PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Guangzhou vs Shandong Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 93-85
21-14 25-25 20-20 27-26
Position#13
Record10-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game88.1
vs
Position#8
Record15-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game87.3
ChinaCBA· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangzhou v Shandong
20 Jan 2027
GUAN v SHAN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
GUAN93
SHAN85
13 Jan 2025
GUAN89
SHAN121
23 Oct 2023
GUAN114
SHAN81
11 Apr 2023
GUAN89
SHAN80
12 Dec 2022
GUAN81
SHAN86
22 Jan 2022
GUAN116
SHAN106
31 Dec 2020
GUAN115
SHAN117
11 Dec 2020
GUAN94
SHAN111
14 Jan 2020
GUAN95
SHAN98
18 Nov 2018
GUAN94
SHAN80
18 Jan 2018
GUAN126
SHAN123
25 Nov 2016
GUAN81
SHAN83
25 Dec 2015
GUAN114
SHAN124
11 Jan 2015
GUAN118
SHAN112
24 Nov 2013
GUAN80
SHAN88
04 Jan 2013
GUAN87
SHAN106
19 Nov 2011
GUAN79
SHAN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shandong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#18
L
93-98
93
98
-5
94avg 81
H12/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
70avg 81
A14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
82-109
82
109
-27
70avg 81
A17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
104-75
104
75
+29
96avg 81
H19/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
112-102 OT
112
102
+10
no box
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 81
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
61avg 81
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
85-92
85
92
-7
81avg 81
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
77avg 81
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
81avg 81
A03/02
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
25-22
22-26
26-28
15-23
21-21
26-26
12-19
19-22
21-35
24-30
18-22
30-28
26-15
29-19
19-13
21-16
31-24
24-26
18-28
19-16
20-23
22-24
19-15
27-13
18-34
24-25
9-23
12-30
29-22
22-21
22-19
14-21
28-14
21-21
17-27
24-21
20-21
15-24
22-22
177.8Avg total
86.9Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.288.1174.3-2.045%
Season at home (9)90.186.8176.9+3.356%
Season away (13)83.589.1172.5-5.638%
Last 10 (10)86.990.9177.8-4.030%
Last 5 (5)80.887.2168.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.799.4181.1-17.69%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.989.7181.6+2.157%
vs Weaker (5)95.880.8176.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Jilin
#15
W
108-85
108
85
+23
112avg 90
H13/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
109-82
109
82
+27
112avg 90
H15/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
no box
A17/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
77-68
77
68
+9
65avg 90
A19/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
78avg 90
A23/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
93-87
93
87
+6
96avg 90
H25/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
99-75
99
75
+24
91avg 90
H27/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 90
A29/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
83-80
83
80
+3
73avg 90
H31/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
96-101
96
101
-5
87avg 90
A02/02
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
27-28
24-14
26-28
31-23
25-20
29-27
24-12
24-26
23-26
27-14
16-24
15-16
15-21
28-12
19-19
19-16
20-14
27-30
18-19
26-18
30-14
18-28
19-27
14-26
33-15
20-16
32-18
25-18
10-28
16-18
26-22
21-14
14-28
21-21
27-17
14-26
22-32
29-18
31-25
177.6Avg total
92.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)93.487.3180.6+6.168%
Season at home (11)95.783.5179.2+12.391%
Season away (11)91.091.1182.1-0.145%
Last 10 (10)92.784.9177.6+7.870%
Last 5 (5)89.685.8175.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.786.0171.7-0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (12)93.289.0182.2+4.250%
vs Weaker (15)98.588.3186.8+10.380%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
GuangzhouShandong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#18
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H19/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H29/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A31/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A03/02
CBA
88.3Avg total
44.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.946.991.9-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.047.595.5+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)42.646.589.1-3.935%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.388.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.085.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.552.094.5-9.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.945.191.0+0.764%-
