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Guangzhou vs Qingdao Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game90.3
ChinaCBARound 12· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangzhou v Qingdao
11 Dec 2026
GUAN v QING
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
GUAN88
QING90
05 Jan 2025
GUAN90
QING103
14 Dec 2024
GUAN103
QING113
14 Apr 2024
GUAN92
QING78
25 Jan 2024
GUAN108
QING98
13 Nov 2023
GUAN96
QING101
20 Dec 2022
GUAN88
QING89
12 Oct 2022
GUAN59
QING80
06 Jan 2022
GUAN108
QING97
26 Jan 2021
GUAN111
QING116
20 Oct 2020
GUAN88
QING112
17 Jan 2020
GUAN116
QING113
01 Mar 2019
GUAN119
QING109
29 Dec 2018
GUAN111
QING102
21 Jan 2018
GUAN121
QING113
13 Jan 2017
GUAN85
QING94
08 Dec 2015
GUAN111
QING116
13 Jan 2015
GUAN115
QING125
15 Dec 2013
GUAN99
QING109
06 Jan 2013
GUAN129
QING110
15 Feb 2012
GUAN107
QING101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Qingdao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Guangzhou
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.5
91.4▲ 3.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 89.2
100.6▲ 11.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
54%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.0
17.8▼ 0.2
🔥 Form · Qingdao
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.4
90.8▲ 2.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.9
92.0▲ 6.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
58%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.1
17.6▼ 0.5
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
114-81
114
81
+33
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
H30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-35
22-22
29-16
20-26
20-25
22-12
23-20
28-19
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
180.2Avg total
87.0Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.297.0188.2-5.850%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (3)91.0100.0191.0-9.033%
Last 10 (10)87.093.2180.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)91.4100.6192.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)84.993.4178.2-8.518%
vs Similar (10)93.889.0182.8+4.860%
vs Weaker (3)89.374.3163.7+15.0100%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H19/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H24/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
H29/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
94-97
94
97
-3
A02/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A17/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-97
93
97
-4
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H25/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H27/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
86-105
86
105
-19
H29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
29-21
19-26
22-26
29-26
22-18
27-12
16-28
23-20
15-25
12-23
27-9
13-25
20-26
30-21
31-25
24-29
23-21
24-19
9-13
21-27
27-25
29-29
16-16
21-29
22-19
25-13
12-27
32-18
28-21
25-19
16-22
17-22
39-12
21-28
17-28
18-26
31-25
17-27
20-27
180.6Avg total
89.8Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.090.3179.3-1.333%
Season at home (4)93.593.0186.5+0.550%
Season away (2)80.085.0165.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)89.890.8180.6-1.030%
Last 5 (5)90.892.0182.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.893.5178.2-8.80%
vs Similar (13)88.991.8180.7-2.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.084.5178.5+9.577%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.5-3.5
GuangzhouQingdao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
89.5Avg total
41.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.945.889.7-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.944.587.4-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)44.947.392.2-2.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.947.689.5-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.649.292.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.748.491.1-5.735%-
vs Similar (10)46.844.190.9+2.770%-
vs Weaker (3)40.736.777.3+4.0100%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H19/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H24/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A17/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H25/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H27/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H29/10
CBA
93.1Avg total
47.4Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.445.293.6+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.343.894.1+6.662%-
Last 30 away (14)46.346.993.1-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)47.445.793.1+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)51.244.896.0+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)47.248.896.0-1.525%-
vs Similar (13)46.546.893.4-0.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.742.593.2+8.269%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.7
55.1%
53.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.6
32.5%
34.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
74.8%19.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLLWWLLWL
Qingdao
LWWLLLLLWL
#12
League position
#14
-11.7
Net rating
-1.1
90.5
Offensive rating
99.7
102.2
Defensive rating
100.8
47.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.7%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.2%
3-point %
32.5%
60.4%
Assist %
57.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 99.7Defence102.2 · 100.8Shooting47.4% · 51.8%3-point %33.2% · 32.5%Ball care14.7% · 11.6%Free throws0.43 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Qingdao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Guangzhou wins
6
Qingdao wins
DateGameScore
26/03/26Guangzhou v Qingdao88-90
03/02/26Qingdao v Guangzhou88-81
25/01/26Qingdao v Guangzhou78-80
05/03/25Qingdao v Guangzhou126-80
05/01/25Guangzhou v Qingdao90-103
14/12/24Guangzhou v Qingdao103-113
14/10/24Qingdao v Guangzhou109-80
14/04/24Guangzhou v Qingdao92-78
11/04/24Qingdao v Guangzhou96-101
21/03/24Qingdao v Guangzhou99-102
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
28/04/26AGuangdong93-76
24/04/26HShenzhen86-99
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HBeijing86-105
27/10/26HTianjin94-90
25/10/26HNanjing Tongxi101-80
23/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou80-88
21/10/26HLiaoning93-97
17/10/26AXinjiang80-82
02/05/26AShanxi Zhongyu94-97
29/04/26HShanxi Zhongyu86-90 OT
24/04/26HXinjiang94-84
19/04/26HBeijing90-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game91.291.391.0
Allowed / game97.094.0100.0
Point differential-5.8-2.7-9.0
Avg total188.2185.3191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Qingdao
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game89.093.580.0
Allowed / game90.393.085.0
Point differential-1.3+0.5-5.0
Avg total179.3186.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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