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Gunma vs Nagasaki Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record12-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#21
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.2
JapanB League· Open House Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gunma v Nagasaki
13 Feb 2027
GUNM v NAGA
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
GUNM72
NAGA77
14 Feb 2026
GUNM80
NAGA97
20 Oct 2024
GUNM82
NAGA72
19 Oct 2024
GUNM72
NAGA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gunma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGunma
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
72-61
72
61
+11
67avg 77
A12/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
86-100
86
100
-14
73avg 77
H17/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 77
A19/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 77
A23/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
85-74
85
74
+11
73avg 77
A26/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
93-60
93
60
+33
94avg 77
H31/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
102-60
102
60
+42
106avg 77
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
A06/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H09/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
85-74
85
74
+11
no box
A13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
16-12
17-17
23-17
32-33
23-19
16-25
15-23
27-16
14-21
19-19
20-27
22-11
18-33
25-23
20-26
15-21
26-15
11-21
33-17
21-7
20-19
34-10
18-24
24-15
29-20
21-13
28-12
22-14
27-15
19-23
22-31
23-18
21-16
20-25
23-17
21-16
32-20
14-21
18-17
162.9Avg total
86.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.873.8156.6+9.175%
Season at home (8)86.672.1158.8+14.588%
Season away (8)79.075.4154.4+3.662%
Last 10 (10)86.576.4162.9+10.170%
Last 5 (5)91.470.6162.0+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)82.880.7163.5+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)83.971.5155.4+12.479%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 78
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 78
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 78
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 78
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
87-90
87
90
-3
86avg 78
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
87-107
87
107
-20
no box
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
17-24
22-17
34-22
14-27
18-20
23-16
18-21
14-23
33-28
26-30
14-28
14-21
24-22
16-11
20-23
13-26
16-24
21-23
21-22
22-17
167.9Avg total
84.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.382.2159.4-4.933%
Season at home (8)78.080.8158.8-2.850%
Season away (10)76.783.3160.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.883.1167.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.786.6162.4-10.918%
vs Similar (7)79.679.7159.3-0.143%
vs Weaker (12)85.073.8158.8+11.283%
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
GunmaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A12/10
B League
Alvark
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H17/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A19/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A23/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A26/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H31/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A06/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H09/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A13/11
B League
80.5Avg total
44.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.836.679.5+6.280%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.737.080.7+6.793%-
Last 30 away (15)42.036.378.3+5.767%-
Last 10 (10)44.935.680.5+9.390%-
Last 5 (5)48.032.080.0+16.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)46.739.285.8+7.583%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.936.077.9+5.979%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
B League
85.1Avg total
44.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.339.680.9+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)39.838.878.6+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.685.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.540.480.8+0.164%-
vs Similar (7)37.039.676.6-2.629%-
vs Weaker (12)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.0
53.3%
53.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.7
32.7%
32.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.717.3
79.7%
73.8%17.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.110.8
76.6%
73.8%10.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gunma
WWWWWWLLLW
Nagasaki
LLLLLWWWLW
#6
League position
#21
+9.6
Net rating
+2.1
100.4
Offensive rating
93.2
90.8
Defensive rating
91.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
12.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.7%
3-point %
35.8%
64.6%
Assist %
65.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 93.2Defence90.8 · 91.1Shooting51.3% · 54.0%3-point %32.7% · 35.8%Ball care12.0% · 15.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Gunma   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gunma wins
4
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Nagasaki v Gunma70-59
15/02/26Gunma v Nagasaki72-77
14/02/26Gunma v Nagasaki80-97
20/10/24Gunma v Nagasaki82-72
19/10/24Gunma v Nagasaki72-78
03/03/24Nagasaki v Gunma78-91
02/03/24Nagasaki v Gunma67-85
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AShinshu85-74
09/11/26HDiamond Dolphins87-76
06/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa90-83
01/11/26HOsaka102-60
31/10/26HOsaka93-60
26/10/26AAltiri Chiba85-74
23/10/26ARyukyu85-93
19/10/26AUtsunomiya Brex80-83
17/10/26HAlvark86-100
12/10/26ASaga72-61
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChiba80-86
11/11/26AAlvark73-82
09/11/26HSendai87-107
06/11/26AHiroshima D.73-80
01/11/26AKobe87-90
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gunma
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%88%62%
Points / game82.886.679.0
Allowed / game73.872.175.4
Point differential+9.1+14.5+3.6
Avg total156.6158.8154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game77.378.076.7
Allowed / game82.280.883.3
Point differential-4.9-2.8-6.6
Avg total159.4158.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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