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Guangzhou vs Liaoning Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 88-120
21-26 29-27 23-30 15-37
Position#16
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game109.0
Guangzhou
China
vs
Liaoning 🏆
China
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.5
Allowed / game94.0
ChinaCBARound 3· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Liaoning
02 Apr 2027
GUAN v LIAO
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
GUAN93
LIAO77
26 Dec 2024
GUAN97
LIAO98
18 Oct 2024
GUAN88
LIAO120
26 Dec 2023
GUAN76
LIAO93
03 Apr 2023
GUAN87
LIAO69
17 Oct 2021
GUAN89
LIAO107
16 Jan 2021
GUAN91
LIAO99
02 Dec 2020
GUAN96
LIAO102
07 Dec 2019
GUAN115
LIAO123
25 Jan 2019
GUAN91
LIAO101
23 Nov 2018
GUAN101
LIAO117
09 Feb 2018
GUAN120
LIAO114
04 Nov 2016
GUAN95
LIAO101
27 Dec 2015
GUAN102
LIAO117
02 Nov 2014
GUAN103
LIAO110
17 Nov 2013
GUAN114
LIAO105
28 Dec 2012
GUAN103
LIAO124
02 Dec 2011
GUAN111
LIAO108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#4
L
97-124
97
124
-27
82avg 94
A31/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
103-88
103
88
+15
102avg 94
H02/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
109-87
109
87
+22
106avg 94
H06/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
101-96
101
96
+5
92avg 94
A11/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
92-78
92
78
+14
79avg 94
H14/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
91-108
91
108
-17
73avg 94
A19/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
86-113
86
113
-27
67avg 94
A21/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
105-83
105
83
+22
93avg 94
H24/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
71-93
71
93
-22
54avg 94
H26/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
80-109
80
109
-29
59avg 94
A14/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
22-30
29-33
17-32
22-27
27-32
37-10
17-19
29-23
27-20
33-22
20-22
25-26
20-22
25-24
31-24
18-17
25-28
30-19
19-14
25-23
23-30
23-23
20-32
21-26
22-31
24-34
19-22
25-20
33-20
27-26
20-17
18-18
22-23
15-31
16-21
16-26
23-26
15-33
26-24
191.4Avg total
93.5Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.0109.0189.0-29.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.0109.0189.0-29.00%
Last 10 (10)93.597.9191.4-4.450%
Last 5 (5)86.6101.2187.8-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)95.9103.0198.9-7.138%
vs Similar (12)102.3101.3203.7+1.058%
vs Weaker (10)104.992.1197.0+12.880%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#4
L
94-110
94
110
-16
84avg 99
H03/05
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
82-98
82
98
-16
51avg 99
A06/05
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
107-90
107
90
+17
100avg 99
A08/05
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
116-95
116
95
+21
111avg 99
H11/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
121-112
121
112
+9
117avg 99
H15/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 99
H17/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
98-91
98
91
+7
87avg 99
A20/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
104-95
104
95
+9
108avg 99
A22/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
123-112
123
112
+11
115avg 99
H12/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
116-76
116
76
+40
123avg 99
H16/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
17-24
23-30
28-28
17-25
24-19
19-26
22-28
27-22
25-21
30-21
25-26
29-16
29-27
22-26
36-26
34-18
25-28
31-32
31-34
32-31
25-15
20-21
20-19
29-20
31-27
17-18
21-26
25-21
28-26
31-25
20-23
31-33
21-28
42-21
29-30
41-21
35-20
22-21
18-14
202.3Avg total
105.8Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)119.594.0213.5+25.5100%
Season at home (2)119.594.0213.5+25.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)105.896.5202.3+9.380%
Last 5 (5)107.692.0199.6+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)101.598.9200.5+2.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)110.892.1202.9+18.794%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
GuangzhouLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#4
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A31/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H02/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H06/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A11/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H14/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A19/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A21/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H24/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A14/10
CBA
96.9Avg total
