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Jilin vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 100-115
35-34 22-29 21-26 22-26
Position#16
Record15-27
FormWWLLL
Points / game103.7
Allowed / game107.7
vs
Position#9
Record20-22
FormWWLLL
Points / game101.6
Allowed / game99.4
ChinaCBARound 43· Changchun Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jilin v Guangzhou
01 Nov 2026
JILI79
GUAN90
18 Apr 2026
JILI75
GUAN93
24 Mar 2025
JILI90
GUAN104
01 Nov 2024
JILI114
GUAN94
14 Mar 2024
JILI100
GUAN115
05 Apr 2023
JILI87
GUAN104
31 Oct 2021
JILI94
GUAN95
10 Apr 2021
JILI85
GUAN103
28 Oct 2020
JILI99
GUAN87
21 Jul 2020
JILI98
GUAN95
30 Jan 2019
JILI122
GUAN99
23 Dec 2018
JILI121
GUAN95
17 Dec 2017
JILI139
GUAN132
25 Dec 2016
JILI90
GUAN81
02 Dec 2015
JILI104
GUAN109
09 Jan 2015
JILI137
GUAN123
20 Nov 2013
JILI115
GUAN108
03 Feb 2013
JILI119
GUAN122
08 Jan 2012
JILI92
GUAN78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jilin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
101-103
101
103
-2
93avg 94
H21/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
111-116
111
116
-5
96avg 94
H23/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
116-118
116
118
-2
109avg 94
H26/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
110-124
110
124
-14
104avg 94
A28/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
110-91
110
91
+19
121avg 94
A01/02
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
104-96
104
96
+8
86avg 94
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
112-104
112
104
+8
95avg 94
H05/02
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
97-119
97
119
-22
86avg 94
A06/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
113-121
113
121
-8
97avg 94
A09/03
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
89-97
89
97
-8
73avg 94
H12/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
30-28
23-19
27-29
36-31
22-26
29-32
24-27
32-23
22-32
26-37
36-26
21-35
34-35
21-33
34-21
28-20
25-23
31-15
26-33
34-26
25-31
26-18
19-21
36-34
27-24
33-23
16-23
19-42
22-33
26-24
30-20
30-32
32-38
18-28
33-23
17-29
22-28
32-16
18-24
215.2Avg total
106.3Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)103.7107.7211.4-4.036%
Season at home (21)104.1104.5208.7-0.448%
Season away (21)103.3110.9214.1-7.624%
Last 10 (10)106.3108.9215.2-2.630%
Last 5 (5)103.0107.4210.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)104.6110.2214.8-5.535%
vs Similar (8)113.1115.0228.1-1.938%
vs Weaker (5)107.6101.6209.2+6.080%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shandong
#15
L
105-112
105
112
-7
97avg 95
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
108-98
108
98
+10
96avg 95
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
96-79
96
79
+17
99avg 95
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
92-100
92
100
-8
62avg 95
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
125-98
125
98
+27
126avg 95
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
109-96
109
96
+13
95avg 95
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
100-102
100
102
-2
85avg 95
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
97avg 95
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
97-104
97
104
-7
78avg 95
H11/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-25
23-40
21-20
27-27
29-27
22-34
35-20
22-17
20-20
25-32
27-18
16-18
28-22
22-11
24-18
22-28
29-33
21-26
18-24
24-17
24-31
35-21
29-21
37-25
33-28
34-17
16-28
26-23
20-26
27-20
19-38
34-18
34-29
29-27
23-32
17-21
22-25
26-30
16-19
33-30
203.0Avg total
103.3Scored
99.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)101.699.4201.0+2.248%
Season at home (21)104.398.8203.0+5.557%
Season away (21)98.9100.0198.9-1.238%
Last 10 (10)103.399.7203.0+3.640%
Last 5 (5)106.8101.8208.6+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)99.2104.8204.0-5.620%
vs Similar (13)99.1100.5199.6-1.531%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)105.198.2203.3+6.867%
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.4+3.4
JilinGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H21/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H23/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H26/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A28/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A01/02
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A03/02
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H05/02
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
41-75
41
75
-34
A06/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A09/03
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H12/03
CBA
113.2Avg total
53.5Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.658.6113.2-4.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.256.3110.5-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)54.960.9115.9-6.040%-
