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Guangzhou vs Fujian Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 109-101 (OT)
32-32 19-15 26-25 19-24 13-5
Position#16
Record7-30
FormLLLLL
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game108.0
vs
Position#18
Record6-30
FormLLLWL
Points / game103.1
Allowed / game115.6
ChinaCBARound 38· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Fujian
09 Jan 2027
GUAN v FUJI
upcoming
20 Apr 2026
GUAN101
FUJI94
29 Jan 2026
GUAN85
FUJI92
27 Mar 2025
GUAN114
FUJI106
10 Mar 2025
GUAN109
FUJI101
02 Apr 2024
GUAN103
FUJI88
27 Oct 2023
GUAN109
FUJI103
20 Oct 2022
GUAN109
FUJI78
15 Mar 2022
GUAN125
FUJI107
03 Mar 2021
GUAN124
FUJI118
17 Dec 2019
GUAN103
FUJI122
10 Nov 2018
GUAN104
FUJI117
13 Dec 2017
GUAN126
FUJI120
01 Jan 2017
GUAN99
FUJI101
29 Nov 2015
GUAN130
FUJI126
02 Dec 2014
GUAN124
FUJI107
24 Jan 2014
GUAN99
FUJI95
16 Dec 2012
GUAN99
FUJI85
18 Jan 2012
GUAN100
FUJI110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fujian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
100-91
100
91
+9
95avg 88
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
81-112
81
112
-31
69avg 88
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
89-121
89
121
-32
83avg 88
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 88
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
97-116
97
116
-19
90avg 88
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
116-124
116
124
-8
108avg 88
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
102avg 88
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
82-111
82
111
-29
70avg 88
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
80-126
80
126
-46
52avg 88
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
86-104
86
104
-18
85avg 88
H08/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
33-24
24-27
19-12
21-22
28-23
16-31
16-36
29-25
27-34
19-32
14-30
28-18
20-11
11-33
18-23
27-34
20-26
26-24
24-32
30-26
32-35
27-36
27-27
27-28
32-40
32-26
22-22
22-29
21-24
25-32
14-26
19-25
26-24
15-41
20-36
24-31
18-24
22-26
22-23
202.7Avg total
92.1Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)96.6108.0204.6-11.419%
Season at home (18)97.8108.3206.1-10.417%
Season away (19)95.4107.7203.1-12.421%
Last 10 (10)92.1110.6202.7-18.510%
Last 5 (5)95.4116.2211.6-20.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)93.0111.7204.7-18.70%
vs Similar ◀ (9)103.094.0197.0+9.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fujian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FujianChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFujian
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
117-122
117
122
-5
109avg 87
A07/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
113-104
113
104
+9
105avg 87
A10/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
89-105
89
105
-16
72avg 87
A13/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
121-117
121
117
+4
117avg 87
H16/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
92-116
92
116
-24
63avg 87
H18/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
92-103
92
103
-11
75avg 87
H20/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
112-134
112
134
-22
96avg 87
A22/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
94-128
94
128
-34
72avg 87
H24/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
122-113
122
113
+9
114avg 87
H05/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
101-110
101
110
-9
84avg 87
A07/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
32-25
29-36
26-34
28-31
29-32
33-22
23-19
29-32
21-19
27-31
12-23
27-31
31-35
31-23
32-28
20-29
20-27
25-30
27-30
27-25
27-27
23-24
15-27
33-40
29-26
23-38
27-30
31-34
30-24
15-39
18-31
24-27
31-22
28-31
39-33
25-31
33-31
22-21
21-27
220.5Avg total
105.3Scored
115.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)103.1115.6218.7-12.517%
Season at home (18)103.3114.3217.6-11.022%
Season away (18)102.9116.9219.8-13.911%
Last 10 (10)105.3115.2220.5-9.930%
Last 5 (5)104.2117.6221.8-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)98.8115.0213.8-16.310%
vs Similar ◀ (9)104.3110.4214.8-6.133%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -9.1-9.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -9.1-9.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
GuangzhouFujian
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H08/03
CBA
103.9Avg total
