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Kyoto vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 65-82
11-19 19-26 19-24 16-13
Position#21
Record17-41
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#17
Record25-33
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game83.5
JapanB League· Kyoto City Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kyoto v Nagasaki
04 Oct 2026
KYOT90
NAGA65
03 Oct 2026
KYOT84
NAGA76
11 Mar 2026
KYOT80
NAGA90
23 Mar 2025
KYOT63
NAGA84
22 Mar 2025
KYOT88
NAGA68
06 May 2024
KYOT102
NAGA105
05 May 2024
KYOT65
NAGA82
10 Apr 2024
KYOT82
NAGA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kyoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
83-91
83
91
-8
78avg 70
A06/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
78avg 70
A07/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 70
H10/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
101avg 70
A13/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
93-83
93
83
+10
87avg 70
A14/04
B League
Shimane
#12
L
80-92
80
92
-12
75avg 70
H17/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
88-87
88
87
+1
87avg 70
H20/04
B League
Saga
#15
L
52-73
52
73
-21
42avg 70
H21/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
74avg 70
A27/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A28/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
22-18
14-25
19-27
24-19
20-22
23-20
14-27
13-22
23-20
19-22
27-14
20-14
23-27
27-27
17-19
23-26
23-21
19-23
28-13
18-26
17-26
23-21
22-19
33-27
15-22
9-17
31-21
13-18
22-18
13-23
4-14
20-25
29-20
29-19
9-25
17-21
19-19
20-17
21-18
168.0Avg total
82.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)77.184.2161.4-7.129%
Season at home (28)75.684.8160.4-9.129%
Season away (30)78.583.8162.3-5.230%
Last 10 (10)82.385.7168.0-3.440%
Last 5 (5)76.883.2160.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)75.383.7159.0-8.430%
vs Similar (3)92.790.3183.0+2.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 73
A06/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 73
A07/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
78-82
78
82
-4
74avg 73
A10/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
63-61
63
61
+2
54avg 73
A13/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
80-73
80
73
+7
74avg 73
A14/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
90avg 73
H17/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
67-98
67
98
-31
50avg 73
A20/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
75avg 73
A21/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 73
H27/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
84-66
84
66
+18
77avg 73
H28/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
17-32
17-21
26-20
25-16
18-13
27-21
16-15
22-13
20-23
22-19
14-27
20-21
14-9
19-12
10-19
31-16
15-21
18-17
16-19
27-26
24-24
15-6
23-22
19-38
17-21
17-25
14-14
26-24
25-29
19-14
21-17
26-27
21-22
17-20
21-18
18-19
22-18
23-9
21-20
159.0Avg total
80.8Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)80.783.5164.3-2.843%
Season at home (30)78.382.3160.6-4.037%
Season away (28)83.384.9168.1-1.650%
Last 10 (10)80.878.2159.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)83.282.6165.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.988.1169.1-7.240%
vs Similar (11)76.180.6156.7-4.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.079.0160.0+2.025%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
KyotoNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A06/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A07/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A14/04
B League
Shimane
#12
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H17/04
B League
Saga
#15
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H20/04
B League
Saga
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A28/04
B League
85.4Avg total
42.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.681.0-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.044.983.9-5.917%-
Last 30 away (18)38.041.079.0-3.039%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.285.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.485.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.942.880.7-4.926%-
vs Similar (3)42.740.383.0+2.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A06/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A07/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A13/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A14/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H17/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
36-59
36
59
-23
A20/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A21/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H27/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/04
B League
85.9Avg total
43.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.585.0-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.743.183.9-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)42.243.986.1-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.785.9+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.049.694.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.246.786.9-6.520%-
vs Similar (11)43.041.584.5+1.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.037.079.0+5.075%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.3
53.7%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.3
38.6%
33.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.312.6
72.8%
72.0%12.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.6
50.0%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.0
34.4%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws12.310.2
82.9%
72.0%10.2
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kyoto
WLLWLWLWLL
Nagasaki
WLWLWWWLWL
#21
League position
#17
-5.5
Net rating
+2.4
111.8
Offensive rating
105.5
117.3
Defensive rating
103.1
55.3%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.18
38.6%
3-point %
34.4%
64.5%
Assist %
61.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 105.5Defence117.3 · 103.1Shooting55.3% · 50.7%3-point %38.6% · 34.4%Ball care17.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.7% · 26.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Kyoto   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kyoto wins
0
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
10/04/24Kyoto v Nagasaki82-78
17/01/24Nagasaki v Kyoto75-81
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles77-75
27/04/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles87-89
21/04/24HSaga52-73
20/04/24HSaga88-87
17/04/24HShimane80-92
14/04/24AOsaka93-83
13/04/24AOsaka100-101 OT
10/04/24HNagasaki82-78
07/04/24ASun Rockers Shibuya81-88
06/04/24ASun Rockers Shibuya83-91
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HOsaka84-66
27/04/24HOsaka85-87
21/04/24ARyukyu91-84
20/04/24ARyukyu67-98
17/04/24HHiroshima D.89-78
14/04/24ASaga80-73
13/04/24ASaga63-61
10/04/24AKyoto78-82
07/04/24AHokkaido86-65
06/04/24AHokkaido85-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kyoto
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLWLWL29%
AwayLLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %29%29%30%
Points / game77.175.678.5
Allowed / game84.284.883.8
Point differential-7.1-9.1-5.2
Avg total161.4160.4162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)83% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %9%4%13%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeWLWLW37%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583028
Win %43%37%50%
Points / game80.778.383.3
Allowed / game83.582.384.9
Point differential-2.8-4.0-1.6
Avg total164.3160.6168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%13%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)57% (7)38% (8)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex5950985%81.569.3+12.2
2 Alvark60481280%81.270.0+11.3
3 NeoPhoenix59461378%89.879.2+10.7
4 Ryukyu60411968%82.677.8+4.8
5 Diamond Dolphins59401968%84.179.5+4.5
6 Hiroshima D.60362460%79.273.4+5.8
7 SeaHorses Mikawa59352459%80.475.8+4.6
8 Chiba60352558%84.281.7+2.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya60352558%75.374.0+1.3
10 Brave Thunders60332755%80.478.4+2.0
11 Nagoya Fighting Eagles60332755%75.974.9+0.9
12 Shimane60322853%81.778.7+2.9
13 Gunma59312853%80.081.6-1.6
14 Akita60303050%74.275.2-1.1
15 Saga59293049%75.575.0+0.5
16 Sendai59263344%79.080.8-1.8
17 Nagasaki58253343%80.783.5-2.8
18 Osaka60253542%79.182.8-3.7
19 Yokohama60243640%77.282.4-5.3
20 Kyoto58174129%77.184.2-7.1
21 Hokkaido60174328%75.381.9-6.6
22 Ibaraki Robots59124720%76.586.5-10.0
23 Shinshu60105017%72.282.6-10.4
24 Toyama604567%72.085.8-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kyoto1119191665
Nagasaki1926241382
← all games of the day
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