Last 10 (10)53.559.7113.2-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)52.863.4116.2-10.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)52.158.7110.8-6.629%-
vs Similar (8)59.960.2120.1-0.450%-
vs Weaker (5)54.655.8110.4-1.260%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#15
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H11/03
CBA
106.1Avg total
53.7Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.051.6103.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.652.0105.6+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)50.651.2101.9-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)53.752.4106.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)56.850.8107.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.857.0109.8-4.240%-
vs Similar (13)51.252.5103.7-1.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)52.648.4101.0+4.267%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.8
52.1%
52.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.813.0
36.3%
34.6%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.417.6
75.2%
76.0%17.6
They take 75.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.524.7
48.9%
52.7%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.7%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.316.6
77.9%
76.0%16.6
They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jilin
LLLWWWLLLL
Guangzhou
LLLWWLWLWL
#16
League position
#9
-1.2
Net rating
-2.8
115.3
Offensive rating
109.7
116.4
Defensive rating
112.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
50.3%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.1%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.3%
3-point %
35.7%
63.0%
Assist %
55.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 109.7Defence116.4 · 112.5Shooting53.2% · 50.3%3-point %36.3% · 35.7%Ball care11.7% · 13.1%Off. rebounds24.9% · 29.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Jilin   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Jilin wins
5
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
24/12/23Guangzhou v Jilin129-122
05/04/23Jilin v Guangzhou87-104
27/10/22Guangzhou v Jilin112-116 OT
12/11/21Guangzhou v Jilin107-104
31/10/21Jilin v Guangzhou94-95
10/04/21Jilin v Guangzhou85-103
30/03/21Guangzhou v Jilin95-120
13/11/20Guangzhou v Jilin94-101
28/10/20Jilin v Guangzhou99-87
21/07/20Jilin v Guangzhou98-95
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/24HBeijing89-97
09/03/24AGuangdong113-121
06/03/24ALiaoning97-119
05/02/24HShandong112-104
03/02/24AShanghai104-96
01/02/24ANingbo Rockets110-91
28/01/24ATianjin110-124
26/01/24HShenzhen116-118
23/01/24HGuangdong111-116
21/01/24HQingdao101-103
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/24HShanghai97-104
09/03/24ALiaoning103-109
06/03/24AJiangsu Dragons100-102
05/02/24HShenzhen109-96
03/02/24HSichuan125-98
01/02/24AShanghai92-100
29/01/24ANingbo Rockets96-79
27/01/24HBeijing98-99 OT
25/01/24HQingdao108-98
22/01/24AShandong105-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jilin
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeLLLWL48%
AwayLWWLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %36%48%24%
Points / game103.7104.1103.3
Allowed / game107.7104.5110.9
Point differential-4.0-0.4-7.6
Avg total211.4208.7214.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)33% (9)43% (7)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL48%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %48%57%38%
Points / game101.6104.398.9
Allowed / game99.498.8100.0
Point differential+2.2+5.5-1.2
Avg total201.0203.0198.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%48%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)0% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning4235783%104.193.6+10.5
2 Xinjiang4234881%106.396.5+9.8
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou42311174%108.8100.3+8.5
4 Zhejiang Guangsha42281467%104.096.4+7.6
5 Guangdong42281467%109.5105.6+4.0
6 Shenzhen42261662%106.0102.8+3.2
7 Shanghai42261662%106.1103.3+2.9
8 Qingdao42251760%102.199.0+3.1
9 Beijing Royal Fighters42241857%106.3103.5+2.8
10 Beijing42212150%100.6100.5+0.1
11 Shanxi Zhongyu42212150%110.1112.0-1.9
12 Guangzhou42202248%101.699.4+2.2
13 Nanjing Tongxi42202248%103.2105.0-1.8
14 Tianjin42192345%106.6108.6-2.1
15 Shandong42162638%102.7104.9-2.2
16 Fujian42162638%103.8106.5-2.7
17 Jilin42152736%103.7107.7-4.0
18 Ningbo Rockets4263614%93.6107.3-13.7
19 Jiangsu Dragons4253712%92.7104.2-11.5
20 Sichuan4243810%97.5112.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jilin35222122100
Guangzhou34292626115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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