50.8Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.252.4102.6-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.452.9104.2-1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)48.851.9100.7-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)50.853.1103.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)50.257.2107.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)49.354.8104.1-5.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)52.147.099.1+5.167%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fujian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FujianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A07/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A10/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A13/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H16/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H18/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H20/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A22/01
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H24/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H05/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A07/03
CBA
113.2Avg total
55.7Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.658.2108.8-7.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.257.5107.7-7.321%-
Last 30 away (16)50.958.9109.8-8.012%-
Last 10 (10)55.757.5113.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)58.057.4115.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)50.057.9107.9-7.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)51.959.0110.9-7.122%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.124.5
48.9%
52.6%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.5
33.9%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.417.0
79.4%
76.3%17.0
They take 75.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fujiantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fujian: 104.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.923.7
50.5%
52.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.611.9
34.4%
35.1%35.7
🏀 Free throws26.321.4
81.4%
76.3%21.4
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLLLLLLLLW
Fujian
LWLLLLWLWL
#16
League position
#18
-20.2
Net rating
-10.4
99.3
Offensive rating
112.3
119.5
Defensive rating
122.7
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
20.1%
Turnover %
13.1%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.9%
3-point %
34.4%
59.1%
Assist %
57.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 112.3Defence119.5 · 122.7Shooting49.5% · 51.0%3-point %33.9% · 34.4%Ball care20.1% · 13.1%Off. rebounds26.2% · 25.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Fujian
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Guangzhou wins
0
Fujian wins
DateGameScore
04/12/24Fujian v Guangzhou96-111
27/10/24Fujian v Guangzhou101-112
02/04/24Guangzhou v Fujian103-88
10/01/24Fujian v Guangzhou106-116
27/10/23Guangzhou v Fujian109-103
28/03/23Fujian v Guangzhou100-115
20/10/22Guangzhou v Fujian109-78
19/03/22Fujian v Guangzhou75-98
15/03/22Guangzhou v Fujian125-107
12/03/21Fujian v Guangzhou115-118 OT
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HShenzhen86-104
05/03/25AQingdao80-126
24/01/25AGuangdong82-111
22/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters113-116
20/01/25AShanxi Zhongyu116-124
18/01/25AXinjiang97-116
16/01/25HGuangdong77-85
13/01/25HShandong89-121
10/01/25AShanghai81-112
07/01/25AJiangsu Dragons100-91
Fujianlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25ANingbo Rockets101-110
05/03/25HNanjing Tongxi122-113
24/01/25HBeijing94-128
22/01/25AZhejiang Chouzhou112-134
20/01/25HJilin92-103
18/01/25HGuangdong92-116
16/01/25HSichuan121-117
13/01/25ABeijing89-105
10/01/25AXinjiang113-104
07/01/25AShanxi Zhongyu117-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %19%17%21%
Points / game96.697.895.4
Allowed / game108.0108.3107.7
Point differential-11.4-10.4-12.4
Avg total204.6206.1203.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Fujian
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeWLLLW22%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %17%22%11%
Points / game103.1103.3102.9
Allowed / game115.6114.3116.9
Point differential-12.5-11.0-13.9
Avg total218.7217.6219.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3832684%103.592.4+11.1
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3728976%114.6108.3+6.3
3 Xinjiang36261072%110.8102.1+8.7
4 Shandong37261170%105.199.9+5.2
5 Beijing37251268%101.695.8+5.8
6 Qingdao37251268%104.699.9+4.8
7 Liaoning38251366%105.399.4+5.9
8 Zhejiang Chouzhou37241365%113.2104.9+8.2
9 Guangdong37241365%105.098.3+6.6
10 Shanghai36231364%111.4102.9+8.6
11 Beijing Royal Fighters36201656%107.2102.5+4.7
12 Nanjing Tongxi38182047%106.1107.8-1.8
13 Shenzhen37142338%104.8106.7-2.0
14 Jilin38132534%102.4110.9-8.5
15 Tianjin37112630%102.2111.2-9.0
16 Ningbo Rockets3792824%102.8113.7-10.9
17 Sichuan3782922%100.5110.3-9.7
18 Guangzhou3773019%96.6108.0-11.4
19 Fujian3663017%103.1115.6-12.5
20 Jiangsu Dragons3763116%93.7103.7-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Guangzhou3219261913109
Fujian321525245101
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