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Guangzhou vs Fujian Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 103-88
22-27 27-32 37-10 17-19
Position#9
Record27-23
FormWWWWL
Points / game102.5
Allowed / game99.6
vs
Position#17
Record17-33
FormWLLLL
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game107.0
ChinaCBARound 51· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Fujian
09 Jan 2027
GUAN v FUJI
upcoming
20 Apr 2026
GUAN101
FUJI94
29 Jan 2026
GUAN85
FUJI92
27 Mar 2025
GUAN114
FUJI106
10 Mar 2025
GUAN109
FUJI101
02 Apr 2024
GUAN103
FUJI88
27 Oct 2023
GUAN109
FUJI103
20 Oct 2022
GUAN109
FUJI78
15 Mar 2022
GUAN125
FUJI107
03 Mar 2021
GUAN124
FUJI118
17 Dec 2019
GUAN103
FUJI122
10 Nov 2018
GUAN104
FUJI117
13 Dec 2017
GUAN126
FUJI120
01 Jan 2017
GUAN99
FUJI101
29 Nov 2015
GUAN130
FUJI126
02 Dec 2014
GUAN124
FUJI107
24 Jan 2014
GUAN99
FUJI95
16 Dec 2012
GUAN99
FUJI85
18 Jan 2012
GUAN100
FUJI110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fujian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
97avg 96
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
97-104
97
104
-7
78avg 96
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
115-100
115
100
+15
114avg 96
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
108-96
108
96
+12
103avg 96
H16/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
101-79
101
79
+22
94avg 96
H19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 96
A21/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
115-106
115
106
+9
100avg 96
A24/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
120-103
120
103
+17
116avg 96
H26/03
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
103-99
103
99
+4
91avg 96
A29/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
97-124
97
124
-27
82avg 96
A31/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-29
29-27
23-32
17-21
22-25
26-30
16-19
33-30
34-35
29-22
26-21
26-22
27-21
29-28
23-19
29-28
27-24
27-19
23-15
24-21
25-27
20-22
27-24
30-26
32-26
17-23
38-29
28-28
29-33
30-22
29-20
32-28
21-18
22-29
41-23
19-29
29-29
22-30
29-33
17-32
208.0Avg total
106.1Scored
101.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)102.599.6202.2+2.954%
Season at home (24)105.098.0203.0+7.062%
Season away (26)100.3101.1201.4-0.846%
Last 10 (10)106.1101.9208.0+4.270%
Last 5 (5)107.4106.2213.6+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)101.2102.0203.2-0.840%
vs Similar (13)102.2103.4205.6-1.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)106.196.6202.7+9.575%
This opponent (Fujian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FujianChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFujian
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
126-93
126
93
+33
116avg 88
H10/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
116-120
116
120
-4
97avg 88
H13/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
105-120
105
120
-15
90avg 88
H15/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
94-103
94
103
-9
83avg 88
H17/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
108-125
108
125
-17
90avg 88
A19/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
104-90
104
90
+14
93avg 88
A21/03
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
109-120
109
120
-11
95avg 88
A24/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
81-105
81
105
-24
51avg 88
H26/03
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
98-115
98
115
-17
79avg 88
H28/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
74avg 88
H30/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-26
36-21
28-26
23-20
42-36
32-28
23-28
19-28
32-22
23-36
21-34
29-28
24-22
30-33
26-20
14-28
33-35
29-31
20-40
26-19
33-15
28-33
22-18
21-24
33-25
24-30
27-33
25-32
21-29
19-23
16-30
25-23
25-36
22-35
25-22
26-22
28-19
16-31
24-27
22-21
212.0Avg total
103.1Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)103.0107.0209.9-4.034%
Season at home (26)102.4103.6206.0-1.242%
Season away (24)103.6110.6214.2-7.025%
Last 10 (10)103.1108.9212.0-5.820%
Last 5 (5)96.4105.6202.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)96.6106.6203.3-10.011%
vs Similar (5)106.6105.0211.6+1.640%
vs Weaker (6)110.098.7208.7+11.3100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
GuangzhouFujian
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#1
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H16/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A21/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A24/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H26/03
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A29/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A31/03
CBA
105.0Avg total
53.1Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.651.3104.0+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.251.9107.1+3.471%-
Last 30 away (16)50.450.9101.2-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)53.151.9105.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)49.451.8101.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)54.655.0109.6-0.460%-
vs Similar (13)50.852.8103.6-2.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)53.848.2102.0+5.775%-
