PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ryukyu vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 98-67
38-19 21-17 25-17 14-14
Position#5
Record39-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game77.6
Ryukyu 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#17
Record23-31
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game83.5
JapanB League· Okinawa Arena (Okinawa)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ryukyu v Nagasaki
14 Mar 2027
RYUK v NAGA
upcoming
13 Mar 2027
RYUK v NAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
RYUK58
NAGA68
14 Mar 2026
RYUK95
NAGA81
20 Apr 2025
RYUK87
NAGA66
19 Apr 2025
RYUK90
NAGA80
21 Apr 2024
RYUK84
NAGA91
20 Apr 2024
RYUK98
NAGA67
20 Dec 2023
RYUK74
NAGA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
81-59
81
59
+22
70avg 76
H24/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 76
A27/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
98-96
98
96
+2
86avg 76
H30/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
81-77
81
77
+4
66avg 76
H31/03
B League
Chiba
#9
W
85-76
85
76
+9
81avg 76
H06/04
B League
Chiba
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 76
H07/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
87avg 76
H10/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
74avg 76
A13/04
B League
Shimane
#12
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 76
A14/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
93avg 76
H17/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
18-9
17-12
22-14
22-16
11-13
20-18
23-21
24-28
21-22
27-18
26-28
19-26
19-18
23-19
20-14
23-21
22-15
16-13
24-27
22-15
18-18
17-26
26-20
21-20
15-20
20-21
27-22
15-16
21-13
21-19
23-18
22-18
20-12
12-20
19-27
17-13
24-27
18-16
19-22
164.6Avg total
85.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)82.877.6160.4+5.272%
Season at home (28)83.778.5162.2+5.275%
Season away (26)81.876.7158.4+5.169%
Last 10 (10)85.379.3164.6+6.080%
Last 5 (5)86.483.4169.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.880.3163.2+2.567%
vs Similar (11)83.676.0159.6+7.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.177.4162.5+7.777%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
L
69-102
69
102
-33
56avg 74
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 74
H27/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 74
H30/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
78avg 74
H31/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 74
A06/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 74
A07/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
78-82
78
82
-4
74avg 74
A10/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
63-61
63
61
+2
54avg 74
A13/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
80-73
80
73
+7
74avg 74
A14/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
90avg 74
H17/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
23-18
25-32
7-22
16-22
13-11
18-20
21-23
11-16
20-21
21-17
22-13
20-15
9-17
22-26
23-16
25-15
17-32
17-21
26-20
25-16
18-13
27-21
16-15
22-13
20-23
22-19
14-27
20-21
14-9
19-12
10-19
31-16
15-21
18-17
16-19
27-26
24-24
15-6
23-22
155.0Avg total
77.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)80.683.5164.2-2.943%
Season at home (28)77.982.7160.6-4.836%
Season away (26)83.684.4168.0-0.850%
Last 10 (10)77.377.7155.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)79.271.8151.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.287.0166.2-7.833%
vs Similar (9)74.281.6155.8-7.333%
vs Weaker (6)81.576.5158.0+5.033%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
RyukyuNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H24/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A27/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H30/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H31/03
B League
Chiba
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H06/04
B League
Chiba
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H07/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A13/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/04
B League
76.2Avg total
39.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.478.0+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.739.079.7+1.753%-
Last 30 away (13)40.535.375.8+5.269%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.476.2+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.473.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.539.382.8+4.250%-
vs Similar (11)39.134.673.7+4.573%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.538.879.4+1.754%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H27/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H31/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A06/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A07/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A13/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A14/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H17/04
B League
76.3Avg total
38.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.283.0-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.842.482.2-2.641%-
Last 30 away (13)42.042.084.0+0.054%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.976.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.479.6+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.145.083.1-6.920%-
vs Similar (9)42.941.284.1+1.767%-
vs Weaker (6)44.236.881.0+7.383%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.6
49.7%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.5
33.9%
33.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.2
73.6%
72.0%14.2
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.1
52.9%
50.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.1
31.3%
33.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws11.48.6
75.4%
72.0%8.6
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ryukyu
WLWLWWWWWW
Nagasaki
WWWLWLLWLL
#5
League position
#17
+8.7
Net rating
-1.1
110.8
Offensive rating
101.0
102.0
Defensive rating
102.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
50.3%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.4%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.17
33.9%
3-point %
31.3%
59.5%
Assist %
64.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 101.0Defence102.0 · 102.1Shooting50.2% · 50.3%3-point %33.9% · 31.3%Ball care16.7% · 18.4%Off. rebounds36.6% · 27.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Ryukyu   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ryukyu wins
1
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
27/03/24Nagasaki v Ryukyu68-76
20/12/23Ryukyu v Nagasaki74-76
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24HSaga101-97 OT
14/04/24AShimane73-77
13/04/24AShimane80-66
10/04/24HDiamond Dolphins95-98 OT
07/04/24HChiba83-79
06/04/24HChiba85-76
31/03/24HIbaraki Robots81-77
30/03/24HIbaraki Robots98-96
27/03/24ANagasaki76-68
24/03/24HAkita81-59
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24HHiroshima D.89-78
14/04/24ASaga80-73
13/04/24ASaga63-61
10/04/24AKyoto78-82
07/04/24AHokkaido86-65
06/04/24AHokkaido85-88
31/03/24HShimane81-85 OT
30/03/24HShimane74-67
27/03/24HRyukyu68-76
24/03/24AYokohama69-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ryukyu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW72%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWWWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542826
Win %72%75%69%
Points / game82.883.781.8
Allowed / game77.678.576.7
Point differential+5.2+5.2+5.1
Avg total160.4162.2158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%21%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (22)71% (14)62% (8)
Overtime %11%11%12%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW43%
HomeLLWLW36%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542826
Win %43%36%50%
Points / game80.677.983.6
Allowed / game83.582.784.4
Point differential-2.9-4.8-0.8
Avg total164.2160.6168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%11%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)67% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex5547885%81.569.7+11.8
2 Alvark55441180%81.469.8+11.6
3 NeoPhoenix55441180%90.479.4+10.9
4 Ryukyu54391572%82.877.6+5.2
5 Diamond Dolphins56371966%84.179.6+4.5
6 Chiba55342162%84.781.3+3.4
7 SeaHorses Mikawa54322259%80.375.8+4.5
8 Hiroshima D.55322358%79.773.9+5.8
9 Shimane56322457%82.979.0+3.9
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya55312456%75.174.5+0.6
11 Brave Thunders54302456%80.678.1+2.5
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles55292653%75.675.2+0.3
13 Gunma55292653%80.081.1-1.2
14 Saga55272849%75.575.3+0.2
15 Akita55262947%73.675.4-1.8
16 Sendai55243144%78.680.5-2.0
17 Nagasaki54233143%80.683.5-2.9
18 Osaka55223340%79.283.2-4.0
19 Yokohama55223340%77.382.6-5.3
20 Hokkaido55173831%75.982.3-6.5
21 Kyoto55163929%77.484.5-7.1
22 Ibaraki Robots55104518%76.486.3-9.9
23 Shinshu5584715%72.183.1-11.0
24 Toyama554517%72.285.9-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ryukyu3821251498
Nagasaki1917171467
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.