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Hokkaido vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 59-68
20-17 19-21 7-13 13-17
Position#19
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.5
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#16
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game63.0
JapanB League· Hokkai Kita-yale
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hokkaido v Nagasaki
12 Apr 2026
HOKK89
NAGA90
11 Apr 2026
HOKK82
NAGA80
13 Oct 2024
HOKK70
NAGA79
12 Oct 2024
HOKK59
NAGA68
07 Apr 2024
HOKK65
NAGA86
06 Apr 2024
HOKK88
NAGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hokkaido winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHokkaido
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
55avg 66
H14/04
B League
Gunma
#13
W
98-90
98
90
+8
95avg 66
A17/04
B League
Sendai
#16
L
74-83
74
83
-9
63avg 66
A20/04
B League
Sendai
#16
L
83-85
83
85
-2
73avg 66
A21/04
B League
Akita
#14
L
65-73
65
73
-8
54avg 66
A27/04
B League
Akita
#14
L
54-65
54
65
-11
46avg 66
A28/04
B League
Alvark
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 66
H03/05
B League
Alvark
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
74avg 66
H04/05
B League
Shimane
#8
L
56-87
56
87
-31
47avg 66
A05/10
B League
Shimane
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
58avg 66
A06/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
18-15
11-22
20-21
14-25
31-18
22-14
31-33
20-17
18-19
18-28
18-19
25-19
25-17
16-30
17-19
17-22
25-20
7-15
16-16
17-16
9-16
10-17
18-16
12-12
26-21
9-27
19-18
26-24
22-15
15-27
15-19
20-22
12-18
13-20
11-27
19-8
13-22
18-23
13-22
150.9Avg total
70.4Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)59.581.0140.5-21.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)59.581.0140.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)70.480.5150.9-10.110%
Last 5 (5)63.478.0141.4-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)71.383.2154.5-12.014%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.083.0170.0+4.062%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#15
W
80-73
80
73
+7
74avg 73
A14/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
90avg 73
H17/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
67-98
67
98
-31
50avg 73
A20/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
75avg 73
A21/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 73
H27/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
84-66
84
66
+18
77avg 73
H28/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
82-65
82
65
+17
69avg 73
A05/05
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
91avg 73
A06/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
76-68
76
68
+8
68avg 73
H04/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
53-58
53
58
-5
47avg 73
H05/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
15-21
18-17
16-19
27-26
24-24
15-6
23-22
19-38
17-21
17-25
14-14
26-24
25-29
19-14
21-17
26-27
21-22
17-20
21-18
18-19
22-18
23-9
21-20
19-11
26-19
24-19
13-16
24-12
14-20
26-30
19-21
17-20
19-11
20-12
20-25
15-19
11-15
13-11
14-13
159.1Avg total
81.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)64.563.0127.5+1.550%
Season at home (2)64.563.0127.5+1.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.277.9159.1+3.370%
Last 5 (5)80.071.8151.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.284.4163.6-5.144%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.380.1156.4-3.844%
vs Weaker (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -8.4-8.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -8.4-8.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
HokkaidoNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/04
B League
Gunma
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/04
B League
Sendai
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A20/04
B League
Sendai
#16
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A21/04
B League
Akita
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A27/04
B League
Akita
#14
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A28/04
B League
Alvark
#2
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H03/05
B League
Alvark
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/05
B League
Shimane
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A05/10
B League
Shimane
#8
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A06/10
B League
75.9Avg total
38.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.978.5+0.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.780.5+1.067%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.176.6+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.275.9+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.870.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)37.539.376.8-1.955%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.637.883.4+7.988%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A14/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H17/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
36-59
36
59
-23
A20/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A21/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H27/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A05/05
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H04/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H05/10
B League
82.8Avg total
41.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.182.8-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.341.780.9-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)42.242.584.7-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.282.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.869.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.944.683.5-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.341.785.0+1.767%-
vs Weaker (5)42.034.876.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hokkaido: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.5
46.7%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.8
30.7%
33.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws13.510.6
78.5%
72.7%10.6
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.3
50.7%
51.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.9
35.5%
33.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws12.08.9
74.2%
72.7%8.9
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hokkaido
LLLLLLLLWL
Nagasaki
LWWWWLWLWW
#19
League position
#16
-15.4
Net rating
+4.4
95.6
Offensive rating
106.9
111.0
Defensive rating
102.5
46.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.17
30.7%
3-point %
35.5%
65.2%
Assist %
58.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 106.9Defence111.0 · 102.5Shooting46.4% · 51.8%3-point %30.7% · 35.5%Ball care15.8% · 14.9%Off. rebounds21.0% · 26.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Hokkaido   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hokkaido wins
1
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
07/04/24Hokkaido v Nagasaki65-86
06/04/24Hokkaido v Nagasaki88-85
Hokkaidolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24AShimane63-75
05/10/24AShimane56-87
04/05/24HAlvark78-85
03/05/24HAlvark66-78
28/04/24AAkita54-65
27/04/24AAkita65-73
21/04/24ASendai83-85
20/04/24ASendai74-83
17/04/24AGunma98-90
14/04/24HUtsunomiya Brex67-84
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya53-58
04/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya76-68
06/05/24AKyoto105-102 OT
05/05/24AKyoto82-65
28/04/24HOsaka84-66
27/04/24HOsaka85-87
21/04/24ARyukyu91-84
20/04/24ARyukyu67-98
17/04/24HHiroshima D.89-78
14/04/24ASaga80-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hokkaido
B League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game59.5-59.5
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential-21.5--21.5
Avg total140.5-140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game64.564.5-
Allowed / game63.063.0-
Point differential+1.5+1.5-
Avg total127.5127.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark220100%83.064.5+18.5
2 Gunma220100%80.562.0+18.5
3 Shimane330100%77.760.3+17.3
4 Chiba220100%85.572.5+13.0
5 SeaHorses Mikawa220100%74.562.0+12.5
6 Osaka220100%87.076.0+11.0
7 Yokohama220100%74.571.5+3.0
8 Kyoto21150%70.562.5+8.0
9 Akita21150%81.074.5+6.5
10 Diamond Dolphins21150%76.070.5+5.5
11 Ryukyu21150%87.085.0+2.0
12 Nagasaki21150%64.563.0+1.5
13 Sun Rockers Shibuya21150%63.064.5-1.5
14 NeoPhoenix21150%85.087.0-2.0
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles21150%70.576.0-5.5
16 Brave Thunders21150%74.581.0-6.5
17 Saga21150%62.570.5-8.0
18 Sendai3030%68.373.3-5.0
19 Shiga2020%76.087.0-11.0
20 Ibaraki Robots2020%62.074.5-12.5
21 Utsunomiya Brex2020%72.585.5-13.0
22 Hiroshima D.2020%62.080.5-18.5
23 Koshigaya Alphas2020%64.583.0-18.5
24 Hokkaido2020%59.581.0-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hokkaido201971359
Nagasaki1721131768
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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