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Gunma vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 86-74
21-18 18-21 18-12 29-23
Position#6
Record11-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game71.9
Gunma 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#18
Record7-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game74.6
JapanB League· Open House Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gunma v Saga
08 Dec 2024
GUNM86
SAGA74
07 Dec 2024
GUNM84
SAGA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gunma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGunma
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#21
W
89-62
89
62
+27
89avg 75
A25/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
75-68
75
68
+7
69avg 75
A26/10
B League
Shiga
#24
W
82-81
82
81
+1
80avg 75
H02/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
102-65
102
65
+37
113avg 75
H03/11
B League
Chiba
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 75
A06/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
85avg 75
H09/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
59avg 75
H10/11
B League
Sendai
#23
W
89-65
89
65
+24
86avg 75
A30/11
B League
Sendai
#23
W
78-67
78
67
+11
72avg 75
A01/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
84-70
84
70
+14
85avg 75
H07/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-26
26-13
25-5
15-14
16-19
19-17
25-18
19-25
24-21
23-13
16-22
24-20
23-18
23-16
32-11
19-16
21-20
16-25
22-26
21-27
23-24
22-11
21-15
10-22
27-16
18-18
13-22
24-10
24-17
22-16
19-22
18-27
19-20
22-15
19-5
23-16
25-14
21-13
15-27
155.2Avg total
83.2Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.171.9152.1+8.265%
Season at home (9)82.071.7153.7+10.378%
Season away (8)78.072.2150.2+5.850%
Last 10 (10)83.272.0155.2+11.280%
Last 5 (5)81.271.4152.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.087.2162.2-12.217%
vs Similar (10)78.581.4159.9-2.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.272.7156.9+11.586%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
71avg 68
A26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 68
A27/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
89-67
89
67
+22
90avg 68
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
76-89
76
89
-13
76avg 68
H04/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
83-69
83
69
+14
78avg 68
A06/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 68
H11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
56avg 68
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
80-51
80
51
+29
79avg 68
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
78-93
78
93
-15
71avg 68
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
58avg 68
A07/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
15-11
17-21
21-20
10-24
18-22
22-21
16-12
21-17
22-13
25-18
21-19
16-24
21-23
20-16
19-26
23-20
16-18
20-15
24-16
20-22
14-24
24-18
14-20
20-18
12-19
14-21
21-15
23-13
15-12
22-10
20-16
17-21
23-22
20-18
18-32
16-23
14-25
13-21
27-15
152.3Avg total
75.5Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.574.6149.1-0.141%
Season at home (7)76.676.6153.1+0.029%
Season away (10)73.173.2146.3-0.150%
Last 10 (10)75.576.8152.3-1.330%
Last 5 (5)73.477.0150.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.679.7150.2-9.18%
vs Similar (11)77.874.5152.4+3.345%
vs Weaker (7)82.172.1154.3+10.071%
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
GunmaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#21
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A25/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/10
B League
Shiga
#24
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H02/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H03/11
B League
Chiba
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A06/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H09/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H10/11
B League
Sendai
#23
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A30/11
B League
Sendai
#23
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A01/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H07/12
B League
80.3Avg total
41.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.681.5+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.440.282.6+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)39.341.080.3-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.080.3+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.681.4+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.845.284.0-6.333%-
vs Similar (10)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.937.479.3+4.457%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A27/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A07/12
B League
75.5Avg total
35.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.976.3-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.837.974.8-1.138%-
Last 30 away (17)37.839.777.5-1.941%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.875.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.874.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.741.275.9-6.617%-
vs Similar (11)37.636.974.5+0.736%-
vs Weaker (7)41.738.179.9+3.686%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.8
54.7%
51.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.3
38.6%
33.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
72.7%12.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.9
52.6%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.8
32.6%
33.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
72.7%13.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gunma
WWWLWLWWWW
Saga
LLWLLWLWLL
#6
League position
#18
+16.5
Net rating
-1.0
119.4
Offensive rating
104.6
102.9
Defensive rating
105.6
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.6%
3-point %
32.6%
67.8%
Assist %
71.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 104.6Defence102.9 · 105.6Shooting56.0% · 51.2%3-point %38.6% · 32.6%Ball care16.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds36.4% · 24.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Gunma   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gunma wins
0
Saga wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Gunma v Saga84-70
04/02/24Saga v Gunma69-79
03/02/24Saga v Gunma68-79
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HSaga84-70
01/12/24ASendai78-67
30/11/24ASendai89-65
10/11/24HSeaHorses Mikawa68-78
09/11/24HSeaHorses Mikawa87-77
06/11/24AChiba78-87
03/11/24HShiga102-65
02/11/24HShiga82-81
26/10/24ABrave Thunders75-68
25/10/24ABrave Thunders89-62
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AGunma70-84
02/12/24HNagasaki78-93
01/12/24HNagasaki80-51
12/11/24HRyukyu67-73
11/11/24HRyukyu72-84
06/11/24AShiga83-69
04/11/24HBrave Thunders76-89
03/11/24HBrave Thunders89-67
27/10/24AAlvark66-79
26/10/24AAlvark74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gunma
B League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%78%50%
Points / game80.182.078.0
Allowed / game71.971.772.2
Point differential+8.2+10.3+5.8
Avg total152.1153.7150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %41%29%50%
Points / game74.576.673.1
Allowed / game74.676.673.2
Point differential-0.1+0.0-0.1
Avg total149.1153.1146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1715288%80.468.8+11.6
2 NeoPhoenix1714382%92.478.6+13.8
3 Chiba1714382%83.573.6+9.9
4 Utsunomiya Brex1814478%82.774.6+8.2
5 Shimane1813572%82.174.3+7.8
6 SeaHorses Mikawa1813572%80.173.4+6.6
7 Ryukyu1712571%85.277.7+7.5
8 Gunma1711665%80.171.9+8.2
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya1811761%76.470.7+5.8
10 Osaka1810856%82.179.9+2.2
11 Akita1810856%73.874.2-0.3
12 Diamond Dolphins178947%81.182.3-1.2
13 Kyoto1881044%79.379.4-0.1
14 Saga1771041%74.574.6-0.1
15 Nagasaki1771041%69.373.7-4.4
16 Yokohama1871139%73.478.8-5.4
17 Hiroshima D.1761135%75.682.1-6.5
18 Hokkaido1861233%72.879.9-7.2
19 Koshigaya Alphas1751229%74.881.5-6.7
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1751229%73.282.5-9.3
21 Ibaraki Robots1851328%76.183.7-7.6
22 Brave Thunders1741324%74.885.3-10.5
23 Sendai1841422%73.080.6-7.6
24 Shiga181176%72.786.7-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gunma2118182986
Saga1821122374
← all games of the day
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