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Saga vs Gunma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 69-79
21-28 17-6 13-25 18-20
Position#15
Record18-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Gunma 🏆
Japan
Position#13
Record17-18
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game81.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Gunma
12 Oct 2026
SAGA61
GUNM72
04 Jan 2026
SAGA51
GUNM81
03 Jan 2026
SAGA84
GUNM78
04 Feb 2024
SAGA69
GUNM79
03 Feb 2024
SAGA68
GUNM79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gunma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Alvark
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 66
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 66
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
58avg 66
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 66
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
81-72
81
72
+9
81avg 66
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 66
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
59avg 66
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
53avg 66
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
58-96
58
96
-38
40avg 66
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
L
68-79
68
79
-11
46avg 66
H03/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
14-21
8-32
17-17
15-30
25-10
24-14
13-13
25-16
13-9
18-13
10-18
25-11
22-19
31-19
13-20
29-21
15-19
23-16
14-16
21-14
23-21
16-13
14-15
18-21
11-24
21-21
20-17
20-15
18-22
12-21
12-18
12-23
18-24
19-13
9-36
15-13
17-19
20-30
16-17
146.3Avg total
70.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)75.175.1150.2+0.051%
Season at home (19)74.475.3149.7-0.953%
Season away (16)75.974.8150.8+1.150%
Last 10 (10)70.875.5146.3-4.750%
Last 5 (5)66.479.4145.8-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.688.6159.1-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.672.2144.8+0.554%
vs Weaker (10)83.365.9149.2+17.4100%
This opponent (Gunma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGunma
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
60-89
60
89
-29
50avg 72
A31/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
95avg 72
H06/01
B League
Shimane
#12
L
84-96
84
96
-12
76avg 72
H07/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
67avg 72
H17/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 72
A20/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
100-93 OT
100
93
+7
no box
A21/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
97-93
97
93
+4
98avg 72
H27/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
81-87
81
87
-6
76avg 72
H28/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
94-82
94
82
+12
90avg 72
A31/01
B League
Saga
#15
W
79-68
79
68
+11
69avg 72
A03/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
16-12
15-28
11-25
21-18
26-9
23-25
20-31
23-25
25-26
20-22
16-23
20-27
15-26
25-21
21-19
15-16
25-14
25-23
19-13
25-21
25-23
20-15
13-24
24-15
25-24
26-18
22-36
24-20
19-18
16-25
22-24
13-17
23-21
32-28
26-16
13-15
19-17
30-20
17-16
170.0Avg total
85.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.381.4159.8-3.149%
Season at home (18)80.881.6162.4-0.856%
Season away (17)75.881.2157.0-5.541%
Last 10 (10)85.085.0170.0+0.060%
Last 5 (5)90.284.6174.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.285.7167.8-3.542%
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.882.2151.0-13.411%
vs Weaker (9)83.673.4157.0+10.1100%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -4.0-4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -4.0-4.0
SagaGunma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H03/02
B League
75.4Avg total
37.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.376.4+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.637.476.0+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)39.637.376.9+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.675.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.639.273.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.046.682.6-10.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.234.771.8+2.554%-
vs Weaker (10)43.834.378.1+9.590%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A31/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/01
B League
Shimane
#12
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H07/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H17/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A20/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A21/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H27/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H28/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A31/01
B League
Saga
#15
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A03/02
B League
80.2Avg total
41.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.777.9-1.427%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.538.977.4-0.431%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.678.5-2.621%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.880.2+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.280.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.441.282.6+0.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.339.473.8-5.111%-
vs Weaker (9)37.937.975.8+0.033%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.3
48.7%
50.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.3
38.0%
33.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.59.5
61.3%
72.0%9.5
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.5
51.0%
50.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.8
40.7%
33.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.315.2
78.8%
72.0%15.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLWWWWWL
Gunma
WWLWWWLLWL
#15
League position
#13
-6.6
Net rating
-2.3
98.8
Offensive rating
112.7
105.4
Defensive rating
115.1
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
18.1%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.0%
3-point %
40.7%
59.4%
Assist %
72.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 112.7Defence105.4 · 115.1Shooting52.2% · 54.5%3-point %38.0% · 40.7%Ball care17.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds18.1% · 27.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Saga   ■ Gunma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
1
Gunma wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Saga v Gunma68-79
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HGunma68-79
31/01/24HRyukyu58-96
28/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex62-76
27/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex70-83
21/01/24HToyama74-63
20/01/24HToyama81-72
17/01/24AOsaka91-69
07/01/24ASendai66-56
06/01/24ASendai77-67
30/12/23HAlvark61-94
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ASaga79-68
31/01/24AHokkaido94-82
28/01/24HSeaHorses Mikawa81-87
27/01/24HSeaHorses Mikawa97-93
21/01/24AKyoto100-93 OT
20/01/24AKyoto84-66
17/01/24HUtsunomiya Brex81-93
07/01/24HShimane84-96
06/01/24HShimane90-83
31/12/23ASun Rockers Shibuya60-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL51%
HomeLWWLL53%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %51%53%50%
Points / game75.174.475.9
Allowed / game75.175.374.8
Point differential+0.0-0.9+1.1
Avg total150.2149.7150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%21%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Gunma
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW49%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayLWWWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %49%56%41%
Points / game78.380.875.8
Allowed / game81.481.681.2
Point differential-3.1-0.8-5.5
Avg total159.8162.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%6%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3531489%90.776.4+14.3
2 Alvark3530586%82.067.4+14.7
3 Utsunomiya Brex3528780%78.468.2+10.2
4 SeaHorses Mikawa35231266%82.876.9+5.9
5 Ryukyu35231266%80.176.4+3.7
6 Chiba35221363%85.882.5+3.3
7 Diamond Dolphins35221363%81.878.9+2.9
8 Shimane35211460%84.278.4+5.8
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya35201557%77.075.2+1.8
10 Hiroshima D.35191654%78.473.2+5.1
11 Brave Thunders35191654%79.677.4+2.2
12 Akita36191753%73.973.9-0.1
13 Saga35181751%75.175.1+0.0
14 Gunma35171849%78.381.4-3.1
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles35161946%71.974.7-2.8
16 Nagasaki35152043%81.083.8-2.8
17 Yokohama35152043%76.682.4-5.8
18 Sendai35142140%78.080.2-2.3
19 Osaka35132237%77.782.8-5.1
20 Kyoto35122334%78.183.8-5.7
21 Hokkaido35112431%75.080.1-5.1
22 Shinshu3562917%71.283.9-12.7
23 Toyama3643211%73.785.3-11.6
24 Ibaraki Robots353329%73.185.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2117131869
Gunma286252079
← all games of the day
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