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Guangzhou vs Shandong Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game95.1
vs
Position#14
Record3-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game94.2
ChinaCBARound 29· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangzhou v Shandong
20 Jan 2027
GUAN v SHAN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
GUAN93
SHAN85
13 Jan 2025
GUAN89
SHAN121
23 Oct 2023
GUAN114
SHAN81
11 Apr 2023
GUAN89
SHAN80
12 Dec 2022
GUAN81
SHAN86
22 Jan 2022
GUAN116
SHAN106
31 Dec 2020
GUAN115
SHAN117
11 Dec 2020
GUAN94
SHAN111
14 Jan 2020
GUAN95
SHAN98
18 Nov 2018
GUAN94
SHAN80
18 Jan 2018
GUAN126
SHAN123
25 Nov 2016
GUAN81
SHAN83
25 Dec 2015
GUAN114
SHAN124
11 Jan 2015
GUAN118
SHAN112
24 Nov 2013
GUAN80
SHAN88
04 Jan 2013
GUAN87
SHAN106
19 Nov 2011
GUAN79
SHAN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shandong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
52avg 79
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
35avg 79
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
114-81
114
81
+33
no box
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
L
86-102
86
102
-16
no box
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
no box
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
no box
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
no box
H30/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
33-21
15-24
28-18
14-16
21-24
24-35
26-18
22-23
181.0Avg total
87.4Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.295.1186.4-3.950%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (5)91.295.8187.0-4.640%
Last 10 (10)87.493.6181.0-6.240%
Last 5 (5)88.099.8187.8-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)85.694.1179.6-8.518%
vs Similar ◀ (9)91.289.2180.4+2.056%
vs Weaker (4)95.576.0171.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 84
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
51avg 84
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
106-97
106
97
+9
no box
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
105-93
105
93
+12
no box
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
92-103
92
103
-11
no box
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
90-102
90
102
-12
no box
A29/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H31/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
20-19
17-17
17-18
12-29
20-29
17-20
19-18
13-27
31-26
23-21
17-21
20-28
13-16
12-26
30-19
22-25
26-23
26-17
32-32
31-25
22-19
20-25
32-24
15-25
22-30
34-26
21-22
26-22
29-29
19-26
16-25
19-27
21-12
20-21
25-16
29-21
25-21
16-26
17-19
181.5Avg total
88.1Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.894.2186.0-2.538%
Season at home (5)92.693.2185.8-0.640%
Season away (3)90.396.0186.3-5.733%
Last 10 (10)88.193.4181.5-5.330%
Last 5 (5)93.894.6188.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)85.697.2182.8-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.488.5175.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (7)104.790.9195.6+13.986%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
GuangzhouShandong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A03/11
CBA
91.9Avg total
43.3Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.046.690.5-2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.987.6-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)45.248.393.5-3.153%-
Last 10 (10)43.348.691.9-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.693.2-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.849.492.2-6.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.945.291.1+0.767%-
vs Weaker (4)44.837.582.2+7.2100%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A29/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H31/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H02/11
CBA
92.4Avg total
44.1Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.649.095.6-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.647.993.5-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)47.850.298.0-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)44.148.392.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.846.294.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.851.995.7-8.118%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.548.394.8-1.842%-
vs Weaker (7)51.145.696.7+5.671%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.9
52.8%
53.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.5
78.6%
74.8%16.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLWLLWWLL
Shandong
LWLLWWLLLL
#9
League position
#14
-11.7
Net rating
-2.8
90.5
Offensive rating
96.8
102.2
Defensive rating
99.6
47.4%
Effective FG%
52.1%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.2%
3-point %
33.9%
60.4%
Assist %
58.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 96.8Defence102.2 · 99.6Shooting47.4% · 52.1%3-point %33.2% · 33.9%Ball care14.7% · 14.8%Free throws0.43 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Shandong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Guangzhou wins
6
Shandong wins
DateGameScore
05/03/26Guangzhou v Shandong93-85
31/01/26Shandong v Guangzhou83-80
19/03/25Shandong v Guangzhou98-77
13/01/25Guangzhou v Shandong89-121
22/01/24Shandong v Guangzhou112-105
31/12/23Shandong v Guangzhou103-83
23/10/23Guangzhou v Shandong114-81
11/04/23Guangzhou v Shandong89-80
09/04/23Shandong v Guangzhou76-93
26/12/22Shandong v Guangzhou112-109
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ALiaoning93-100
01/11/26AJilin90-79
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HBeijing Royal Fighters97-99 OT
31/10/26HGuangdong85-76
29/10/26AFujian90-102
27/10/26HBeijing92-103
25/10/26HTianjin105-93
23/10/26ANanjing Tongxi106-97
21/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou75-89
18/10/26HLiaoning84-95
09/05/26HShanghai68-96
06/05/26AShanghai79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game91.291.391.2
Allowed / game95.194.095.8
Point differential-3.9-2.7-4.6
Avg total186.4185.3187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%33%0%
Shandong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game91.892.690.3
Allowed / game94.293.296.0
Point differential-2.5-0.6-5.7
Avg total186.0185.8186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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