vs Weaker (5)47.640.888.4+6.860%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H13/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H15/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A17/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A19/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A23/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H25/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H27/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A29/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H31/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A02/02
CBA
86.3Avg total
43.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.644.391.9+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.741.893.5+9.980%-
Last 30 away (15)43.546.890.3-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)43.942.486.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.885.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.338.382.7+6.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)47.646.794.2+0.958%-
vs Weaker (15)48.343.691.9+4.760%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.0
51.2%
54.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.9
38.4%
35.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.815.6
75.0%
73.6%15.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.3
53.9%
54.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.5
33.6%
35.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.218.4
82.9%
73.6%18.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLLLWWWLLL
Shandong
LWLWWWWLWW
#13
League position
#8
-2.3
Net rating
+10.5
97.8
Offensive rating
100.1
100.1
Defensive rating
89.6
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.4%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.4%
3-point %
33.6%
55.3%
Assist %
71.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 100.1Defence100.1 · 89.6Shooting53.4% · 52.4%3-point %38.4% · 33.6%Ball care14.7% · 13.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Shandong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Guangzhou wins
7
Shandong wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Shandong v Guangzhou83-80
19/03/25Shandong v Guangzhou98-77
13/01/25Guangzhou v Shandong89-121
22/01/24Shandong v Guangzhou112-105
31/12/23Shandong v Guangzhou103-83
23/10/23Guangzhou v Shandong114-81
11/04/23Guangzhou v Shandong89-80
09/04/23Shandong v Guangzhou76-93
26/12/22Shandong v Guangzhou112-109
12/12/22Guangzhou v Shandong81-86
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26AQingdao81-88
31/01/26AShandong80-83
29/01/26HFujian85-92
27/01/26AShanghai78-95
25/01/26AQingdao80-78
23/01/26HNanjing Tongxi112-102 OT
19/01/26HBeijing Royal Fighters104-75
17/01/26AZhejiang Guangsha82-109
14/01/26AZhejiang Chouzhou74-89
12/01/26HTianjin93-98
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/26ATianjin96-101
31/01/26HGuangzhou83-80
29/01/26AZhejiang Guangsha77-86
27/01/26HNingbo Rockets99-75
25/01/26HZhejiang Guangsha93-87
23/01/26ALiaoning84-79
19/01/26AJilin77-68
17/01/26AJiangsu Dragons101-106 OT
15/01/26HNingbo Rockets109-82
13/01/26HJilin108-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL45%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %45%56%38%
Points / game86.290.183.5
Allowed / game88.186.889.1
Point differential-2.0+3.3-5.6
Avg total174.3176.9172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%44%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %9%11%8%
Shandong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%91%45%
Points / game93.495.791.0
Allowed / game87.383.591.1
Point differential+6.1+12.3-0.1
Avg total180.6179.2182.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%64%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai2319483%95.080.2+14.8
2 Zhejiang Guangsha2319483%89.177.9+11.2
3 Guangdong2317674%95.090.7+4.3
4 Shandong2215768%93.487.3+6.1
5 Beijing2314961%89.383.1+6.2
6 Qingdao2314961%84.581.2+3.3
7 Shenzhen2314961%96.094.2+1.7
8 Zhejiang Chouzhou23131057%85.280.5+4.7
9 Shanxi Zhongyu23121152%89.987.0+2.9
10 Ningbo Rockets23121152%87.485.6+1.8
11 Liaoning23111248%82.782.5+0.1
12 Beijing Royal Fighters23111248%86.691.7-5.1
13 Guangzhou22101245%86.288.1-2.0
14 Xinjiang2391439%85.482.4+3.0
15 Jilin2391439%82.587.8-5.3
16 Tianjin2381535%92.194.2-2.1
17 Fujian2381535%90.193.4-3.3
18 Nanjing Tongxi2381535%90.695.3-4.7
19 Jiangsu Dragons2361726%80.089.5-9.5
20 Sichuan230230%70.298.3-28.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2125202793
Shandong1425202685
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.