This opponent (Fujian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FujianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
75-47
75
47
+28
H10/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H13/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H15/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H17/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A19/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
61-48
61
48
+13
A21/03
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A24/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H26/03
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
47-71
47
71
-24
H28/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H30/03
CBA
113.5Avg total
56.9Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.652.0104.6+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.652.2105.9+1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)51.551.7103.2-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)56.956.6113.5+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)49.855.2105.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)49.453.7103.1-4.326%-
vs Similar (5)54.651.8106.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker (6)61.246.8108.0+14.383%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.126.1
50.1%
52.7%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.512.4
42.0%
34.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
76.0%15.9
They take 81.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fujiantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fujian: 102.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.724.8
53.1%
52.7%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.112.3
33.2%
34.6%36.9
🏀 Free throws22.916.2
70.7%
76.0%16.2
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWWWWWWWLL
Fujian
LLLLWLLLLW
#9
League position
#17
+4.6
Net rating
-5.1
116.3
Offensive rating
109.7
111.7
Defensive rating
114.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
51.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
12.7%
Turnover %
10.9%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
42.0%
3-point %
33.2%
59.7%
Assist %
51.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 109.7Defence111.7 · 114.9Shooting54.8% · 51.6%3-point %42.0% · 33.2%Ball care12.7% · 10.9%Off. rebounds26.5% · 23.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Fujian
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Guangzhou wins
2
Fujian wins
DateGameScore
10/01/24Fujian v Guangzhou106-116
27/10/23Guangzhou v Fujian109-103
28/03/23Fujian v Guangzhou100-115
20/10/22Guangzhou v Fujian109-78
19/03/22Fujian v Guangzhou75-98
15/03/22Guangzhou v Fujian125-107
12/03/21Fujian v Guangzhou115-118 OT
03/03/21Guangzhou v Fujian124-118
11/07/20Fujian v Guangzhou123-111
17/12/19Guangzhou v Fujian103-122
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24AGuangdong97-124
29/03/24ATianjin103-99
26/03/24HZhejiang Guangsha120-103
24/03/24AShenzhen115-106
21/03/24AQingdao102-99
19/03/24HJiangsu Dragons101-79
16/03/24HXinjiang108-96
14/03/24AJilin115-100
11/03/24HShanghai97-104
09/03/24ALiaoning103-109
Fujianlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HShanghai90-98
28/03/24HShandong98-115
26/03/24HZhejiang Chouzhou81-105
24/03/24AShandong109-120
21/03/24ANingbo Rockets104-90
19/03/24AZhejiang Guangsha108-125
17/03/24HShenzhen94-103
15/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters105-120
13/03/24HGuangdong116-120
10/03/24HNingbo Rockets126-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL54%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayWWWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502426
Win %54%62%46%
Points / game102.5105.0100.3
Allowed / game99.698.0101.1
Point differential+2.9+7.0-0.8
Avg total202.2203.0201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)0% (3)56% (9)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Fujian
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL34%
HomeLLLLL42%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502624
Win %34%42%25%
Points / game103.0102.4103.6
Allowed / game107.0103.6110.6
Point differential-4.0-1.2-7.0
Avg total209.9206.0214.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%23%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning5041982%103.393.7+9.6
2 Zhejiang Chouzhou50391178%108.998.5+10.4
3 Xinjiang50391178%106.297.0+9.2
4 Guangdong50361472%110.6103.6+7.0
5 Zhejiang Guangsha50331766%103.897.6+6.3
6 Shanghai51321963%106.4103.0+3.4
7 Shenzhen51312061%105.2102.5+2.7
8 Qingdao50292158%102.8100.3+2.5
9 Beijing Royal Fighters50282256%106.0103.9+2.1
10 Guangzhou50272354%102.599.6+2.9
11 Beijing50262452%100.899.9+0.8
12 Shanxi Zhongyu50252550%111.1111.7-0.6
13 Nanjing Tongxi50232746%103.6106.0-2.4
14 Tianjin50212942%106.7109.3-2.5
15 Shandong50203040%103.3104.9-1.6
16 Jilin50183236%103.4107.6-4.2
17 Fujian50173334%103.0107.0-4.0
18 Jiangsu Dragons5174414%92.1102.8-10.8
19 Ningbo Rockets5064412%93.1107.2-14.1
20 Sichuan514478%94.5111.0-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou22273717103
Fujian2732101988
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