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Guangzhou vs Liaoning Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 76-93
24-20 21-33 16-17 15-23
Position#9
Record11-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game99.5
vs
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game91.2
ChinaCBARound 22· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Liaoning
02 Apr 2027
GUAN v LIAO
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
GUAN93
LIAO77
26 Dec 2024
GUAN97
LIAO98
18 Oct 2024
GUAN88
LIAO120
26 Dec 2023
GUAN76
LIAO93
03 Apr 2023
GUAN87
LIAO69
17 Oct 2021
GUAN89
LIAO107
16 Jan 2021
GUAN91
LIAO99
02 Dec 2020
GUAN96
LIAO102
07 Dec 2019
GUAN115
LIAO123
25 Jan 2019
GUAN91
LIAO101
23 Nov 2018
GUAN101
LIAO117
09 Feb 2018
GUAN120
LIAO114
04 Nov 2016
GUAN95
LIAO101
27 Dec 2015
GUAN102
LIAO117
02 Nov 2014
GUAN103
LIAO110
17 Nov 2013
GUAN114
LIAO105
28 Dec 2012
GUAN103
LIAO124
02 Dec 2011
GUAN111
LIAO108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
L
108-115
108
115
-7
103avg 97
H03/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
99-80
99
80
+19
107avg 97
H06/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
98-100
98
100
-2
87avg 97
H08/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
105-94
105
94
+11
100avg 97
A11/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
99-106
99
106
-7
78avg 97
A13/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
93-106
93
106
-13
87avg 97
H15/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
115-112
115
112
+3
106avg 97
A17/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
83avg 97
A19/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
98-110
98
110
-12
94avg 97
A22/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
129-122
129
122
+7
129avg 97
H24/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
25-28
31-29
23-40
32-13
20-21
26-20
21-26
32-31
20-25
24-22
22-22
26-21
34-30
24-17
21-26
22-25
25-24
19-24
33-33
17-30
26-29
25-32
25-15
25-32
25-25
30-27
35-28
22-27
29-24
13-24
27-20
24-30
23-29
31-23
20-28
28-31
35-31
36-22
30-38
207.5Avg total
103.5Scored
104.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)102.399.5201.8+2.852%
Season at home (11)104.898.7203.5+6.155%
Season away (10)99.5100.4199.9-0.950%
Last 10 (10)103.5104.0207.5-0.540%
Last 5 (5)105.2109.0214.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)95.899.2195.0-3.333%
vs Similar (12)96.898.9195.8-2.133%
vs Weaker (12)106.694.8201.4+11.892%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Shandong
#15
W
111-108
111
108
+3
104avg 96
A03/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
74-100
74
100
-26
69avg 96
A06/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
85-75
85
75
+10
78avg 96
H08/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
113-89
113
89
+24
113avg 96
H10/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
86-99
86
99
-13
74avg 96
H12/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 96
A15/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
111-107 OT
111
107
+4
no box
A18/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
100-79
100
79
+21
89avg 96
H20/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
100-92
100
92
+8
99avg 96
A22/12
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
116-88
116
88
+28
83avg 96
A24/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-28
29-35
22-23
27-22
21-26
13-26
13-21
27-27
23-16
25-21
15-26
22-12
27-22
34-29
19-22
33-16
27-29
27-28
21-25
11-17
27-15
19-24
17-24
23-16
27-27
27-25
20-21
25-26
22-23
29-22
26-12
23-22
28-25
27-24
20-20
25-23
36-21
18-21
31-23
31-23
189.8Avg total
98.2Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)103.591.2194.7+12.390%
Season at home (10)102.986.0188.9+16.990%
Season away (10)104.196.3200.4+7.890%
Last 10 (10)98.291.6189.8+6.680%
Last 5 (5)102.689.0191.6+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)104.386.3190.7+18.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)101.490.0191.3+11.483%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
GuangzhouLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H03/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H06/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H08/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A11/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A13/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H15/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A17/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A19/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A22/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H24/12
CBA
104.3Avg total
51.9Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.649.0100.6+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.047.6100.6+5.460%-