47.2Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.951.1102.0-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.249.4102.6+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)48.752.8101.5-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)47.249.796.9-2.520%-
Last 5 (5)45.648.694.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)51.251.0102.2+0.250%-
vs Similar (12)49.253.2102.4-4.117%-
vs Weaker (10)52.848.6101.4+4.270%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H03/05
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A06/05
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/05
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H11/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H15/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H17/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A20/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A22/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H12/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
76-41
76
41
+35
H16/10
CBA
102.1Avg total
55.1Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.148.9104.0+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.649.6107.2+8.171%-
Last 30 away (13)51.848.099.8+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)55.147.0102.1+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)59.648.4108.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)50.850.0100.8+0.854%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)58.448.1106.5+10.482%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.924.3
49.7%
52.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.6
30.2%
35.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.215.0
74.3%
76.3%15.0
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 104.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.827.7
52.5%
52.6%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.7
38.1%
35.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.417.2
70.5%
76.3%17.2
They take 80.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLWLLWWWWL
Liaoning
WWWWWWWWLL
#16
League position
#4
-8.2
Net rating
+10.4
98.7
Offensive rating
112.3
106.9
Defensive rating
101.9
48.1%
Effective FG%
54.1%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.2%
3-point %
38.1%
51.7%
Assist %
58.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 112.3Defence106.9 · 101.9Shooting48.1% · 54.1%3-point %30.2% · 38.1%Ball care14.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds26.9% · 33.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guangzhou wins
9
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Liaoning v Guangzhou109-103
26/12/23Guangzhou v Liaoning76-93
03/04/23Guangzhou v Liaoning87-69
18/10/22Liaoning v Guangzhou107-90
18/01/22Liaoning v Guangzhou110-98
17/10/21Guangzhou v Liaoning89-107
16/01/21Guangzhou v Liaoning91-99
16/12/20Liaoning v Guangzhou95-93
02/12/20Guangzhou v Liaoning96-102
09/11/20Liaoning v Guangzhou117-82
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/24AQingdao80-109
26/04/24HXinjiang71-93
24/04/24HXinjiang105-83
21/04/24AXinjiang86-113
19/04/24AXinjiang91-108
14/04/24HQingdao92-78
11/04/24AQingdao101-96
06/04/24HNanjing Tongxi109-87
02/04/24HFujian103-88
31/03/24AGuangdong97-124
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/24HFujian116-76
12/10/24HZhejiang Chouzhou123-112
22/05/24AXinjiang104-95
20/05/24AXinjiang98-91
17/05/24HXinjiang97-86
15/05/24HXinjiang121-112
11/05/24HGuangdong116-95
08/05/24AGuangdong107-90
06/05/24AGuangdong82-98
03/05/24HGuangdong94-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game109.0-109.0
Point differential-29.0--29.0
Avg total189.0-189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Liaoning
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game119.5119.5-
Allowed / game94.094.0-
Point differential+25.5+25.5-
Avg total213.5213.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning220100%119.594.0+25.5
2 Qingdao220100%105.088.5+16.5
3 Shanxi Zhongyu220100%109.095.0+14.0
4 Beijing330100%102.791.0+11.7
5 Tianjin110100%115.0104.0+11.0
6 Xinjiang330100%118.7108.7+10.0
7 Zhejiang Guangsha330100%110.3103.3+7.0
8 Beijing Royal Fighters32167%106.799.0+7.7
9 Nanjing Tongxi32167%114.0107.0+7.0
10 Zhejiang Chouzhou21150%116.5118.0-1.5
11 Shandong31233%104.3107.0-2.7
12 Ningbo Rockets31233%105.3112.0-6.7
13 Shanghai2020%102.0105.5-3.5
14 Jilin2020%106.0110.5-4.5
15 Guangdong2020%102.0112.5-10.5
16 Shenzhen2020%104.0117.0-13.0
17 Sichuan3030%98.7112.0-13.3
18 Jiangsu Dragons2020%91.0110.5-19.5
19 Fujian2020%90.0115.5-25.5
20 Guangzhou1010%80.0109.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2129231588
Liaoning26273037120
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