.5-2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.987.6-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)45.248.393.5-3.153%-
Last 10 (10)43.348.691.9-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.693.2-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.849.492.2-6.629%-
vs Similar (9)45.945.291.1+0.767%-
vs Weaker (4)44.837.582.2+7.2100%-
This opponent (Fujian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FujianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A20/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H24/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A17/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H20/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H22/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A24/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H29/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H31/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A03/11
CBA
90.6Avg total
44.5Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.549.495.9-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.750.998.6-3.229%-
Last 30 away (16)45.448.193.5-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)44.546.190.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.847.491.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)46.853.2100.0-6.414%-
vs Similar (8)46.648.094.6-1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.944.190.0+1.850%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fujiantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fujian: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.5
53.2%
53.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.4
40.5%
35.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.719.1
80.6%
74.8%19.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLWLLWWLL
Fujian
WWWLLWLWWL
#9
League position
#7
-11.7
Net rating
+3.3
90.5
Offensive rating
101.8
102.2
Defensive rating
98.4
47.4%
Effective FG%
56.2%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.2%
3-point %
40.5%
60.4%
Assist %
55.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 101.8Defence102.2 · 98.4Shooting47.4% · 56.2%3-point %33.2% · 40.5%Ball care14.7% · 14.1%Free throws0.43 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Fujian
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Guangzhou wins
2
Fujian wins
DateGameScore
20/04/26Guangzhou v Fujian101-94
29/01/26Guangzhou v Fujian85-92
26/12/25Fujian v Guangzhou97-84
27/03/25Guangzhou v Fujian114-106
10/03/25Guangzhou v Fujian109-101 OT
04/12/24Fujian v Guangzhou96-111
27/10/24Fujian v Guangzhou101-112
02/04/24Guangzhou v Fujian103-88
10/01/24Fujian v Guangzhou106-116
27/10/23Guangzhou v Fujian109-103
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ALiaoning93-100
01/11/26AJilin90-79
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
Fujianlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ASichuan82-74
31/10/26HQingdao95-86
29/10/26HShandong102-90
27/10/26AJiangsu Dragons78-88
24/10/26AShanghai89-94
22/10/26HNingbo Rockets95-76
20/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha94-99
17/10/26AJiangsu Dragons89-85
24/04/26HGuangdong93-91
20/04/26AGuangzhou94-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game91.291.391.2
Allowed / game95.194.095.8
Point differential-3.9-2.7-4.6
Avg total186.4185.3187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%33%0%
Fujian
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game90.596.584.5
Allowed / game86.587.885.2
Point differential+4.0+8.8-0.8
Avg total177.0184.2169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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