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Gunma vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 84-70
23-16 25-14 21-13 15-27
Position#6
Record10-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game72.1
Gunma 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#18
Record7-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game74.0
JapanB League· Open House Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gunma v Saga
08 Dec 2024
GUNM86
SAGA74
07 Dec 2024
GUNM84
SAGA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gunma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGunma
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-72
69
72
-3
62avg 75
A23/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
89-62
89
62
+27
89avg 75
A25/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
75-68
75
68
+7
69avg 75
A26/10
B League
Shiga
#24
W
82-81
82
81
+1
80avg 75
H02/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
102-65
102
65
+37
113avg 75
H03/11
B League
Chiba
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 75
A06/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
85avg 75
H09/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
59avg 75
H10/11
B League
Sendai
#23
W
89-65
89
65
+24
86avg 75
A30/11
B League
Sendai
#23
W
78-67
78
67
+11
72avg 75
A01/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
30-19
10-14
13-16
20-18
18-26
26-13
25-5
15-14
16-19
19-17
25-18
19-25
24-21
23-13
16-22
24-20
23-18
23-16
32-11
19-16
21-20
16-25
22-26
21-27
23-24
22-11
21-15
10-22
27-16
18-18
13-22
24-10
24-17
22-16
19-22
18-27
19-20
22-15
19-5
153.9Avg total
81.7Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.972.1151.9+7.862%
Season at home (8)81.871.9153.6+9.975%
Season away (8)78.072.2150.2+5.850%
Last 10 (10)81.772.2153.9+9.570%
Last 5 (5)80.074.8154.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.687.9164.4-11.314%
vs Similar (10)78.581.4159.9-2.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.272.9157.2+11.385%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 68
H23/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
71avg 68
A26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 68
A27/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
89-67
89
67
+22
90avg 68
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
76-89
76
89
-13
76avg 68
H04/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
83-69
83
69
+14
78avg 68
A06/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 68
H11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
56avg 68
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
80-51
80
51
+29
79avg 68
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
78-93
78
93
-15
71avg 68
H02/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
16-25
23-17
17-19
21-27
15-11
17-21
21-20
10-24
18-22
22-21
16-12
21-17
22-13
25-18
21-19
16-24
21-23
20-16
19-26
23-20
16-18
20-15
24-16
20-22
14-24
24-18
14-20
20-18
12-19
14-21
21-15
23-13
15-12
22-10
20-16
17-21
23-22
20-18
18-32
152.2Avg total
75.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.874.0148.8+0.844%
Season at home (7)76.676.6153.1+0.029%
Season away (9)73.472.0145.4+1.456%
Last 10 (10)75.976.3152.2-0.430%
Last 5 (5)76.074.0150.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.679.3149.9-8.69%
vs Similar (11)77.874.5152.4+3.345%
vs Weaker (8)79.970.1150.0+9.875%
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
GunmaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A23/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A25/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/10
B League
Shiga
#24
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H02/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H03/11
B League
Chiba
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A06/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H09/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H10/11
B League
Sendai
#23
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A30/11
B League
Sendai
#23
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A01/12
B League
81.3Avg total
41.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.582.2-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.982.9+1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)39.342.181.5-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.281.3+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.881.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.047.086.0-8.029%-
vs Similar (10)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.438.079.4+3.454%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A27/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H03/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/12
B League
75.4Avg total
36.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.275.4-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.137.073.1-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)38.339.277.5-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)36.139.375.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.874.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.140.675.7-5.518%-
vs Similar (11)37.636.974.5+0.736%-
vs Weaker (8)39.836.576.2+3.288%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.9
54.5%
51.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.0
37.6%
33.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.811.0
74.3%
72.7%11.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.0
52.3%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.8
32.1%
33.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.314.1
69.5%
72.7%14.1
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gunma
WWLWLWWWWL
Saga
LWLLWLWLLL
#6
League position
#18
+13.5
Net rating
+0.8
117.3
Offensive rating
104.6
103.8
Defensive rating
103.7
55.3%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.6%
3-point %
32.1%
65.6%
Assist %
70.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 104.6Defence103.8 · 103.7Shooting55.3% · 50.7%3-point %37.6% · 32.1%Ball care16.9% · 16.4%Off. rebounds36.3% · 24.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Gunma   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gunma wins
0
Saga wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Saga v Gunma69-79
03/02/24Saga v Gunma68-79
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24ASendai78-67
30/11/24ASendai89-65
10/11/24HSeaHorses Mikawa68-78
09/11/24HSeaHorses Mikawa87-77
06/11/24AChiba78-87
03/11/24HShiga102-65
02/11/24HShiga82-81
26/10/24ABrave Thunders75-68
25/10/24ABrave Thunders89-62
23/10/24AUtsunomiya Brex69-72
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/24HNagasaki78-93
01/12/24HNagasaki80-51
12/11/24HRyukyu67-73
11/11/24HRyukyu72-84
06/11/24AShiga83-69
04/11/24HBrave Thunders76-89
03/11/24HBrave Thunders89-67
27/10/24AAlvark66-79
26/10/24AAlvark74-79
23/10/24HChiba74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gunma
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game79.981.878.0
Allowed / game72.171.972.2
Point differential+7.8+9.9+5.8
Avg total151.9153.6150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayWLLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %44%29%56%
Points / game74.876.673.4
Allowed / game74.076.672.0
Point differential+0.8+0.0+1.4
Avg total148.8153.1145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba1614288%83.872.8+11.1
2 Alvark1614288%79.969.9+10.0
3 NeoPhoenix1613381%92.778.6+14.1
4 Utsunomiya Brex1713476%81.675.4+6.2
5 Shimane1712571%82.274.1+8.1
6 Ryukyu1611569%85.278.3+6.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa1611569%79.173.8+5.4
8 Sun Rockers Shibuya1711665%76.870.4+6.5
9 Gunma1610662%79.972.1+7.8
10 Akita1710759%74.674.5+0.1
11 Osaka179853%82.580.5+2.0
12 Diamond Dolphins168850%81.982.1-0.2
13 Kyoto178947%79.479.4+0.0
14 Saga167944%74.874.0+0.8
15 Nagasaki167944%70.472.8-2.4
16 Yokohama1771041%74.277.5-3.3
17 Hiroshima D.1651131%74.882.2-7.4
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1651131%72.882.1-9.3
19 Hokkaido1751229%73.081.1-8.1
20 Sendai1641225%73.279.8-6.5
21 Koshigaya Alphas1641225%73.181.8-8.6
22 Brave Thunders1641225%74.784.3-9.6
23 Ibaraki Robots1741324%75.183.9-8.8
24 Shiga171166%72.286.3-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gunma2325211584
Saga1614132770
← all games of the day
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