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Guangzhou vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 86-99
15-35 22-22 29-16 20-26
Position#13
Record18-23
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Position#3
Record29-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game99.3
Allowed / game94.4
ChinaCBA· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangzhou v Shenzhen
10 Mar 2027
GUAN v SHEN
upcoming
24 Apr 2026
GUAN86
SHEN99
08 Mar 2025
GUAN86
SHEN104
05 Feb 2024
GUAN109
SHEN96
03 Dec 2023
GUAN108
SHEN115
01 Jan 2023
GUAN109
SHEN105
21 Mar 2022
GUAN104
SHEN119
20 Dec 2020
GUAN96
SHEN98
21 Jan 2020
GUAN97
SHEN120
20 Nov 2019
GUAN116
SHEN88
25 Dec 2018
GUAN113
SHEN121
14 Dec 2018
GUAN98
SHEN104
06 Mar 2018
GUAN112
SHEN116
22 Dec 2017
GUAN117
SHEN128
23 Dec 2016
GUAN105
SHEN103
20 Dec 2015
GUAN118
SHEN126
11 Nov 2014
GUAN94
SHEN113
30 Dec 2013
GUAN93
SHEN108
12 Dec 2012
GUAN86
SHEN97
15 Jan 2012
GUAN109
SHEN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A30/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
88-89
88
89
-1
A01/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A03/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H06/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
94-103
94
103
-9
H08/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
95-81
95
81
+14
A11/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H13/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H15/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A18/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
101-94
101
94
+7
H20/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-22
17-22
11-21
28-28
23-22
22-19
15-20
22-32
27-16
18-22
22-27
21-22
21-32
21-18
18-16
14-25
33-34
18-24
29-20
24-23
17-17
25-26
29-15
19-23
20-15
24-12
17-17
22-21
23-25
26-23
18-21
20-9
22-23
26-13
25-30
18-23
25-20
30-29
28-22
175.1Avg total
88.0Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)87.788.3175.9-0.644%
Season at home (20)89.887.8177.6+2.150%
Season away (21)85.688.8174.3-3.238%
Last 10 (10)88.087.1175.1+0.940%
Last 5 (5)91.681.4173.0+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)83.693.0176.6-9.48%
vs Similar (12)91.787.9179.6+3.850%
vs Weaker (5)97.280.2177.4+17.0100%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#15
W
111-86
111
86
+25
A29/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
109-94
109
94
+15
H02/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
104-103
104
103
+1
A04/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
102-97
102
97
+5
A06/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
103-98
103
98
+5
A09/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H11/04
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
126-113
126
113
+13
A13/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
104-96
104
96
+8
A15/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
106-96
106
96
+10
H17/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
95-103
95
103
-8
H19/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-15
24-28
31-24
22-19
35-22
40-25
22-28
12-19
28-28
28-26
28-22
20-27
21-22
28-24
26-26
27-25
28-27
25-22
28-24
22-25
25-10
28-25
18-22
22-31
32-28
22-33
34-26
38-26
33-39
25-13
21-22
25-22
27-23
23-24
35-25
21-24
24-28
37-30
19-26
15-19
202.7Avg total
105.3Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)99.394.4193.7+5.071%
Season at home (21)100.891.5192.3+9.376%
Season away (20)97.897.3195.1+0.465%
Last 10 (10)105.397.4202.7+7.990%
Last 5 (5)104.899.2204.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)99.599.0198.5+0.550%
vs Similar (11)100.597.8198.3+2.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)104.993.6198.5+11.388%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
GuangzhouShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A01/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A03/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H06/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H08/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H13/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H15/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H20/04
CBA
89.5Avg total
44.1Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.244.589.7+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.943.690.5+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)43.145.688.8-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)44.145.489.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.881.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.848.292.0-4.323%-
vs Similar (12)45.843.689.3+2.275%-
vs Weaker (5)47.237.484.6+9.8100%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A29/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
