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Guangzhou vs Liaoning Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 02 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game89.7
ChinaCBARound 45· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangzhou v Liaoning
02 Apr 2027
GUAN v LIAO
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
GUAN93
LIAO77
26 Dec 2024
GUAN97
LIAO98
18 Oct 2024
GUAN88
LIAO120
26 Dec 2023
GUAN76
LIAO93
03 Apr 2023
GUAN87
LIAO69
17 Oct 2021
GUAN89
LIAO107
16 Jan 2021
GUAN91
LIAO99
02 Dec 2020
GUAN96
LIAO102
07 Dec 2019
GUAN115
LIAO123
25 Jan 2019
GUAN91
LIAO101
23 Nov 2018
GUAN101
LIAO117
09 Feb 2018
GUAN120
LIAO114
04 Nov 2016
GUAN95
LIAO101
27 Dec 2015
GUAN102
LIAO117
02 Nov 2014
GUAN103
LIAO110
17 Nov 2013
GUAN114
LIAO105
28 Dec 2012
GUAN103
LIAO124
02 Dec 2011
GUAN111
LIAO108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Guangzhou
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.4
91.4▲ 3.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 90.4
100.6▲ 10.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
54%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.1
17.8▲ 0.7
🔥 Form · Liaoning
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 92.3
98.0▲ 5.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.9
90.8▲ 1.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
59%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.7
23.8▲ 2.1
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
114-81
114
81
+33
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
H30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-35
22-22
29-16
20-26
20-25
22-12
23-20
28-19
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
180.2Avg total
87.0Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.297.0188.2-5.850%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (3)91.0100.0191.0-9.033%
Last 10 (10)87.093.2180.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)91.4100.6192.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)84.993.4178.2-8.518%
vs Similar (10)93.889.0182.8+4.860%
vs Weaker (3)89.374.3163.7+15.0100%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
108-89
108
89
+19
A24/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A28/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
86-102
86
102
-16
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
95-84
95
84
+11
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#17
W
104-93
104
93
+11
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
107-91
107
91
+16
A30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
24-18
31-25
27-19
24-17
25-18
14-19
14-13
21-29
28-29
13-20
24-24
22-28
22-27
6-26
32-17
27-13
26-31
21-23
21-17
27-21
25-27
29-29
16-16
30-23
29-29
25-22
20-19
30-25
25-25
22-22
21-15
27-20
15-32
23-19
19-19
26-22
31-21
31-22
19-26
183.2Avg total
93.8Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.589.7187.2+7.883%
Season at home (2)101.090.0191.0+11.0100%
Season away (4)95.889.5185.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)93.889.4183.2+4.470%
Last 5 (5)98.090.8188.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.591.0168.5-13.50%
vs Similar (13)90.287.4177.6+2.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)97.686.9184.5+10.785%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
GuangzhouLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
89.5Avg total
41.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.945.889.7-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.944.587.4-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)44.947.392.2-2.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.947.689.5-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.649.292.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.748.491.1-5.735%-
vs Similar (10)46.844.190.9+2.770%-
vs Weaker (3)40.736.777.3+4.0100%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A24/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A28/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#17
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A30/10
CBA
99.2Avg total
51.0Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.845.693.4+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.944.593.4+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)46.846.593.3+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)51.048.299.2+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)53.049.0102.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.045.588.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (13)47.545.292.6+2.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)49.646.095.6+3.669%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.7
55.4%
53.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
34.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
74.8%15.0
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLLWWLLWL
Liaoning
WLWWWWLLWW
#12
League position
#3
-11.7
Net rating
-0.1
90.5
Offensive rating
101.5
102.2
Defensive rating
101.6
47.4%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.2%
3-point %
33.8%
60.4%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 101.5Defence102.2 · 101.6Shooting47.4% · 53.6%3-point %33.2% · 33.8%Ball care14.7% · 13.4%Free throws0.43 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Guangzhou wins
8
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
28/03/26Guangzhou v Liaoning93-77
18/03/26Liaoning v Guangzhou97-86
21/03/25Liaoning v Guangzhou135-108
26/12/24Guangzhou v Liaoning97-98
03/11/24Liaoning v Guangzhou97-86
18/10/24Guangzhou v Liaoning88-120
09/03/24Liaoning v Guangzhou109-103
26/12/23Guangzhou v Liaoning76-93
03/04/23Guangzhou v Liaoning87-69
18/10/22Liaoning v Guangzhou107-90
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
28/04/26AGuangdong93-76
24/04/26HShenzhen86-99
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ANingbo Rockets107-91
27/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha84-90
25/10/26HXinjiang98-87
23/10/26HSichuan104-93
21/10/26AQingdao97-93
18/10/26AShandong95-84
03/05/26AShandong82-98
01/05/26HShandong86-102
28/04/26AShandong77-67
24/04/26AJiangsu Dragons108-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game91.291.391.0
Allowed / game97.094.0100.0
Point differential-5.8-2.7-9.0
Avg total188.2185.3191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game97.5101.095.8
Allowed / game89.790.089.5
Point differential+7.8+11.0+6.2
Avg total187.2191.0185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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