Last 30 away (15)50.150.4100.5-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)51.952.4104.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)50.857.6108.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)48.349.297.5-0.833%-
vs Similar (12)52.449.4101.8+3.050%-
vs Weaker (12)52.348.5100.8+3.858%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#15
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A03/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A06/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H08/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H10/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H12/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A15/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A18/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H20/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A22/12
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A24/12
CBA
100.6Avg total
51.9Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.747.5100.2+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.146.599.5+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)52.348.6100.9+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)51.948.7100.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)52.045.497.4+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)53.345.598.8+7.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)52.548.0100.6+4.567%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 101.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.027.7
54.3%
52.7%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.3
36.3%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.217.9
80.6%
76.0%17.9
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 98.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.224.3
49.4%
52.7%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.5
32.1%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.418.3
75.0%
76.0%18.3
They take 81.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WLLWLLWLWL
Liaoning
WWWWWLWWLW
#9
League position
#1
-1.5
Net rating
+7.4
113.9
Offensive rating
110.5
115.4
Defensive rating
103.1
54.4%
Effective FG%
48.9%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.0%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.3%
3-point %
32.1%
50.3%
Assist %
50.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 110.5Defence115.4 · 103.1Shooting54.4% · 48.9%3-point %36.3% · 32.1%Ball care15.6% · 15.0%Off. rebounds35.4% · 36.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Guangzhou wins
8
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
03/04/23Guangzhou v Liaoning87-69
18/10/22Liaoning v Guangzhou107-90
18/01/22Liaoning v Guangzhou110-98
17/10/21Guangzhou v Liaoning89-107
16/01/21Guangzhou v Liaoning91-99
16/12/20Liaoning v Guangzhou95-93
02/12/20Guangzhou v Liaoning96-102
09/11/20Liaoning v Guangzhou117-82
23/06/20Liaoning v Guangzhou102-106
07/12/19Guangzhou v Liaoning115-123
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HJilin129-122
22/12/23AXinjiang98-110
19/12/23ABeijing91-95
17/12/23ANanjing Tongxi115-112
15/12/23HTianjin93-106
13/12/23AShanghai99-106
11/12/23AShanxi Zhongyu105-94
08/12/23HShanghai98-100
06/12/23HNingbo Rockets99-80
03/12/23HShenzhen108-115
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23ASichuan116-88
22/12/23AQingdao100-92
20/12/23HShanxi Zhongyu100-79
18/12/23AShanghai111-107 OT
15/12/23ANanjing Tongxi86-79
12/12/23HZhejiang Guangsha86-99
10/12/23HBeijing Royal Fighters113-89
08/12/23HNingbo Rockets85-75
06/12/23AZhejiang Guangsha74-100
03/12/23AShandong111-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeLWLLW55%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game102.3104.899.5
Allowed / game99.598.7100.4
Point differential+2.8+6.1-0.9
Avg total201.8203.5199.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayLWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%90%90%
Points / game103.5102.9104.1
Allowed / game91.286.096.3
Point differential+12.3+16.9+7.8
Avg total194.7188.9200.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning2018290%103.591.2+12.3
2 Zhejiang Chouzhou2118386%108.696.3+12.3
3 Xinjiang2118386%104.195.1+9.0
4 Zhejiang Guangsha2116576%105.596.4+9.0
5 Guangdong2116576%109.7103.7+6.0
6 Shenzhen2113862%103.9100.4+3.5
7 Qingdao2112957%101.2100.2+1.0
8 Guangzhou21111052%102.399.5+2.8
9 Beijing21111052%102.2101.2+1.0
10 Shanxi Zhongyu20101050%109.7111.3-1.6
11 Beijing Royal Fighters21101148%105.0104.1+0.8
12 Shanghai21101148%104.2104.7-0.4
13 Tianjin2191243%102.0106.9-4.9
14 Shandong2181338%101.1103.0-1.9
15 Nanjing Tongxi2171433%100.0104.8-4.8
16 Fujian2171433%104.4110.0-5.5
17 Jilin2161529%101.1106.2-5.1
18 Ningbo Rockets2141719%93.7103.1-9.4
19 Jiangsu Dragons1931616%94.0103.1-9.1
20 Sichuan211205%99.0114.4-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2421161576
Liaoning2033172393
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