75-47
75
47
+28
H02/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A04/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A06/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A09/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H11/04
CBA
Sichuan
#20
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A13/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A15/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H19/04
CBA
105.9Avg total
56.7Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.247.0101.1+7.287%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.744.6101.3+12.193%-
Last 30 away (15)51.649.3100.9+2.380%-
Last 10 (10)56.749.2105.9+7.590%-
Last 5 (5)55.250.6105.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.551.5104.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (11)53.847.0100.8+6.891%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)54.646.4101.0+8.288%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.7
55.9%
54.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.9
34.5%
35.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.517.1
79.5%
73.6%17.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.527.8
58.5%
54.6%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.4
37.1%
35.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
73.6%18.5
They take 75.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WWLWWLLLLL
Shenzhen
LWWWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#3
+0.1
Net rating
+8.2
98.0
Offensive rating
108.9
97.9
Defensive rating
100.8
54.3%
Effective FG%
57.5%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
11.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.5%
3-point %
37.1%
58.5%
Assist %
59.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 108.9Defence97.9 · 100.8Shooting54.3% · 57.5%3-point %34.5% · 37.1%Ball care15.0% · 11.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Guangzhou wins
4
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
16/03/26Shenzhen v Guangzhou97-96
08/03/25Guangzhou v Shenzhen86-104
29/10/24Shenzhen v Guangzhou101-108
24/03/24Shenzhen v Guangzhou106-115
05/02/24Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-96
03/12/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen108-115
04/11/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou105-108
17/01/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou89-114
01/01/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-105
21/03/22Guangzhou v Shenzhen104-119
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/26HFujian101-94
18/04/26AJilin93-75
15/04/26HShanghai89-90
13/04/26HJiangsu Dragons80-67
11/04/26ANanjing Tongxi95-81
08/04/26HBeijing94-103
06/04/26HZhejiang Guangsha81-88
03/04/26ABeijing89-97
01/04/26ABeijing Royal Fighters88-89
30/03/26AZhejiang Chouzhou70-87
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26HShandong95-103
17/04/26HNingbo Rockets106-96
15/04/26AXinjiang104-96
13/04/26ASichuan126-113
11/04/26HJiangsu Dragons93-88
09/04/26AShanxi Zhongyu103-98
06/04/26AXinjiang102-97
04/04/26ABeijing Royal Fighters104-103
02/04/26HZhejiang Guangsha109-94
29/03/26AJilin111-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW44%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game87.789.885.6
Allowed / game88.387.888.8
Point differential-0.6+2.1-3.2
Avg total175.9177.6174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)33% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Shenzhen
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWWL76%
AwayWWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %71%76%65%
Points / game99.3100.897.8
Allowed / game94.491.597.3
Point differential+5.0+9.3+0.4
Avg total193.7192.3195.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%52%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)60% (5)78% (9)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai4137490%100.383.4+16.9
2 Zhejiang Guangsha4132978%91.482.1+9.3
3 Shenzhen41291271%99.394.4+5.0
4 Beijing41281368%90.283.1+7.1
5 Guangdong41271466%94.589.1+5.3
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou41261563%87.281.6+5.6
7 Shandong41241759%93.389.9+3.4
8 Qingdao41241759%88.184.9+3.2
9 Liaoning41221954%85.784.4+1.3
10 Shanxi Zhongyu41212051%92.290.3+2.0
11 Ningbo Rockets41202149%85.784.5+1.1
12 Guangzhou41182344%87.788.3-0.6
13 Beijing Royal Fighters41182344%89.393.3-4.0
14 Fujian41162539%92.094.4-2.4
15 Jilin41152637%82.590.0-7.4
16 Xinjiang41142734%86.587.7-1.2
17 Nanjing Tongxi41142734%90.495.4-5.0
18 Tianjin41132832%93.396.8-3.4
19 Jiangsu Dragons41122929%81.790.4-8.6
20 Sichuan410410%72.7100.2-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou1522292086
Shenzhen3522162699
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